"movement between the IKR and the rest of Iraq has largely ground to a halt"
"Living in abandoned or unfinished buildings is the most common type of critical shelter arrangement, especially in the Kurdistan region, where the sudden interruption of the real estate boom by the Kurdish political and economic crisis has left numerous unfinished buildings and abandoned construction projects...."
"The Respondent's position is that the words 'significant minority' (of 'fellow countrymen') mean what they say. 'Significant' in this context means sufficiently great in number to be worthy of attention; it is the opposite of 'insignificant', which concerns de minimis numbers that can be ignored. In this regard, it follows from the numbers involved that the population of IKR is itself a significant minority of the population of Iraq, and indeed even a significant minority of the population of the IKR is a significant minority of the population of Iraq. Therefore, the Appellant (or any other proposed returnee to the IKR) cannot succeed in an internal relocation argument simply by demonstrating on the basis of the objective evidence that the lives of significant number of people in the IKR (or in Iraq as a whole) are hard and that he would face ' equivalent hardship ' on return - indeed, that would disqualify him from succeeding, as then his life on return would be a 'relatively' normal one (relative to a 'significant minority' of his 'fellow countrymen'). In order for any harshness to be 'undue' he would have to show that, in comparison to the 'significant minority' his likely life on return to the IKR 'would be quite simply intolerable', ie significantly worse that the lives of the 'significant minority' (whilst recognising that the 'undue' threshold remains lower than the Article 3 (of the ECHR) ill-treatment threshold, as AH (Sudan) makes clear)"
"It is not necessary to establish that a majority of the population live at subsistence level for that to be regarded as a "relatively normal" existence in the country as a whole. If a significant minority suffer equivalent hardship to that likely to be suffered by a claimant on relocation and if the claimant is as well able to bear it as most, it may well be appropriate to refuse him international protection" . (emphasis added) And second, to what standard must conditions have sunk before they will become 'unreasonable': "
"Whilst Immigration Judge Coker did not have the benefit of the House of Lords in AH(Sudan) she clearly had the jurisprudence that their Lordships confirmed in mind when she said, at the end of her §38, that the situation facing AA was the same as that of many other young women living in Kampala, and quoted Lord Hope of Craighead, who asked whether the claimant could live a relatively normal life judged by the standards that prevail in his country of nationality generally: those standards, or the relevant hardship, being as Lord Brown of Eaton-under-Haywood explained in AH(Sudan) that of a significant minority in the country..."
"the difficulty lies in applying the test, not in expressing it"
"112. In Dr Fatah's opinion the IKR "is virtually violence free, and only exceptional one offs disrupt this"
"173. As regards those who have an expired or current Iraqi passport but no CSID - Dr Fatah identifies in his first report that a CSID may be obtained through the "
"Unless and until a tribunal or court directs otherwise, the Appellant is granted anonymity. No report of these proceedings shall directly or indirectly identify him or any member of his family. This direction applies to, amongst others, both the Appellant and the Respondent. Failure to comply with this direction could lead to contempt of court proceedings"
"He is a Kurd from Kirkuk. He speaks Kurdish (Sorani) and some Arabic. He has a CSID and the nationality certificate. He is married with two children. He married against his wife's family's wishes and the couple fled to Mosul shortly after the wedding in 2004, where they managed to live there in relative safety without any difficulties from her family for 11 years. However, Mosul rapidly fell to ISIS in 2014 and their widespread brutality against its inhabitants is well known. One only has to recall the graphic BBC news footage of that brutality and the countless reports and articles of mass executions and headings to appreciate the horror and depravity that time. In that context, I accept that he had the difficulties with ISIS that he said he encountered in Mosul. He had to escape and on his own admission, he fled Iraq because of ISIS"
