“............ we are resolved to find an equitable mechanism through which we might terminate the contracts by mutual agreement. Fortunately we have such a mechanism through which the Tanzanian interests can be valued which has been market tested by a process involving BP, Shell, Exxon, ENI, BG and a number of smaller oil companies who were all invited to farmin. As a result of this process final terms have been negotiated with three of these companies and detailed negotiations are progressing with two. It is fair to say, therefore, that the terms resulting from this process have been extensively market tested. We propose to use the farmin transaction to provide a valuation mechanism that is transparent, equitable and defensible in front of our Board, prospective farminees, Tanzanian tax authorities and the various agencies of the UK Government to whom this transaction will be reported. To ensure transparency we shall make available final negotiated agreements for your review. However, in the meantime we provide the following detail: • The farminee proposes to pay 85% of costs to acquire a 60% interest in all three of the Tanzanian PSA’s. • The minimum investment obligation is to pay 85% of the cost of three exploration wells and acquire up to 4,000 km of 3D seismic at a cost of US$175 million . The farminee has the option to withdraw following completion of the minimum investment. Ophir will retain 40% and will pay for 15% and will therefore be carried through 25% of the programme for US$43.75 million . • In the event that the farminee elects to continue beyond this minimum investment obligation, then they will pay 85% of gross expenditure until US$575 million has been spent. Ophir will retain 40% and will pay for 15%. Opir [sic] will therefore be carried through 25% of the programme for US$143.75 million . Thereafter each party will pay its pro-rata share of costs. In effect, Ophir is selling 60% of the PSA’s for a consideration that ranges between US$43.75 million and US$143.75 million . This implies total valuation of a 100% interest in the three Blocks to be in the range US$72.91 million to US$239.58 million . Ophir’s expenditure to date is in excess of US$ 60 million and so in determining the “commercial gain” within the context of your contract the relative share of the investment made to date must be recovered at Libor+3. Without making a determination of interest the relative share to date is therefore US$3 million . The resulting valuation ranges between a firm value of US$0.65 million to a success case valuation of US$ 8.97 million . The upper range of the valuation is achieved only if the farminee elects to continue beyond the committed minimum investment programme. A payment based on the success case valuation should either therefore be phased or it should be risked and discounted in proportion to the risk. If it is assumed that there is a 66% likelihood of the deal being completed in full then the value that lies 66% between the upper and lower ends of the range is US$ 6.14 million . Ophir hereby makes a non-negotiable offer, subject to contract and to Board approval, to pay US$6.15 million .......... payable upon completion of deeds of termination for our contracts concerning Blocks 1, 3 and 4. Draft Deeds of Termination will be sent for your review shortly.” • The farminee proposes to pay 85% of costs to acquire a 60% interest in all three of the Tanzanian PSA’s. • The minimum investment obligation is to pay 85% of the cost of three exploration wells and acquire up to 4,000 km of 3D seismic at a cost of US$175 million . The farminee has the option to withdraw following completion of the minimum investment. Ophir will retain 40% and will pay for 15% and will therefore be carried through 25% of the programme for US$43.75 million . • In the event that the farminee elects to continue beyond this minimum investment obligation, then they will pay 85% of gross expenditure until US$575 million has been spent. Ophir will retain 40% and will pay for 15%. Opir [sic] will therefore be carried through 25% of the programme for US$143.75 million . Thereafter each party will pay its pro-rata share of costs. In effect, Ophir is selling 60% of the PSA’s for a consideration that ranges between US$43.75 million and US$143.75 million . This implies total valuation of a 100% interest in the three Blocks to be in the range US$72.91 million to US$239.58 million . Ophir’s expenditure to date is in excess of US$ 60 million and so in determining the “commercial gain” within the context of your contract the relative share of the investment made to date must be recovered at Libor+3. Without making a determination of interest the relative share to date is therefore US$3 million . The resulting valuation ranges between a firm value of US$0.65 million to a success case valuation of US$ 8.97 million . The upper range of the valuation is achieved only if the farminee elects to continue beyond the committed minimum investment programme. A payment based on the success case valuation should either therefore be phased or it should be risked and discounted in proportion to the risk. If it is assumed that there is a 66% likelihood of the deal being completed in full then the value that lies 66% between the upper and lower ends of the range is US$ 6.14 million . Ophir hereby makes a non-negotiable offer, subject to contract and to Board approval, to pay US$6.15 million .......... payable upon completion of deeds of termination for our contracts concerning Blocks 1, 3 and 4. Draft Deeds of Termination will be sent for your review shortly.”
