“Consideration for a recommendation for transfer to / or continued suitability for open conditions should be based on a balanced assessment of risks and benefits. The Parole Board must take the following main factors into account; • The extent to which the prisoner has made sufficient progress in addressing and reducing risk to a level consistent with protecting the public from harm on temporary release; • the extent to which they are likely to comply with any form of temporary release; • the risk of their absconding; and • the benefits of testing them in a less restrictive environment.”
“4.5 Mr. Wynne has undertaken a great deal of work to address his risk factors. He has spent many years in therapy with positive outcomes, as evidenced by the PPRs. He has been treated (apparently successfully) for PTSD through EMDR. 4.6 Mr. Wynne has presented the Panel with a sustained period of good behaviour going back many years. The Panel is aware that as an ex-soldier the discipline of a regular routine in a prison is easily assimilated but that does not explain the absence of traits which were apparent in the years leading up to the index offences: the absence of violence in custody; the absence of domineering or controlling behaviour; the absence of substance misuse; the emotional management in times of stress; the absence of offence paralleling behaviour; the wealth of positive reports from those responsible for his management; the positive references from other prison officers who have monitored his workplace skills; the capacity to deal with setbacks and the desire to make good his earlier deficits – restorative justice; education and solid plans for the future. 4.7 In addition, the evidence of the psychologists cannot be ignored. With each adjournment the Panel asked for further investigation and assessments of emerging information. The opinions and conclusions have not altered. 4.8 As the Secretary of State’s representative points out: ‘all qualified risk assessors continue to recommend a progressive move to open conditions’ adding that the Secretary of State ‘relies on the evidence of the witnesses’ and thereafter encourages the Panel to apply the relevant statutory tests. 4.9 There is no identified core risk reduction work to be done in the closed estate. … In the judgement of the Panel he has insight and no longer ruminates with feelings of grievance. In all probability he will have to be released at some point. He now needs to put into practice the skills he has acquired. There will be a need to adjust but the Panel takes the view that Mr. Wynne has acquired the skills to do so. … The judgement of the Panel is that he is unlikely to abscond and will seek help in the open estate if he is unsettled, particularly if his mother’s health deteriorates or there is excessive media interest. The judgement of the Panel is that he has demonstrated an ability to resist illicit substances if things are going wrong or if he is under pressure in the prison system. … 4.10 The Panel has specifically considered all 4 aspects of the test set out at the commencement to this decision. There is no doubt, as set out in the preceding paragraphs that Mr. Wynne satisfies all aspects of the test. … 4.11 … There is no further core risk reduction work recommended by any professionals involved in the case. (Test 1). 4.12 On any analysis, Mr Wynne has been a calm, resolved and compliant prisoner in the custodial estate. There are no indications or suggestions of any future likelihood of non-compliance with conditions when on temporary release. Mr Wynne has shown personal insights into his risks and the challenges ahead. (Test 2). 4.13 Mr Wynne and all professionals were pressed as to the likelihood of him absconding in the future for any reason. Again, he showed what appeared to be a genuine awareness of the pressures that might be on him and explicitly stated that there was no merit or purpose in him doing so. The professionals all agreed. (Test 3). 4.14 The Panel agrees with the professionals that it is essential after a long period in custody that Mr Wynne is tested in open conditions in all aspects of his attitudes; behaviours; emotional resilience; readiness to seek help/support and his copying strategies in the face of difficulty. He has recognised the necessity and benefit of such testing and him further developing social skills in a rehabilitative environment. (Test 4). … 4.16 Having regard to the totality of the evidence the Panel has no doubt Mr. Wynne meets the test for a transfer to the open estate and accordingly recommends to the Secretary of State that he be transferred. Finally, the Panel takes the view that it might, in the light of the evidence, both written and oral, be considered perverse to reject the recommendation.” (Emphasis added.)