"I am not satisfied that he has established even the lower standard of proof that he would be at risk of being found by his wife's family who are from Kirkuk. He managed to live in Mosul for 11 years without detection. We will be able to gain access to the IKR and would have a reasonable prospect of work. There is no suggestion by the Respondent that if he was returned to Baghdad that he would be expected to travel overland to Erbil through the contested areas. That would put him at risk. Instead, he may be expected to fly to Erbil or he may be flown to Erbil directly from this country. It will also be able to obtain financial assistance to help him return." 7. Finding that there was a reasonable alternative flight alternative in the IKR, the Tribunal dismissed the appeal. The Appeal 8. The grounds of appeal are that the First-tier Tribunal erred in its approach to internal flight. 9. First, some complaint is made about the suggestion that the Appellant could fly direct from the UK to Erbil, when there is no evidence to that effect and it appears to run contrary to the position taken in AA (Iraq ). At the hearing before me Mr Bradshaw acknowledged that this was not his strongest point since the determination also suggests that the Appellant could take an internal flight from Baghdad to Erbil. That was of course the route envisaged by the Tribunal in AA (Iraq ); Mr Bradshaw realistically conceded that in view of the IOM resettlement grant it was unlikely that he could make submissions that this was, for instance, prohibitively expensive. 10. Instead Mr Bradshaw concentrated on his second ground, which was that the internal flight assessment made in respect of the IKR was wholly inadequate. The Tribunal identifies only three issues to find relocation to be reasonable. It finds there to be no objectively well-founded risk of "honour" based violence, concludes that the Appellant would be able to gain entry, and that he would be able to work. The determination does not address any of the following matters: (i) Whether the Appellant's family would be able to join him there (their last known whereabouts was Mosul); (ii) Whether the Appellant would be able to secure accommodation and employment such that he/he and his family would be able to live a relatively "normal life"; (iii) To what extent the Appellant's lack of support network (he has no family or other connection to Erbil) might be relevant to those issues (particularly where this was found to be a relevant factor in respect of Baghdad); (iv) Whether there would be any security of residence (ie would it be a durable solution); (v) Would he, as an IDP, be facing a challenging humanitarian situation (albeit one that fell short of violatingArticle 3 ECHR ). 11. Mr Bradshaw conceded that on the limited material before the First-tier Tribunal he could not submit that its conclusions on internal flight were perverse, but he submitted that absent the holistic evaluation of all relevant issues they could not be regarded as safe. 12. I agree. There appears to have been no consideration to the uncontested fact that the Appellant has no family connection to the IKR, and no assessment of the humanitarian situation on the ground. The country guidance in AA (Iraq ) had said very little about the region other than that there was, at the time, very little violence there. The test, as Mr Bradshaw rightly identified, is not however one of risk of serious harm. It is whether, taking all of the circumstances and the personal characteristics of the appellant into account, internal relocation would be reasonable. The very limited exercise conducted at paragraph 18 does not reflect that test. The reasoning is set aside for that reason. 13. I am not satisfied that ground (i) is made out. In light of the extant country guidance the Tribunal was entitled to find that the Appellant could fly to Erbil from Baghdad. The Re-Making: Directions 14. The parties before me were in agreement about one matter. That is that the situation in Iraq has changed since the last country guidance in AA , and that that decision said very little about the situation in the IKR other than that there was, at the time, minimal violence there. Mr Bradshaw requested that consideration be given to whether this case could be listed for country guidance, so that expert evidence might be taken about the security and humanitarian situation in the IKR. Mr Mills did not oppose that request. 15. I indicated to the parties that this case may be considered suitable for country guidance on that point. I adjourned the proceedings until the 12 th May in order that Mr Bradshaw could take instructions and seek to identify a potential expert. 16. The hearing will resume as a 'case management review' on the 12 th May 2017 in Birmingham. The parties are directed that the following case management tasks must have been completed by the close of that hearing: (i) The parties are to agree a succinct formulation of the issues to be decided as country guidance (This formulation of the issues to be addressed and determined is provisional. It will be open to the parties and their representatives to make representations to the Upper Tribunal about this matter. The Upper Tribunal will be the final arbiter. This matter will be resolved authoritatively at such stage as the Upper Tribunal considers appropriate). (ii) The Appellants' representative will provide the following information: (a) The number of witnesses expected to be called and information on their availability (b) The identity of any expert witness (c) The date upon which any expert witness was