“Mr Giese’s history makes it almost certain that he would be referred by CDCR to DSH and found by DSH to warrant a full clinical evaluation. Thus he would be expected to come within the category of those 14,335 referred to … above. As described above, 14% of those evaluated were found by evaluators to be SVPs and were referred to District Attorneys for adjudication. Once a person has been referred to the District Attorney there is a high likelihood (87-96%) of being held to await trial and a high likelihood if sent to trial that he will be found a SVP (85%). Given the data, it is clear that anyone who is referred for clinical evaluation has a real risk of being held and committed as an SVP.”
“They appear to me to be more transparent and take account of the different factors.”
“There is no doubt that Mr Giese faces extremely serious charges and, on the face of it, there is a strong case against him. However because of the nature of these serious charges, because of the age of the victim, because of the degree of grooming and breach of trust said to have been involved, because of the length of time over which the offending is said to have been perpetrated, [it] makes it a near certainty that Mr Giese will be referred by the California Department of Corrections and Rehabilitation to the State Hospital for evaluation. There is a real risk he meets the criteria for commitment. Quite likely he will have a probable cause hearing. Strong likelihood to be found by a jury to be a sexually violent predator (the standard of proof is beyond reasonable doubt). Clearly it is impossible to predict what the outcome of the trial would be, but assessing what is currently known leads me to believe there is a substantial risk of Mr Giese being detained for a very long period, ether because an order of civil commitment is made or, if not, simply waiting for the process to complete. As stated above, Dr Putnam mentions periods from 6 years 3 months to 7 years 8 months.”
“I accept that the risk has to be assessed on the information available now. I reject the proposition that it is too early to assess the risk. I reject the proposition put forward by the Government’s witnesses, that there is little risk of an order being made. Having analysed the evidence of the Government’s witnesses and the witnesses called on behalf of [Mr Giese], I have reached the conclusion that if [Mr Giese] is returned to stand his trial, and if he is convicted, the risk of his being made subject to civil commitment cannot be described as fanciful. I accept the evidence of Dr Putnam and Mr Lowry that Mr Giese will be the subject of civil commitment. The risk is real.”
“State evaluators look at past behaviour and believe they can predict future behaviour”
“Mr Finnerty makes the statement that Mr Giese has no criminal record, therefore he will be scored low. This simply does not follow. It may or may not hold true in relation to the Static 99R or 2002R actuarial instruments (there are many more factors considered than just past criminal history), but not the MnSOST or SORAG assessment methods. It very much depends on which instrument is chosen and evaluators are free to choose any instrument, or no instrument at all, in evaluating offenders.”
“No one should be deprived of his liberty save in the following cases, and in accordance with a procedure prescribed by law: ……. (e) the lawful detention of persons of unsound mind.”
“The diagnosis of recognised mental disorder is quite broad. It merely requires a condition that a person has behaviours that society doesn’t like. The law doesn’t require him not to be able to control. The law just requires him not to think correctly. It can include severe mental disorder but it can also be people who just make the wrong decisions. It can be an Antisocial Behaviour Disorder. That can be considered as sufficient for SVP”