“A decision about whether to recommend transfer to open conditions is based on a balanced assessment of risks and benefits This was the test in effect at that time , with an emphasis on risk reduction and the need for you to have made significant progress in changing your attitudes and tackling your behaviour problems in closed conditions, without which a move to open conditions will not generally be considered. … There was no evidence presented to the Board in support of your release and in fairness to you, you did not seek this. The Board agrees, your risk is not currently manageable in the community and therefore the protection of the public requires that you remain confined. The Board do not therefore direct you[r] release. … On the evidence presented to the Board and in particular the lack of insight and emotional detachment shown in your own evidence, the Board could not conclude that you have yet made significant progress that would allow it to recommend a progressive move. The Board concludes that core risk reduction work remains outstanding, and that this should be completed in closed conditions. It follows that the risk to the public remains too high to be managed in open conditions, and that risk outweighs the benefits to you of open conditions, identified as testing and resettlement benefits. You will remain in closed conditions pending the next generic review of your case.” … You will remain in closed conditions pending the next generic review of your case.”
“2.4. Whereas one psychologist considered that his risks had been addressed sufficiently, ‘predominantly through the completion of accredited programmes ….. but also the passage of time and general maturation which is also known to change risk through altered perceptions and priorities’, the alternative interpretation indicated that there were ‘core risk factors remaining to be addressed including [his] violent and prejudicial attitudes, the origin of these attitudes, and the fact that [he has] not been able to provide any evidence of their warning signs or how [he] would be able to address them (page 203). This divergence prompted a stark difference of opinion between the two experts whether Mr Cain should undertake a TC placement or not, a move viewed as without point by the former witness but firmly favoured by the latter. The POM sided against that, favouring a progressive move to Open, while the COM, Mr Gregory, was persuaded by the TC argument. 2.5. The 2019 Board felt unable to conclude that Mr Cain had made sufficient progress to afford a recommendation for Open conditions, citing particularly ‘the lack of insight and emotional detachment shown in [his] evidence.’”
“2.10 On reinterviewing Mr Cain again nearly a year on (report of February 2022) Ms Overton observed that ‘his overall presentation and approach to the current risk assessment, and the insight he has shown during this assessment period, has been significantly improved’. She observed that as her working relationship with him developed he had ‘seemed willing to disclose more about his past use of or involvement with violence, demonstrating increased insight into the factors which lead to his own involvement’. 2.11. In assessing current risk, Ms Overton reported that – the majority of risk factors in Mr Cain’s case are historical in nature, with the only elevated risk factors being historical problems with violence, other antisocial behaviours, relationships and traumatic experiences relating primarily to his turbulent childhood and experiences of rejection and abandonment. There is no evidence of current problems in these areas … Mr Cain has demonstrated for a considerable period of time that he can comply and does not display negative attitudes, showing a marked improvement from the early part of his sentence. It is evident he has spent time trying to distance himself from any involvement with violence .. 2.12. In consequence Ms Overton no longer retained the view that Mr Cain had outstanding core risk reduction work that needed to be addressed through a TC, or alternative therapeutic intervention. She suggested that if he were required to remain in Closed conditions it could be advantageous for him to experience a Progression Regime, which could serve to promote his experience of trust in working with professionals (page 248 refers), although she did not consider this an essential pathway for him.”
“Mr Cain would benefit from the opportunity to work closely with those tasked to manage his future risk to enable him to develop trusted working relationships with them so he does not feel the need to use impression management as a way of guarding himself from perceived personal intrusion.”
“I have considered that it may be useful for Mr Cain to have the opportunity to explore the function of his violence and any violent supportive attitudes he held in the past, especially towards sex offenders, to help him determine his future triggers. However, it is likely he would be most responsive, at this stage in his sentence, to receiving support to develop robust plans to help him manage any potential high risk scenarios. Having the opportunity to explore in supervision sessions any deficits in his management of his risk will be important, as well as to understand his decision-making in becoming involved in a serious offence on, not one, but two occasions. Mr Cain could be given the opportunity to consider his coping and problem solving strategies. In the past, this included becoming involved in the systematic abuse and victimisation of others to ‘fit in’ and seek acceptance (e.g. sex offender). Therefore, moving forward, it will be important for Mr Cain to utilise the skills he has developed to assist him to start and maintain meaningful relationships with pro-social peers and professionals which do not involve him needing to adopt negative attitudes to be accepted. Furthermore, it may be beneficial for Mr Cain and those managing his risk to explore in supervision the role that negative peers had in his life and why he chose to migrate towards them. During our interviews, he continued to deflect responsibility for violence inflicted on others in his presence. Whilst he may not have been culpable for the actual acts of violence, he chose not to do anything to prevent this. It might be helpful for Mr Cain to have the opportunity to consider what impact his behaviour could have on others. In addition, it would be useful for him to look at his suspicious and mistrustful beliefs towards others. Mr Cain is encouraged to have a look at the potential negative impact this could have on future supervision relationships and so it might be beneficial for this to be discussed openly and consideration given by professionals of how they can be responsive to this for Mr Cain.”
