“There is only one rule of law, namely that the occurrence of the fact in issue must be proved to have been more probable than not.”
“…..If, for example, it is clear that a child was assaulted by one or other of two people, it would make no sense to start one's reasoning by saying that assaulting children is a serious matter and therefore neither of them is likely to have done so. The fact is that one of them did and the question for the tribunal is simply whether it is more probable that one rather than the other was the perpetrator.”
“35. Of course, it may be difficult for the judge to decide, even on the balance of probabilities, who has caused the harm to the child. There is no obligation to do so. As we have already seen, unlike a finding of harm, it is not a necessary ingredient of the threshold criteria. As Lord Justice Wall put it in Re D (Care Proceedings: Preliminary Hearings)[2009] EWCA Civ 472 ,[2009] 2 FLR 668 , at para 12, judges should not strain to identify the perpetrator as a result of the decision in Re B : ‘If an individual perpetrator can be properly identified on the balance of probabilities, then … it is the judge's duty to identify him or her. But the judge should not start from the premise that it will only be in an exceptional case that it will not be possible to make such an identification.’” ‘If an individual perpetrator can be properly identified on the balance of probabilities, then … it is the judge's duty to identify him or her. But the judge should not start from the premise that it will only be in an exceptional case that it will not be possible to make such an identification.’”
“91. As I have observed earlier in this judgment, the parents have each given little evidence that has been helpful or realistic. Unlike the events on the day A was re-admitted to hospital when A was in the sole care of her mother, she, together with her siblings was jointly cared for by her parents since she was discharged from the hospital. The intracranial injuries and the fractures were caused in at least two separate incidents. Having found that these were inflicted injuries, the only individuals who could have caused the injuries were the parents. There is no reliable direct evidence that would allow me to distinguish between the parents and come to a view about which of them may have inflicted these injuries. Therefore, as I am invited by the father, I must consider the inherent improbability of the father causing these injuries in the context of the wider canvass [sic] of the evidence and my findings about the events on the day A was re-admitted to hospital. This argument is developed attractively on behalf of the father and points to several reasons as to why it would be inherently unlikely that the father inflicted these injuries. 92. The probability of an event must be assessed against the evidence that is before the court. It is only when that probability reaches the requisite evidential threshold that the court will be permitted to make a finding. Some events are so improbable, that when considered against the weight of the evidence, it will be excluded as a possibility. In my judgment this does not extend to the arguments that are advanced by the father in this regard. The only feature distinguishing the parents’ possible involvement in causing A’s fractures and intracranial injuries are my conclusions about the events on the day A was re-admitted to hospital. Otherwise, the parents present as equally loving and devoted parents with no previous concerns about either of them. There is an innate attraction to concluding that the mother was responsible for the events on the day A was re-admitted to hospital. However, such an approach would be flawed in the absence of evidence that would support such a conclusion. One can speculate many scenarios in which one parent may be responsible for earlier injuries and the other for the later. To identify the mother as the sole perpetrator would be straining too far beyond what is evidentially sustainable and would be based on no more than speculation or conjecture. In my judgment, the evidence that is before me can only conclude that there remains a real possibility that either or both parents were responsible for causing A’s fractures and intracranial injuries.”
Showing the 50 most senior of 55.