“Having assessed the case and taken into account the above information, I have not found any reason for the Secretary of State not to accept the panel’s recommendation. Mr Wynne’s behaviour in custody has been very good and he has been fully compliant with the prison regime and appears to be held in high esteem by the prison authorities. He has remained drug free during his entire time in custody and he has completed all core risk reduction work required of him in the closed estate. Despite a couple of adjournments and significant delays with his review (all of which were beyond his control) he has not displayed any kind of negative reaction and report writers believe this demonstrates ‘robust emotional control’. He appears to be remorseful for the index offence and has shown victim empathy. … The judgment of the panel considering his case at the hearing is that he is unlikely to abscond and will seek help in the open estate if he is unsettled, particularly if his mother’s health deteriorates or there is excessive media interest. All agencies believe he is ready for a move to open conditions. There appears to be little else for him to achieve in the closed estate and the next step towards his rehabilitation will be for him to move to an open prison and test his abilities in a less secure environment. For these reasons I recommend a move to open conditions at this juncture.”
“The Panel’s decision is particularly thorough. Mr Wynne’s risks has been examined in great detail. I believe the panel has set out a justifiable case for why they believe Mr Wynne is suitable for open conditions at this time. The Panel have clearly outlined how each part of the test for progression to less secure conditions has been met. With regards to Mr Wynne’s progress in addressing and reducing his risk to a level consistent with protecting the public from harm on temporary release, there is clear and strong support for his progression from all report writers. Mr Wynne has taken part in a significant level of therapy and offending behaviour related work with positive outcomes and reports. The index offences were closely tied to Mr Wynne’s drug and alcohol use. For close to 17 years now, Mr Wynne has been free of illegal substances. Mr Wynne’s past offending has been violent in nature. Evidence outlined in the Panel’s recommendation notes that in the same 17 years, there have been no adjudications for violence, no evidence of violence during his time in detention and no negative entries for violence. Mr Wynne has reached a point where there is no core work remaining for him to complete. All report writers and the panel are of the view that Mr Wynne’s risk of harm to the public remains high. A number of protective factors are outlined that would support Mr Wynne should he be granted access to less secure conditions and the community. … Given the level of insight and compliance report writers believe Mr Wynne is displaying it would appear there is a level of evidence, as well as his own self reporting, that he would comply with temporary release. This would of course be subject to risk assessment and it is noted that in his case there is a general consensus that Mr Wynne’s risk of harm is not considered to be imminent. In relation to Mr Wynne’s risk of absconding the panel explored in detail the incident that led to him being AWOL from the Army. The panel addressed this with all report writers and it is noted that his actions were believed to be the result of a misplaced one-off decision. Report writers agree that Mr Wynne has shown, what appeared to be, a genuine awareness of the pressures that might be on him and explicitly stated that there was no merit or purpose in him absconding. The Panel’s recommendation outlines a great deal of progress and a significant period of sustained positive behaviour, free from drug use or violence. There appears to be no offence paralleling behaviours reported for a significant amount of time … On the basis of the information available, I do not believe the criteria for rejection has been met in this case. I do believe there is a wholly persuasive argument at this time, for accepting this open recommendation and allowing Mr Wynne to progress to open conditions for further testing.”
“Thank you for your analysis. I have read the decision letter and the reports. I agree that some credible arguments have been advanced for accepting the recommendation. However, I have decided to reject it as I do not think a wholly persuasive case has been advanced to transfer Mr Wynne to open conditions at the current time. He has completed significant work to address his risk factors, but the following have led me to conclude that his risks cannot be effectively managed in open conditions: the extreme violence of his murder of [redacted], together with its impulsivity and the impulsivity of his other offences; his tendency to justify his actions (there can be no justification for almost decapitating [redacted] with a meat cleaver); and his unconvincing account of the arson offence. Please produce a draft letter, to articulate my reasons for rejecting the Board’s recommendation. Please let me then clear the reply, since it will be conveying my decision.” (Emphasis added.)
“I can confirm that the Secretary of State has decided, exceptionally, that there is not a wholly persuasive case that you transfer to open conditions at this time. The decision maker carefully considered the information contained in the dossier, the Parole Board’s recommendation, the views of your Community Offender Manager (COM), Prison Offender Manager (POM) and prison psychologist in reaching this decision and the Secretary of State has reached a different conclusion to that of the Parole Board, as is his right.” (Emphasis added.)
