“An obvious difficulty which affects allegations and oral evidence based on recollection of events which occurred several years ago is the unreliability of human memory. While everyone knows that memory is fallible, I do not believe that the legal system has sufficiently absorbed the lessons of a century of psychological research into the nature of memory and the unreliability of eyewitness testimony. One of the most important lessons of such research is that in everyday life we are not aware of the extent to which our own and other people's memories are unreliable and believe our memories to be more faithful than they are. Two common (and related) errors are to suppose: (1) that the stronger and more vivid is our feeling or experience of recollection, the more likely the recollection is to be accurate; and (2) that the more confident another person is in their recollection, the more likely their recollection is to be accurate. Underlying both these errors is a faulty model of memory as a mental record which is fixed at the time of experience of an event and then fades (more or less slowly) over time. In fact, psychological research has demonstrated that memories are fluid and malleable, being constantly rewritten whenever they are retrieved. This is true even of so-called ‘flashbulb’ memories, that is memories of experiencing or learning of a particularly shocking or traumatic event. (The very description ‘flashbulb’ memory is in fact misleading, reflecting as it does the misconception that memory operates like a camera or other device that makes a fixed record of an experience.) External information can intrude into a witness’s memory, as can his or her own thoughts and beliefs, and both can cause dramatic changes in recollection. Events can come to be recalled as memories which did not happen at all or which happened to someone else (referred to in the literature as a failure of source memory). Memory is especially unreliable when it comes to recalling past beliefs. Our memories of past beliefs are revised to make them more consistent with our present beliefs. Studies have also shown that memory is particularly vulnerable to interference and alteration when a person is presented with new information or suggestions about an event in circumstances where his or her memory of it is already weak due to the passage of time. The process of civil litigation itself subjects the memories of witnesses to powerful biases. The nature of litigation is such that witnesses often have a stake in a particular version of events. This is obvious where the witness is a party or has a tie of loyalty (such as an employment relationship) to a party to the proceedings. Other, more subtle influences include allegiances created by the process of preparing a witness statement and of coming to court to give evidence for one side in the dispute.”
“[9] […] [W]here repeated accounts are given […] the court must think carefully about the significance or otherwise of any reported discrepancies. They may arise for a number of reasons. One possibility is of course that they are lies designed to hide culpability. Another is that they are lies told for other reasons. Further possibilities include faulty recollection or confusion at times of stress or when the importance of accuracy is not fully appreciated, or there may be inaccuracy or mistake in the record-keeping or recollection of the person hearing and relaying the account. The possible effects of delay and repeated questioning upon memory should also be considered, as should the effect on one person of hearing accounts given by others. As memory fades, a desire to iron out wrinkles may not be unnatural – a process that might inelegantly be described as ‘story-creep’ may occur without any necessary inference of bad faith.”
“To be capable of amounting to corroboration the lie told out of court must first of all be deliberate. Secondly it must relate to a material issue. Thirdly the motive for the lie must be a realisation of guilt and a fear of the truth. The jury should in appropriate cases be reminded that people sometimes lie, for example, in an attempt to bolster up a just cause, or out of shame or out of a wish to conceal disgraceful behaviour from their family. Fourthly the statement must be clearly shown to be a lie by evidence other than that of the accomplice who is to be corroborated, that is to say by admission or by evidence from an independent witness.”
“[49] ... The court should first consider whether there is a “list” of people who had the opportunity to cause the injury. It should then consider whether it can identify the actual perpetrator on the balance of probability and should seek, but not strain, to do so: Re D (Care Proceedings: Preliminary Hearing)[2009] EWCA Civ 472 ,[2009] 2 FLR 668 , para [12]. Only if it cannot identify the perpetrator to the civil standard of proof should it go on to ask in respect of those on the list: “Is there a likelihood or real possibility that A or B or C was the perpetrator or a perpetrator of the inflicted injuries?”
“[34] […] The unvarnished test is clear: following a consideration of all the available evidence and applying the simple balance of probabilities, a judge either can, or cannot, identify a perpetrator. If he or she cannot do so, then, in accordance with Re B: 2019, he or she should consider whether there is a real possibility that each individual on the list inflicted the injury in question.”