“if Mr Cain were to remain in closed conditions, I would recommend that he be transferred to a Progression Regime. This would provide him with the opportunity to work closely with a key worker with the oversight of psychology staff to enable him to consolidate his previous learning and to offer him the opportunity to identify and develop robust resettlement plans in preparation for him progression to open conditions and his eventual release. Mr Cain has spent a considerable period of time in prison and so as he progresses towards release it would be useful for him to build trust with his peers and staff in order to find new and helpful ways of communicating, accepting help and accepting good support. It is likely to take Mr Cain a significant period of time to be able to trust others, including residents and staff, and as such he should be encouraged to explore why he is so suspicious of others’ intentions. It is likely Mr Cain will display a tendency to appear passive and withdrawn, which may inhibit his ability to initially engage productively with professionals and pro-social peers. During supervision sessions with his POM or COM it may also be useful for Mr Cain to further explore how he relates to others, and collaboratively develop ways for him to make positive changes to the way he relates to others. It is unclear where Mr Cain’s negative attitudes towards sex offenders and any racial attitudes have come from and whether they manifested out of a traumatic event he has been unable to discuss and therefore this might be something he could discuss with his key worker to see what further insight he can gain or evidence. Prisons operating a Progression Regime, such as HMP Warren Hill, usually follow a Category D pattern Monday to Friday and allow longer periods ‘out of cell’ to enable pro-social skills and attitudes to be demonstrated. If Mr Cain were to transfer to a progression regime the prison would likely operate an integrated regime, which would offer him the opportunity to demonstrate that he is able to manage any negative attitudes towards minority groups. Given Mr Cain’s previous difficulties to be completely open and not to use impression management with staff/professionals, a period on a progression regime may assist him to be consistently less guarded about his life.”
“I am not recommending any further risk reduction work, although having the opportunity to discuss his risks in supervision to consolidate his learning and develop his plans for risk management in the future will be of vital importance. Such work would also offer Mr Cain the opportunity to develop a trusted working relationship with those managing his risk, as well as giving professionals the chance to evaluate further his insight.”
“I think your report was definitely fair and definitely balanced. Whilst I would like to go to an open prison and that would be my first option, I would be prepared to have a deferral for however long is needed to go to a progression regime and to try to clear up any misunderstanding with my violence and in my case.”
“Michael Cain Solicitor’s note of evidence of psychologists on need for open conditions18 January 2023 Lucy Overton (prison psychologist) and Julia Long (independent psychologist) gave evidence together and were asked questions by the Board Both psychologists agreed that there was no further risk reduction work necessary to carry out in closed conditions. JL said that there was no need for transfer to a progression regime. In response to the Board she did query whether he might meet the test for release given her assessment of the risk to the public he poses – there was no “unmanageable risk”
“I am not entirely sure who I need to inform this, but I have spoken with Mr Cain at length this morning and do not have anything to add to my current psychological risk assessment. I am happy to give any update verbally at the oral hearing on 18th Jan.”
“Firstly, your letter relies on the prison psychologist’s (Ms Overton) written report which was before the Board. As noted in our letter of claim this report was completed on16 February 2022 and so predated the oral hearing before the Board by nearly 12 months. By the time of the hearing Ms Overton did not support a move to a PU.”
“The Board agrees with Ms Long that requiring him to demonstrate this further in a Progression Regime would add little or no value to the understanding of his repertoire of self-management skills”
“Turning to whether a period in open conditions is considered essential to inform future decisions about release and to prepare for possible release The relevant test: see below , in this respect too the evidence is one way, not least the clear view on Mr Cain’s part to that effect. As Ms Overton has expressed the issue: ‘it is likely he would be most responsive, at this stage in his sentence, to receiving support to develop robust plans to help him manage any potential high risk scenarios’. In the Board’s view, that support needs to be offered in conditions of greater freedom/opportunity and reduced custodial oversight.”
“this would provide you with the opportunity to work closely with a key worker with the oversight of psychology staff to enable you to consolidate your previous learning and to offer you the opportunity to identify and develop robust resettlement plans in preparation for your progression to open conditions and your eventual release. You have spent a considerable period of time in prison and so, as you progress towards release it would be useful for you to build trust with your peers and staff in order to find new and helpful ways of communicating, accepting help and accepting good support.”
“In my judgment, the correct approach is therefore as follows. When considering the lawfulness of a decision to depart from a recommendation of the Parole Board, it is important to identify with precision the conclusions or propositions with which the Secretary of State disagrees. It is not helpful to seek to classify these conclusions or propositions as "questions of fact" or "questions of assessment of risk". The more pertinent question is whether the conclusion or proposition is one in relation to which the Parole Board enjoys a particular advantage over the Secretary of State (in which case very good reason would have to be shown for departing from it) or one involving the exercise of a judgment requiring the balancing of private and public interests (in which case the Secretary of State, having accorded appropriate respect to the Parole Board's view, is entitled to take a different view). In both cases, the Secretary of State must give reasons for departing from the Parole Board's view, but the nature and quality of the reasons required may differ.”