“Prisoners shall be committed to such prisons as the Secretary of State may from time to time direct; and may by direction of the Secretary of State be removed during the term of their imprisonment from the prison in which they are confined to any other prison.”
“The Secretary of State may make rules for the regulation and management of prisons …, and for the classification, treatment, employment, discipline and control of persons required to be detained therein.”
“Subject to paragraphs (1A) to (1D), prisoners shall be classified, in accordance with any directions of the Secretary of State, having regard to their age, temperament and record and with a view to maintaining good order and facilitating training and, in the case of convicted prisoners, of furthering the purpose of their training and treatment as provided by rule 3.”
“It is the duty of the Board to advise the Secretary of State with respect to any matter referred to it by him which is to do with the early release or recall of prisoners.”
“Pre-Tariff ISPs [Indeterminate Sentenced Prisoners] are eligible to have their case referred to the Parole Board to consider their suitability for transfer to open conditions up to three years prior to their TED. In order to target Parole Board and HMPPS resources effectively, the Secretary of State only refers those pre-tariff cases to the Parole Board where there is a reasonable prospect of the Board making a positive recommendation. …” (Emphasis added.)
“1. A period in open conditions can in certain circumstances be beneficial for those indeterminate sentence prisoners (ISPs) eligible to be considered for such a transfer. … 5. A move to open conditions should be based on a balanced assessment of risk and benefits. However, the Parole Board’s emphasis should be on the risk reduction aspect and comment, in particular, on the need for the ISP to have made significant progress in changing his/her attitudes and tackling behavioural problems in closed conditions, without which a move to open conditions will not generally be considered.”
“ISPs [‘Indeterminate Sentenced Prisoners’] transferring to open conditions … 3.8.17 Upon receipt of the Parole Board decision, PPCS are responsible for ensuring that all papers considered by the panel are considered when making a decision on the prisoner’s transfer to open. … 3.8.18 PPCS are responsible for deciding whether to accept or reject the Parole Board’s recommendation for an ISP to move to open conditions, taking into account the Secretary of State’s directions for the Parole Board. This decision must take place within 28 calendar days of receipt of the Parole Board decision. … 3.8.19 PPCS may consider rejecting the Parole Board’s recommendation for open conditions if the criteria in constraint paragraph 4.6.1 are met. See further guidance at 5.8.2.” (Emphasis added)
“5.8.2 PPCS may consider rejecting the Parole Board’s recommendation if the following criteria are met: • The panel’s recommendation goes against the clear recommendation of report writers without providing a sufficient explanation as to why; • Or, the panel’s recommendation is based on inaccurate information”
“The Secretary of State may also reject a Parole Board recommendation if it is considered that there is not a wholly persuasive case for transferring the prisoner to open conditions at this time.” (Emphasis added.)
“54. … Cases such as Banfield[2007] EWHC 2605 make it plain that the Secretary of State may lawfully disagree with the Parole Board's view that the time has arrived to transfer a prisoner to open conditions, and that he may ascribe different weight to material factors in the risk/benefit balancing exercise. … 55. In my judgment, the Secretary of State is entitled to adopt a Policy which enables the ultimate decision-maker to explore the question whether the Board's recommendation was reached after a proper evaluation of the evidence and application of the Secretary of State's Directions. The Secretary of State must have due regard to the justification given for the Board's recommendation, but he is entitled to adopt a Policy which enables the decision-maker to explore that justification and to form a view as to whether it, and the reasoning behind it, is cogent. This does not undermine or fail to pay sufficient regard to the advantages that an oral review may confer on the Board in its assessment of the relevant risks and benefits. The decision-maker is not proceeding on the basis of the written reports alone. He or she is bound to take into account any aspects of a report writer's oral evidence that the Board has referred to in its decision, and the fact-findings it has made, including any relevant findings on credibility. As Hindawi[2011] EWHC 830 makes clear, the decision-maker cannot depart from those findings without good reason and nothing in the Policy would enable that to happen.”
“One circumstance in which the Secretary of State can properly conclude that a Parole Board decision is unjustified or inadequately reasoned is where it fails to follow directions made by the Secretary of State under section 239(6) of the 2003 Act and, in consequence, fails to apply the correct test or address the correct criteria: R (Stephens) v Secretary of State for Justice[2021] EWHC 3257 (Admin) at [37]–[39] (Whipple LJ).”