“[36] […] [T]he judge had to determine: (i) Whether there was a list of people who had the opportunity to cause the injury. Here it is common ground that there was a list of two, namely the father and the mother. (ii) Whether he was able on the balance of probability, to identify the actual perpetrator. In this case […] [t]he question for the judge was whether such a finding could be made to the proper standard of proof in respect of the mother. (iii) If, and only if, the court was unable to make such a finding to the appropriate standard of proof, should he have resumed his scrutiny of the list and in respect of each person on the list, considered whether there was a real likelihood or possibility that one of those individuals inflicted the injury/injuries. In this case this meant, could the judge be satisfied that there was a real possibility that the father was the perpetrator of the older injuries? If so, the [other candidate] was a possible perpetrator with all the serious consequences which follow from such a finding.”
‘[44] All of this applies with equal rigour to the obligation upon the Judge to identify not only harm that may have been sustained by a child but the likely perpetrator of that harm. The exercise is a parallel one and, for the reasons that Lady Hale has identified in the passage above, the obligation on the Judge every bit as exacting. There will, inevitably, be cases where the identity of the perpetrator will be uncertain. Paradigmatically, injuries to a child occur in the hands of a parent or carer.Section 31(2) of the Children Act 1989 requires the court to focus not only on the significant harm sustained by the child but on its attributability. Inevitably, within the home environment, there are unlikely to be witnesses. The investigative process must track down ascertainable facts from the broadest canvas available and, where possible, draw such inferences as those facts will support. It is frequently a difficult task, but it is not one that can be shirked. The danger in failing to confront it is that an innocent individual may be tainted by a finding that has a direct impact, both on her and on the child. A finding which leaves a parent in a pool of potential perpetrators is likely to adversely influence the nature and extent of the contact arrangements or indeed, on where and with whom the child will live in the future. Of course, the imperative of child protection must not generate a reason to burden unsatisfactory evidence with a greater weight than it can legitimately support. That would create injustice to all, not least the subject children, but neither does it absolve the Judge of the responsibility to confront the findings that the evidence properly establishes. The same obligation for forensic rigour applies to the lawyers.’ ‘[63] It also requires to be stressed, in my judgement, that identifying a perpetrator, on the ‘balance of probabilities’, is a duty imposed upon a Judge, where the facts permit. Built into the civil standard of proof is an inevitable risk of error, with which conscientious practitioners, litigating very serious injury to a child are sometimes uncomfortable. The civil standard of proof applies in Children Act proceedings because it gives effect to the central objective of the Act itself, namely, to promote the welfare of the child. Any application of an elevated standard of proof runs the risk of leaving an unnecessary pall of suspicion over a non-perpetrating parent which may hinder the construction of clear and effective strategies, designed both to protect the child and promote the full range of opportunities for her relationship with either or both parents. Indeed, the impact of an ‘uncertain perpetrator’ finding is more likely to limit the options for a child than to expand them. For this reason, it is to be avoided if possible. Declining to identify a perpetrator, where the evidence establishes it, is not merely erring on the side of caution, it is a failure to exercise the duty imposed by law. The test is simply whether an identified individual is more likely than not to have caused the injuries, “nothing more, nothing less”.’
“With respect to the evidence the court is required to consider, it is very often the case that, when determining allegations of non-accidental injury, the Family Court is faced with a case advanced by a LA in which no independent witness saw or heard the alleged harm being caused or, as here, the steps preparatory to such harm. In these circumstances the Court is often required to consider circumstantial evidence: that is, circumstances which, although not directly establishing the existence of the facts the LA seeks to prove, render those facts probable by reason of their connection with or relation to them.”
