‘a reasonable degree of likelihood’
“28. Considering all the evidence in the round and for the reasons set out above, I am not satisfied, on the balance of probabilities, that the appellant has a characteristic which could cause them to fear persecution for a Convention reason, namely for reasons of their race or religion. I find that the internal and external inconsistencies in the appellant’s account are significant. I reject the appellant’s account as credible. I find therefore, on the balance of probabilities, that the appellant does not in fact fear persecution in Botswana as a result of their race or religion. Given these findings, I do not need to go on to determine whether, applying the lower standard of proof, there is a reasonable degree of likelihood that the appellant would be persecuted for a Convention reason on return. However, for the avoidance of doubt, I will go onto determine these issues. 29. I am not satisfied, to the lower standard, that the appellant would be persecuted for a Convention reason on return to Botswana. There is no background evidence before me to confirm that those who refuse to take on the tribal leadership face any risk. There is no evidence that the Herero are a secret tribe and therefore nothing to suggest that it would be difficult to obtain reliable information about them. There is no evidence to confirm that individuals are at risk due to their conversion to born-again Christianity. There is no background evidence before me to support an account of the level of attacks suggested by the appellant.”
“I am not satisfied, on the balance of probabilities, that the appellant has a characteristic which could cause them to fear persecution for a Convention reason”