“More generally, the circumstances in which the Secretary of State may depart from findings and recommendations made by the Parole Board have been considered on many occasions in the authorities.”
“46. Mr Grandison accepted that this was a finding of fact, with the consequence that very good reason was required for departing from it. For my part, I doubt that it is helpful to seek to classify parts of a Parole Board recommendation as either findings of fact (to which the approach in Hindawi[2011] EWHC 830 (QB) applies) or assessments of risk (to which lesser weight attaches). 47. The issue on which the Secretary of State disagreed with the Parole Board in Hindawi was whether the prisoner was telling the truth when he said he had renounced violence. This was, quintessentially, the type of question on which a panel (whose members have heard oral evidence from the prisoner) would enjoy a significant advantage over the Secretary of State (who has not). It is for this reason that appellate courts are typically very reluctant to disturb findings of fact by first instance courts which turn on the credibility of witnesses who have given oral evidence. 48. There may be other questions which do not turn on the credibility of oral evidence, where, for other reasons, the panel has an advantage over the Secretary of State. Contested questions of diagnosis are likely to fall into this category. For example, if a Parole Board panel found that particular behaviours were best explained by a prisoner's personality disorder (rather than, say, mental illness), or that a particular treatment was likely to be effective in substantially reducing risk, the Secretary of State would no doubt need a very good reason to depart from such a finding. This is because the Parole Board's process (in which experts are questioned by representatives for the prisoner and the Secretary of State and by tribunal members who are themselves experts) is well suited to resolving issues of this kind, even ones where reasonable experts differ. On questions such as these, the Secretary of State could depart from Parole Board decisions if the Parole Board has overlooked or misunderstood some key piece of evidence or failed to give adequate reasons for its view, but not simply because he would have resolved the dispute differently. 49. Disputes about the level of risk posed by a prisoner will often turn on precisely these kinds of questions on disputed issues of fact or prediction. Where they do, the Secretary of State will need to show a very good reason for taking a view that differs from the Parole Board on the disputed question. But, as the reasoning in Hindawi shows, “risk assessment” will generally involve a further and qualitatively different exercise that falls to be undertaken against the background of the facts as found and the predictions as made by the Parole Board. This is the evaluative assessment required when reaching the ultimate decision whether to recommend transfer to open conditions. 50. As encapsulated in paragraph 7(a) of the Directions, the Parole Board has to consider “the extent to which the [prisoner] has made sufficient progress during the sentence in addressing and reducing risk to a level consistent with protecting the public from harm”
“Mr Wynne gave evidence for the best part of 3 hours and the Panel was able to assess his evidence, in particular his credibility, and form an understanding of the risk he presented in the past and what has been done to address it.” (Emphasis added.)
“1.17 Arson: Following the murder, 16 months later, on the 8th/9th July 2005 , in the early hours of the morning, following the 7/7 bombings in London which had occurred less than 48 hours before, Mr. Wynne took the decision to attack a mosque in his local area. On this night he again had been socialising in the Birkenhead area and again had taken a large amount of alcohol and cocaine. He was with another person he has consistently declined to name when he decided to set fire to a mosque. On his way home he passed the mosque, which has been described by him as a ‘derelict’ building, and further down the road he went to go past a 24-hour garage when he took the decision to set fire to the mosque. He bought a petrol can and filled it with petrol. It appears he made no attempt to hide his identity. 1.18 Mr. Wynne believed the mosque to be empty but, unbeknown to him, the Imam was inside. It is fortunate that the Imam managed to escape uninjured. It is reported that Mr. Wynne left his jacket and the lighter at the scene so that his DNA could be traced. Mr. Wynne was arrested 7 days later and confessed to both the arson attack and then to the murder. 