“[34] A case based on circumstantial evidence depends for its cogency on the combination of relevant circumstances and the likelihood or unlikelihood of coincidence. A party advancing it argues that the circumstances can only or most probably be accounted for by the explanation which it suggests. Consideration of such a case necessarily involves looking at the whole picture, including what gaps there are in the evidence, whether the individual factors relied upon are in themselves properly established, what factors may point away from the suggested explanation and what other explanation might fit the circumstances. As Lord Mance observed in Datec Electronics Holdings Ltd v UPS Ltd[2007] 1 WLR 1325 , paras 48 and 50, there is an inherent risk that a systematic consideration of the possibilities could become a process of elimination ‘leading to no more than a conclusion regarding the least unlikely cause of loss’, which was the fault identified in The Popi M. So at the end of any such systematic analysis, the court has to stand back and ask itself the ultimate question whether it is satisfied that the suggested explanation is more likely than not to be true. The elimination of other possibilities as more implausible may well lead to that conclusion, but that will be a conclusion of fact: there is no rule of law that it must do so. I do not read any of the statements in any of the other authorities to which we were referred as intending to suggest otherwise.”
‘Given advice about domestic violence – separated from her husband he and his family have shown little interest in new baby and this is very upsetting for [M]. […]’22 Aug 2017 Telephone call from Neonatal Outreach: ‘[M] and her partner are separated and he has been heard to be abusive towards her. They have been asked to visit separately but this does not always happen. He was heard to say that he would break [M]’s nose if she did not put the baby back in the incubator. Police were informed. Staff statements were taken and police arranged [M] to be on Neonatal Unit but she did not attend. […]’11 Sept 2017 Home visit by HV: ‘[…] Talked about her baby’s father. They are not together and he is aggressive. He visits in the evenings and [M] visits during the day and they have a minimal contact. She is well supported by her own parents and other family members, slightly worried about when the baby is discharged home and not having nurses to support. Explained that [M] will not be alone and family and Neonatal Outreach and Health Visitor will assist her. [M] is happy about this.’23 Oct 2017 Home visit by HV: ‘[…] [M] explains that after much consideration she will be moving back in with her husband. She explains she has really thought about this decision and has not had any external influence. I explained to [M] that I will contact her once discharge has been confirmed and arrange a home visit.’30 Oct 2017 Home visit by HV: ‘[M] was anxious about bringing the baby home but after an extended stay and transitional care is feeling more confident. […] Domestic abuse advice: has been previously difficult relationship with her husband and Social Services intervention on the ward after an altercation between [M] and Husband. Her husband keeps referring to the fact they belong with him, however [M] has returned to her parents and he visits daily. Advised [M] of staying put and to call police if ever in fear of safety. Also that she must not return to the home address if she feels the relationship is in any way unsafe despite any family pressures. Observations: tender and very loving interaction mother to child.’24 Nov 2017 Home visit by HV: ‘[…] Still staying with parents and intends to stay there. No instances of aggression from husband. He continues to visit son at [a city]. [M] does not want to move in with her husband’s parents as they smoke and she is aware this is a huge risk to the baby.’1 Feb 2018 Routine enquiry about domestic abuse by nurse at [a city]: ‘[…] Reported husband also controlling. Does not like her talking to Drs and preferred to talk to them himself. Also reported he does not financially contribute to their son. Denied any physical abuse. [M] reported that she does not intend on getting back with her husband at present needs to think about it as also he is related and will affect family relationships. Made aware of services that offer support. To contact the police if feels necessary. [M] is currently living with her parents. Reported that they are supportive.’3 May 2018 Health visitor receives call FSW: ‘[M] and her husband have agreed to start a home parenting programme to discuss parenting and domestic violence. The programme will take about 5 weeks to complete. If the family complete the programme [FSW] feels she will then close the case to the children’s centre. […]’29 May 2018 ‘[M] reports good mood and separated from husband. [M] finding his behaviour upsetting at times but she has good family support. Good eye contact, smiling and chatty. Asked appropriate questions regarding the care of her baby. […]’23 Aug 2018 HV meeting: ‘[M] said she is well, not feeling low in mood and feels she has come to realise that she will not get back together with her ex husband. She said she is thinking of moving out of her parents home and finding her own house. Good eye contact, smiling and chatty.’24 June 2019 HV visit: ‘[M] seen at home completing 2 year check. Reports herself well, good interaction seen with her little boy. Reports lives alone with her child. She does feel lonely at tomes and sometimes visits her mum during the say. Child dad visits little boy she reports they are ok’3 Aug 2019 HV visit: ‘[…] [M] welcoming of home visit, she has moved into her own property. She said she is lonely at times but keeps herself busy. She said she has moved on and now realises she will not get back with her ex husband. We discussed the importance of her getting out every day and meeting up with friends. [M] said she feels her mood is getting better and is feels positive for the future. […]’
