“… M&S demand lower prices and healthier credentials. Healthier means more expensive ingredients, not sure about factory complexity… M&S moved the rolls business (quite recently) to Village. Reason = price… M&S are demanding improved health credentials in the Bread which currently entails more expensive ingredients and has an impact on factory output and efficiency …”
“… I say this both for the reasons you well articulate on the specific deal and also because Finsbury needs to do something to stimulate interest in the stock and remind investors that you’re relevant. I suspect although quite expensive this deal in an area people will recognise as on trend and in areas you understand will be easy to explain and well received. Adding a Polish factory is helpful to a European expansion and Brexit story. How wrong can it be; you’re not betting the ranch: time to be brave ...”
“The financial performance of Ultrapharm is slightly lower than what we originally expected, the audited accounts showing an [actual] EBITDA of£1.8 million against the£2 million expectation. Run rate [EBITDA] is higher. We remain at£20 million ”
“we are up in the board room again today so please feel free to pop in when you are free and we can go through again. Perhaps we can go through another costing in detail?”
“… The Stamford model assumes an improvements in 2nd half of FY19 which sees the operating loss improving from£0.1m loss to a£0.4m profit by end of June 2019 … our conclusion is that the assumptions used in the Stamford model are extremely optimistic…”
“… Don’t internalise Ultrapharm. We made a team decision to go for it knowing the risks and we are good in a crisis and we’ve got plenty of resources to throw at sorting it out … (emphasis supplied)”
“… [a] tail [sic] of two halves; Poland ok but margin focus needed, Pontypool much worse than recent months. New shift patterns not appropriate and need to be reworked – not easy, waste high with hope due to new Greencore recipe but recipe in general needs effort as holes a significant cause of waste let alone the staff associated with loaf by loaf inspection … (emphasis supplied)”
“did we know about this at the time of signing?” and “if not, did we have a warranty in the SPA that there have been no changes made to terms?”
“at what point did you become aware of the price reductions?”
“… The other point that I would like Steve’s view on is my comment about the£300k M&S price reduction. This was not disclosed in DD and has led to the spurious plan assumption that we could simply recover the previous levels of profitability by reversing the shift change. The minutes are silent on this and it may be important to log for any subsequent claim? …”
“…The slide I am referring to is page 5 of the deck where the operating profit is bridge from£484,000 profit to£250,000 loss. One of the biggest items is the£300,000 change to M&S terms. … I would insert a minute along the following lines: “The OP expectation versus the Finsbury model is currently a loss of£250,000 , a reduction of£734,000 . There are 3 items accounting for the majority of this decline being: -A reduction in price to M&S, seeded & white bread of£300,000 (unknown) -The sale of Bread Europe (Juvela),£156,000 and (known) -Labour rate changes,£130,000 (known) …”
“… the reason I’m confused is this – slide 5 is not referring to the Finsbury (Stamford) model at all – it’s a comparison of the first 10 months of 2017 (January 2017 to October 2017) actuals with the first 10 months of 2018 (January 2018 to October 2018) actuals. The Finsbury (Stamford) model did take into account the loss of the bread Europe business because we were aware of it when we were building the model and we included the financial impact of this. As explained in the meeting, the main variance to the Finsbury (Stamford) model in P3 and P4 was the fact that the direct labour savings of£35k per month had not been realised. We used forecast figures from Marc for the M&S sales going forward so, although he didn’t state explicitly that the price reduction had been made, it was effectively included in the model. This is the reason the figures for P3 and P4 only vary to the model by the labour amounts. That’s not to say we don’t have the right to a claim re the M&S reduction – we purchased Ultrapharm on a 1x sales basis so we could argue that the sales price should have been reduced by the amount of the reduction in sales. So we should perhaps have paid£19.7m rather than£20m . I disagree with your assertion that the value of the price reduction is£3m . I assume you have calculated this based on the 10x EBITDA multiple that we paid, but that 10x EBITDA was a consequence of the 1x sales. The purchase calculation was clearly agreed at 1x sales. Although I disagree with your minute below (for the reasons outlined above) I have amended the minutes as you requested (see attached). However perhaps I should hold off circulating them until you and I have had a chance to discuss this further tomorrow so that we’re both on the same page ...”
“… A discussion took place on the reasons behind the decline in expected profitability. The labour impact (rate and shift change) had previously been discussed with Stamford Partners prior to completion on31 August 2018 but JR [Mr Randhawa] provided additional information which showed that the profit decline had been further exacerbated due to a reduction in sales price to M&S (implemented in January 2018 and April 2018). JR confirmed that the impact of this price reduction is£300k pa and that he informed SS and JT ofthis as soon as he became aware of it in early November 2018 ...”
“… Hi Steve, Let’s discuss this when we meet. As per my email last night I believe it was built into our modelling(though not explicitly highlighted by Mark). The fact that the sales figures for the 2 months to P4 do not differ from the model (as I highlighted on Thursday) reinforce this (although we do need to do some more analysis). NSV [Net Sales Value] for the 2 periods is actually ahead of the model by£13k , if we were to say that 10 months of the M&S impact is£300k and it wasn’t built into the model I would expect sales to be behind by£60k in the first 2 periods. The£60k variance vs the model is driven by the labour savings not coming through …”
“… The Finsbury (formerly known as the Stamford) model was built up using forecast sales information provided by Marc Lewis. This included a revenue forecast for M&S from July 2018 to December 2018 which was provided on21st June 2018 . Although the price reduction was not explicitly referred to it is reasonable to assume that the forecast figures took this into account. … If the price reduction for M&S had not been included in the Finsbury model there would be a negative variance. Having analysed the YTD (P3/P4) it is clear that the current underperformance against the model is due to assumed labour savings not materialising, rather than a sales issue ...”