“By the statements he made in the12 March 2010 Letter and the16 March 2010 Email, in particular, the12 March 2010 Letter as quoted in paragraph 14 above, Dr Stein represented to the Claimant, either expressly (as to (b) below) or by implication (as to (a), (c) and (d) below): (a) that the farm-in transaction details contained in the12 March 2010 Letter, as until then negotiated with potential farminees, had been accurately set out in the said letter (the “First Representation”); (b) that, pursuant to the farm-in transaction described in the12 March 2010 Letter, the First Defendant (or relevant member(s) of the Ophir group) would be selling a 60% stake in respect of the Block 1, 3 and 4 PSAs for a consideration from the farminee that would range between US$43.75 million and US$143.75 million (see [the statement of consideration]) and/or that he (Dr Stein) honestly and reasonably believed that consideration to be in the said range (the “Second Representation”); (c) that Dr Stein honestly believed that the figure of US$6.15 million that he put forward represented the fair market value of the Claimant’s Net Profit Interest based on the “extensively market tested” details of the farm-in transaction described in the12 March 2010 Letter (the “Third Representation”): and (d) that, on the basis of the said farm-in transaction, there were reasonable grounds for quantifying the fair market value of the Claimant’s Net Profit Interest under the Consultancy Agreements at about US Dollars 6.15 million (“The Fourth Representation”).” (a) that the farm-in transaction details contained in the12 March 2010 Letter, as until then negotiated with potential farminees, had been accurately set out in the said letter (the “First Representation”); (b) that, pursuant to the farm-in transaction described in the12 March 2010 Letter, the First Defendant (or relevant member(s) of the Ophir group) would be selling a 60% stake in respect of the Block 1, 3 and 4 PSAs for a consideration from the farminee that would range between US$43.75 million and US$143.75 million (see [the statement of consideration]) and/or that he (Dr Stein) honestly and reasonably believed that consideration to be in the said range (the “Second Representation”); (c) that Dr Stein honestly believed that the figure of US$6.15 million that he put forward represented the fair market value of the Claimant’s Net Profit Interest based on the “extensively market tested” details of the farm-in transaction described in the12 March 2010 Letter (the “Third Representation”): and (d) that, on the basis of the said farm-in transaction, there were reasonable grounds for quantifying the fair market value of the Claimant’s Net Profit Interest under the Consultancy Agreements at about US Dollars 6.15 million (“The Fourth Representation”).”
“Sometimes an expression of opinion may carry with it no implication other than that the opinion is genuinely held. But on other occasions, as in this case, the circumstances may be such as to give rise to the implied representation that the person knew of facts which justified his opinion.”
“The basis for a valuation should be the total investment committed by the farminee for the 60% interest that it had acquired. In order to obtain the 60% interest the farminee was required to make investments. The investments consisted of two separate stages: both of these were required to earn this 60% interest. Thus the cost to the farminee of obtaining the 60% interest was the total cost of the investments. In my view the total investment cost is in fact a valuation of the 60% interest.”
“From these figures Dr Stein deduced a valuation of a 100% interest in Blocks 1, 3 and 4 to be in the range US$72.91 million to US$239.58 million , which was effectively based on the value to Ophir Energy of the part of the costs covered by the farminee ……being equivalent to a 60% interest in Blocks 1, 3 and 4.…. The use of the farmin transaction alone in the way described by Dr Stein in the12 March 2010 Letter as providing an equitable valuation of our client’s interests was highly questionable. Far from representing the fair or equitable value of our client’s interest in Blocks 1, 3 and 4, it merely represented the benefit to Ophir Energy of the proportion of costs borne by the farminee.”