‘With your attitude going all of u will be sat in your mums house now you’re crying like a bitch cos your rents 3days overdue’ ‘No I didnt I said you’ll get your rent once I move In you’ve taken 2 months and you’ve still not got everything done’ ‘If u want your rent u can set your pride aside and apologise’ ‘You think your job is hard try being a woman and being pregnant than giving birth, and then having sleepless nights taking care of your kids’ ‘When I was pregnant u was lazy with getting anything done cos u thought u had time. Now look where we are’ ‘This is why I said living apart for this long isn’t good cos you turn into a BITCH’
‘His mortgage goes late they charge extra for late fees cause you got a hip on your shoulder’ ‘Chip*’ ‘Your being petty’ ‘You got me angry for no reason’ ‘I have other headaches I don’t need yours’ ‘You think it’s easy , making sure everything gets done properly’ ‘The late you give it , you want my dad to say something to me , if he does then forget we are even moving in’ ‘Look at your attitude trying to make your husband beg for his brothers rent wow’ ‘Give it or don’t i know where I stand I’m not begging you’ ‘I’m taking your name off the rent you no longer live there no longer can claim rent’ ‘It’s not going to me or my dad or my brother it’s going to mortgage !!!!!!!’ ‘You’ve got till Monday’
‘Your sisters right about u’ ‘You dont have a brain’ ‘Dementia patient’ ‘Hope both of your sons aren’t nothing like u’ ‘Cos you’re truly disgusting’ ‘Your shameful’ ‘You have no self respect or for others’ ‘You think just cos you’re a man you’re superior’ ‘You’re sexist’ ‘You have so much pride In yourself’ ‘I regret every second of getting married to you’ ‘And you said u would sort your head out but u clearly haven’t, you are also full of shit [F].’ ‘You not a real man because real men handle pressure and get on with what they need to do’ ‘I’ve stayed 10months indoors sacrificed my freedom to be where I am and to give u what u fucking wanted.’ ‘And u still think u have a right to disrespect me ,whenever I have tried telling u something. At this rate I would rather be single Infact if it wasn’t for the parents I would be single now. And it wouldn’t be me at loss it would be you. And I would always win in the end cos God gives the side of truth [F] and truth always prevails.’ ‘You are the one that says kids, kids, kids. “Don’t be daft, I want kids” that's all u ever talked about before. And now when u got what u wanted u suddenly can’t handle the pressure. I think u might be suffering from baby blues so if I was u I’d take a trip down to the docs and get seen.’ ‘Maybe also get your brain checked as you don’t remember fuckall’ ‘You leave your phone behind you leave your keys behind you leave everything behind just like you’ve left us’ ‘Everything is behind you’ ‘Lets not pretend your busy at work cos we know u sit killing flies all day long’
‘You don’t deserve to be a dad how the fuck are u a dad’ ‘Who the fuck are u’ ‘What the fuck are u’ 01:33 – 01:35 M messages F: ‘I’m fjcking talking to u’ ‘Fucking speak’ ‘Think your scared of small babies’ ‘Just incase you drop them’ ‘As you are disabled’ ‘Go and apply for disability allowance’ 01:22 – 01:47 Interspersed with the above texts, M attempts to call F 20 times, sometimes withholding her number, sometimes not; it seems that none of the calls is answered (save for a few seconds, which may correspond with leaving a voice message) 03:00 According to M, S takes his 03:00 feed without issue 04:33 – 04:46 After a three-hour break between 01:47 and 04:33: M messages F: ‘You awake’
‘I arrived at the address at approximately 2.40 / 2.45 pm, I knocked on the door, I do not recall who opened the door. I went straight upstairs to [M]’s bedroom. I could see straight away that [M] was upset, she said [S] was not taking his feed. I asked what was wrong and she mentioned that he had a sunken fontanelle. I took [S] from her and was looking at his head, my first thought was that it was nothing serious, I could see that it was slightly sunken but it did not worry me. I played with [R] for a bit and continued speaking with [M], she was talking about [S]’s feeding regime and how she had changed the formula milk, and that he was not taking his feed properly, mum also mentioned [S]’s colic issues. She was upset and so I said to arrange a GP appointment to ease her mind, after half an hour or so, [R] and I left at about 3.10 / 3.15 pm, I dropped [R] back at my parents’ house and I then went straight to work arriving there at approximately 4.30 pm.’