“… This doesn’t look as black and white as I thought, given the sales forecast appears to have the reduction built in.I think this needs careful consideration before we take it anywhere …”
“… I see it differently. Marc clearly knew about the price reductions and indeed his sales forecast appears to reflect them. He did not however tell us about the price reductions, particularly important under the warranties disclosures despite him being clearly aware of them. This is illegal ...”
“… In my view, if we did not know about this price reduction Marc should have told us under the warranties and by not doing so he is in breach of the warranties. At£414,000 , this is a warranty claim of£4 million . A huge event in the insurance industry which the insurer will defend robustly …”
“… It should be noted that in the final two weeks prior to acquisition completion, Jas Randhawa and David Chu carried out an initial review of the Pontypool site to assess operational improvement opportunities and in the process were given access to some pricing data to help identify causes for recent profit decline. They were provided with details of pricing which had showed a price reduction to M&S for the seeded and white loaves (from£1.75 to£1.58 ) but these were not as significant as the subsequent findings were told that the impact of this on operating profit was minimal as . To mitigate the impact from a price reduction, Jas and David were informed that a value engineering exercise was also done at the time to reduce costs and these offset most of the price reduction and therefore mitigated most of the profit impact. The changes to the seeded loaf had in fact resulted in a high GM%. In contradiction to this, another set of data supplied showed that the sales price of these two products actually increased from the 6 months to Dec 17 vs 6 months to June 18. Given the questionable integrity of the data and based on the limited information available at the time, this was dismissed as insignificant as a cause of the recent profit decline. The Stamford model had accurately reflected the reduced sales price going forward ...”
“… Hi, Marc did share with us that there had been a price reduction but as your report shows, the numbers from Lewis showed that there was also a corresponding decrease in COS as well which I think should be made clearer in your report. There were incomplete/inaccurate and inconsistent data which given the time scale and the information available, we were not able to establish the true and full impact of the price decrease … (emphasis supplied)”
“Following a chat with Julie we are concluding that we have been given information by Lewis in support of the margin decline that contained info with different prices at that time and a year earlier. We discounted the accuracy of the report and used it as directional but it would not pass legal challenge. That said he still didn’t flag it as a warranty disclosure. Question still to be asked of Jas and David is did they talk about it with Marc?... Or Lewis”
“David has just confirmed to me in an email that Marc did share [sic] Jas and him that there had been a price reduction. Sounds like no quantification was given and both Jas and David didn’t see it as important as they were concentrating on the gross margin (which didn’t change greatly despite the price reduction because the figures provided by Lewis also had a corresponding COGS reduction.) However, the point is that the price reduction information was shared with Finsbury in some format prior to completion.”
“I signed a letter as to existing knowledge by you, Jas and myself”
“Not quite sure where this leaves us as it sounds like our DD missed the issue despite pricing info shared.”
“Yup. If we were told there is no case to answer.”
“… -a spreadsheet was sent from Lewis to David on23rd August 2018 which showed a price reduction for M&S (albeit the figures were incorrect) -It appears that Marc did mention price reductions to Jas and David but this was not expanded upon because there was an (incorrect as we now know) belief that COGS would reduce by a similar amount meaning that net margin was not actually materially affected by the reduction in price. This was clearly an incorrect assumption but is partially the reason that Marc, David and Jas did not raise any red flags – they were concentrating on the profit of the business rather than looking at the NSV in isolation …”
“… It has long been accepted that this is not a literalist exercise focused solely on a parsing of the wording of the particular clause but that the court must consider the contract as a whole …”: Wood v CapitaInsurances Services Ltd[2017] AC 1171 per Lord Hodge at [10]; and (4) When looking at the wider commercial context, care must be taken to identify the correct context, as observed by Lord Neuberger in Arnold v Britton (above) at [19 & 20]: “… commercial common sense is not to be invoked retrospectively. The mere fact that a contractual arrangement, if interpreted according to its natural language, has worked out badly, or even disastrously, for one of the parties is not a reason for departing from the natural language. Commercial common sense is only relevant to the extent of how matters would or could have been perceived by the parties, or by reasonable people in the position of the parties, as at the date that the contract was made …” and “… a court should be very slow to reject the natural meaning of a provision as correct simply because it appears to be a very imprudent term for one of the parties to have agreed, even ignoring the benefit of wisdom of hindsight. The purpose of interpretation is to identify what the parties have agreed, not what the court thinks that they should have agreed …”
“any such effects” refers back to the whole of the preceding warranty. There is no good reason for it not to refer back to the whole. (5) Fifthly, the last part of the TCW is guarding against the non-disclosure of “circumstances” the Warrantor would know would have particularly serious effects on the business, equivalent to a loss of “more than 20% of the total sales of the Group Companies”