1.19 Searches later revealed a document in his possession which said, ‘English and Proud’. The sentencing judge noted that Mr. Wynne had recorded in papers found by police ‘bitter remarks about asylum seekers’. There is other evidence, from therapy reports that at the time he held anti-Islamic views. He has denied these suggestions. … 1.49 Mr. Wynne was questioned in detail about the arson attack. He said he did not want to be evasive about the person he was with, but he claimed he was not involved in the attack and so did not need to be named. When he saw what Mr. Wynne was doing with the petrol, Mr. Wynne claims he was shouting at him to stop. Again, the offence was preceded by the use of alcohol, cannabis and cocaine. Mr. Wynne claims that this was an impulsive and not a premeditated or pre-planned attack. There is an apparent contradiction between his claims that he set the fire with a view to being caught and arrested with the intent of admitting to the Index Offence. On the other hand, he has on many occasions linked the attack to the events of 7/7 and his views about Islamic terrorism and asylum seekers from the Arab region. 1.50 However, he denied he was a racist and denied that it was a revenge attack. He did admit to feeling aggrieved that ‘asylum seekers could receive benefits, when his has [sic] been stopped’ (due to his failure to sign on). In the light of the evidence found by the police his answers were not entirely convincing. However, there is no evidence that he was aware the Imam was in the building. … 3.15 Following the first adjournment the two psychologists were directed to prepare additional reports to consider in greater detail issues of extremism, susceptibility to radicalisation (by others and to others) and consider additional warning signs. Ms. Hough undertook a full ERG22+ [Extremism Risk Guidelines]. She concluded that her ‘view remains that his intent in relation to the Arson offence reflected such risk factors and was not an extremism intent per se, but a dysfunctional problem solving approach, fuelled in part by substance use and his perceptions of injustice at the time of the July bombings and views around use of terrorist actions outside of a conflict zone’. … 4.2 The Panel recognised the severity of the arson offence but has found no other evidence of an interest in fire setting in the past. Equally, there has been no subsequent concern as to his attitude towards those of the Muslim faith or any expressed interest in extreme right wing beliefs. None of the professionals recorded any enduring concerns about these matters.” (Emphasis added.)
“Objectively, the Panel did not sense there was evidence of impression management, either in the way he presented to the Panel during the hearing or having regard to the wide body of opinion which has commented favourably on Mr. Wynne’s overall prison behaviour, which did not suggest that he was seeking to manipulate. It would be very difficult to please so many people over such a sustained period.”
“Report writers rely on your self-report that abscond poses you no risk or merit. Given your dishonesty in this past this [is] a concern.”
“1.41 The Panel noted that, whilst stationed in Northern Ireland on an operational tour with his regiment, after being denied compassionate leave as his seriously ill sister was not a nominated Next of Kin, he went Absent Without Leave (using a false name to travel by plane) for a period of a month in December 1997 with the assistance of a friend. He was fined a months’ pay on his voluntary return. … His decision to go AWOL was put to all the witnesses as potentially relevant to or indicative of a risk of abscond. The consensus was that the decision he took appears to be a misplaced ‘one-off’ decision and the Panel has concluded that it is unlikely to be repeated if Mr. Wynne transfers to the open estate. 1.42 For example, the Panel was concerned about whether he would, if his mother (or another member of his near family, living in Birkenhead) became gravely ill. Would he be prepared to break the terms of his licence? He insisted he would always seek to do things properly and get permission if he wished to see anyone in an area he was not permitted to visit as he would not do anything to jeopardise his future release and his family would not wish him to either. This remains, however, an untested future challenge. … 3.23 … Dr Patel agreed that he had a history of ‘toughing it out’, choosing not to seek help but that, she said, appeared to be ‘in the past’. She did not think he would be tempted towards ‘flight’ if the media interest became too great. … 3.34 Release does not fall for consideration and a detailed examination of the Risk Management Plan (‘RMP’) also does not therefore fall for consideration. Nevertheless, the Panel has remarked on Mr. Wynne’s personal representations and the Panel questioned him to see if he was realistic. He was questioned about his risk factors and showed a clear understanding of them. He would not abscond because he would be left with ‘nothing’. …”
“There is some concern that he has at times shown a readiness to explain or, in some way, to justify his actions to professionals. This remains an area that will need to be monitored and challenged as appropriate. Mr Wynne told the Panel that he recognised this as a historic trait.”