‘I prepared the 3 pm feed on the 27 November. When I prepared that feed, I did not notice anything obvious in the milk canister which was the same milk canister that I had used over the previous two to three days. I prepared the same amount of milk and put the colief drops in the milk and on this occasion [S] completely rejected the feed. My initial thought was that the milk was not coming out of the teat. I tried this on my wrist and realised that this wasn’t the case. I was feeding [S] in the living room, nobody else was in the room with me. I tried to persevere, but he kept rejecting the feed and I recall being very stressed and worried as to why he wasn’t taking the feed, he was moving his face away each time I put the bottle to him he was turning his head. I didn’t know what to do I just felt like crying as I had never had so much trouble feeding him. I knew that he needed to have his milk and I continued, and it took about two hours for me to feed him 120 ml of milk. When I finished feeding him and I laid him down he brought up some of the milk which was not normal for him.’
‘I then prepared his 6 pm feed, at this time I had taken the milk canister and one of the milk bottles upstairs to my bedroom. It was the same milk canister that I had been using previously and the same milk canister that I had prepared the 3 pm feed from. I prepared the milk and added the Colief drops and when I tried to feed him, he was rejecting the feed again. At this time, he wasn’t taking any of the milk and I then realised there was something wrong plus I notice that he had a sunken fontanelle which was very obviously sunken, and I did some research and realised that this was a medical emergency. My mum came into the bedroom and she saw S, I explained what had happened at 3 pm and also what was happening now and that he is rejecting his milk and she also saw the sunken fontanelle and said something was not right and that is why I called 111.’
‘I noticed from 3 o’clock he’s not feeding as well. I was trying to feed him at 3 o’clock. He is basically on formula milk and every time I was trying to feed him, he would, you know, like, choke … like he would sort of make a choke, yeah, choking face. And then, I think it took about two hours for me to get that down and then he kept having, like, mucousy spit up as well. That kept coming out and I’ve just noticed now, he’s got a sunken fontanelle as well, on top of his head, which is pretty deep. And he’s still not feeding that well … so, quite worried … and he’s quite blue.’
‘Mother has informed [SW] that she and father [...] recently separated. However, they have spoken today and may be planning to reconcile in light of what has occurred.’ ‘Mother has not provided a clear explanation around the reason for her and father separating. However, mother informed the Social Worker on 29/11 that she and father would, in light of concerns for [S]’s health having emerged, decided [sic] to reconcile.’ ‘Mother had commented to SW that she was separated from dad but he did come over on a weekend and that she thought that they would get back together as a result of this incident i.e. baby ill.’
‘I have reached a firm conclusion which is that [S]’s hyponatraemia detected on 27/11/23 was due to salt poisoning. He was given at least one feed of salt-contaminated milk at home about 11 hours before his admission and may have had other feeds before this. The contamination was in the form of salt added (but not thoroughly mixed in with) a tub of baby milk formula powder. Unfortunately, his hypernatraemia was misdiagnosed as being due to dehydration rather than salt poisoning and he was inadvertently fed with milk made-up from the contaminated milk formula after being admitted to hospital. This was administered via a nasogastric tube which prevented him from tasting and behaving adversely to it and this error was not recognised for 24 hours, by which time his hypernatraemia was worse. His plasma sodium concentration was then reduced too quickly, which resulted in him sustaining fits. He has had no more fits since, and is thriving with normal kidney function on normal milk formula in foster care. It is highly likely that he will have made a full neurological recovery, but his developmental progress should be monitored carefully.’
‘I have learned from this that [S]’s mother brought a tin of formula into the hospital with her that she claimed she had used that day, and which the ward staff then used, which had a final milk sodium concentration of 157 mmol/L, and that another nearly empty tin of more highly contaminated milk formula was since seized from the family home by the police. […] In my opinion, having learned that there were two separate salt-contaminated tins of milk formula powder underlines the deliberate nature of this poisoning event. I have used this new data to estimate the possible period of time that [S] was fed contaminated milk prior to his admission to hospital. The uncertainties that exist mean that it is not possible to accurately determine a single time-period, but time ranges can be reasonably estimated. The maximum duration range of possibly being fed poisoned milk is between 8 and 48 hours, with a greater likelihood of between about 8 and 24 hours.’
‘You’re my auntie, but you hit me.’
‘[M’s] relationship with the children’s father […] has its up and downs, it’s a bit of a messy relationship but as family we try not to pry. They live their separate lives and that works for them. They’re happy and the children are happy and that’s the most important thing.’
‘She needs emotional support. [F] spent more time with his own family than with his own wife. I can understand her frustration. She wanted him to give her more support financially and emotionally. It was her way of getting his attention. That’s how I see it.’
‘Maybe that was her perception. […] Perhaps she’s viewing these things now out of context.’
‘There wasn’t a single person that day not in tears, including [IA].’
‘It was basically her way of getting round me.’
‘None of the other interveners have any identified motive for harming [S]: a. The suggestion that IE might harm [S] in the aftermath of the argument on 19/11/22 is arguably stronger than that made against his wife, given the manner of his response to his sister. However, he describes such blow-ups as being the warp and weft of sibling relationships, and the court might give credence to that observation. Otherwise, he clearly has been a loyal and loving brother and uncle. As we have observed, he appears not to have had an opportunity to adulterate the feed after 1200 noon; b. IB appears not to have been in the house at the relevant time and even if he was, he was in bed before [S] had feeds which he took without difficulty. He cannot have contaminated the feed; c. IC is also in a caring profession; he is clearly a sensitive soul who has been deeply affected by what has happened to his family. There is no hint of any reason why he might poison his nephew; d. IF was clearly disconnected from things to do with babies, and seemingly from the kitchen. He had a good relationship with M; e. MGM is wholly oriented towards her family. there is no rational basis for concluding that she would wish to poison her grandson; f. ID seems to have a decent relationship with M; though she was clearly suffering to some degree with feelings of homesickness and low mood proximate to the weekend in question, it is difficult to conclude that any form of benefit would accrue to her by making [S] unwell.’
‘[69] The incident in which Ms Watt’s phone is said to have been lost at sea occurred in August 2021. On4 August 2021 , the CCMC had taken place at which an order requiring her device to be inspected had been made. The timing is striking. In my judgment, even taking this evidence on its own, the likelihood that the loss Ms Watt describes was accidental is slim. [70] The reasons that Ms Vardy and Ms Watt have given for the original WhatsApp chat being unavailable are each improbable. But the improbability of the losses occurring in the way they describe is heightened by the fact that it took the combination of these improbable events for the evidence to be unavailable: cf. The Atlantik Confidence[2016] EWHC 2412 (Admlty) , Teare J, [296]-[297]. In my judgment, it is likely that Ms Vardy deliberately deleted her WhatsApp chat with Ms Watt, and that Ms Watt deliberately dropped her phone in the sea. I recognise that Ms Vardy has disclosed messages that are detrimental to her case. But I am not persuaded that the imperfection of the effort to remove incriminating evidence shows that there was no such attempt, particularly given that Ms Vardy is unlikely to have anticipated in October 2019 that evidence about, for example, Mr Drinkwater, would have to be disclosed. [71] If a ‘wrongdoer’ has ‘parted with relevant evidence’, the court may draw adverse inferences: Armory v Delamirie 93 E.R. 664; Gulati v MGN Ltd [2017] Q.B. 149, [107]; Blackledge v Person(s) Unknown[2021] EWHC 1994 (QB) , [41] and Dudley v Phillips[2022] EWHC 930 (QB) , [25]. I address below, in the context of my review of the evidence, the inferences I consider it proper to draw in the absence of this potentially significant evidence.’
‘We, as a family at home, have discussed this after the sitting in court and collectively decided that [IA] has not been truthful in her answers and I myself feel that she has something to do with the poisoning.’