instructed (d) Whether any expert witness's report is available OR the date that it will be available (iii) The name of the designated solicitor (iv) The names of Counsel (v) The name of any Home Office Presenting Officer involved 17. It would also be helpful if the Respondent's representative was in a position to advise the Tribunal with basic information/figures about the comparable cases 'in the system' 18. The parties and their representatives are reminded that CG appeals are of a distinctive category. Decisions of the Upper Tribunal in CG cases are designed to provide broad guidance on the question of whether the United Kingdom Government would be acting unlawfully in compelling certain persons or classes of person to depart the United Kingdom and travel to a specific country or area thereof. CG decisions have been described as authoritative rulings upon the state of affairs in any given territory. They have a status and significance comparable to that which declarations possess in judicial review proceedings. 19. The question of whether this appeal receives the formal CG designation will be reviewed by the Upper Tribunal country guidance committee following the case management review. A further review will be conducted upon the conclusion of the proceedings. 20. The parties and their representatives are reminded that it is their obligation to co-operate fully with and assist the Upper Tribunal at all stages in the conduct of these proceedings. 21. Further directions will follow the case management review. Decisions 22. The decision of the First-tier Tribunal contains an error of law such that the decision must be set aside to the limited extent identified above. 23. The hearing is to resume as a case management review on the 12 th May 2017. 24. There is a direction for anonymity. Upper Tribunal Judge Bruce 24 th April 2017 APPENDIX B ADDITIONAL MATERIALS USED Date Document Source20 January 2018 Rudaw, More than 4 million Iraqi children affected by conflict and poverty, UN http://www.rudaw.net/mobile/english/middleeast/iraq/20012018118 January 2018 Human Rights Watch, World Report 2018 - Iraq http://www.refworld.org/country,,,,IRQ,,5a61ee64a,0.html18 January 2018 UNHCR, Situation Update - Iraq https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/20180126%20UNHCR%20Iraq%20Flash%20Update.pdf18 January 2018 Rudaw, Iraq's closure of schools for IDPs sparks fear of forced returns http://www.rudaw.net/mobile/english/middleeast/iraq/18012018116 January 2018 International Crisis Group, Twilight of the Kurds https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/iraq/twilight-kurds11 January 2018 US Institute of Peace, Iraq's Impasse with Kurds Puts Post-ISIS Stabilization at Risk https://reliefweb.int/report/iraq/iraq-s-impasse-kurds-puts-post-isis-stabilization-risk27 December 2017 The New Arab, The Iraq Report: Kurdistan in turmoil https://www.alaraby.co.uk/english/indepth/2017/12/27/the-iraq-report-kurdistan-in-turmoil21 December 2017 The New Arab, Protests in Iraqi Kurdistan sparked by long-held grievances https://www.alaraby.co.uk/english/comment/2017/12/21/long-held-grievances-fuel-protest-in-iraqi-kurdistan19 December 2017 Iraqi News, Eight IS militants killed in Peshmerga attack on Makhmour hideout https://www.iraqinews.com/iraq-war/peshmerga-fighters-kill-eight-islamic-state/18 December 2017 Lifos (Swedish Migration Agency), The Security Situation in Iraq: July 2016-November 2017 https://lifos.migrationsverket.se/dokument?documentAttachmentId= 4540318 December 2017 Reuters, Kurdish authorities say Iraq forces preparing fresh attack; Iraq denies https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-iraq-kurds/ kurdish-authorities-say-iraq-forces-preparing-fresh-attack-iraq -denies-idUSKBN1EC27R18 December 2017 Rudaw, Iraqi forces building up near Makhmour, warns Kurdish security body http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/1812201758 December 2017 UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UN OCHA), Humanitarian Bulletin, Iraq https://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/ OCHA%20Iraq%20Humanitarian%20Bulletin%20% 28November%202017%29_Final.pdf29 November 2017 Rudaw, Kurdish 'Liberation Army' threatens to attack Hashd in Tuz Khurmatu http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/29112017914 November 2017 UN OCHA, Earthquake in northeast Iraq14 November 2017 - 12:30, Flash Update #3 [EN/AR/KU] https://reliefweb.int/report/iraq/earthquake-northeast-iraq-14-november-2017-1230-flash-update-3-enarku2 November 2017 UNHCR, Mosul weekly protection update (27 October -2 November 2017 ) https://reliefweb.int/report/iraq/mosul-weekly-protection-update-27-october-2-november-201730 October 2017 The Independent, Iraq to end decades-old policy of semi-independent rule in Kurdistan, says PM http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/kurdistan-iraq-prime-minister-abadi-interview-independence-haider-baghdad-kirkuk-patrick-cockburn-a8028201.html25 October 2017 Al Arabiya, Nearly 30,000 Kurds displaced from city near Kirkuk: Aid groups https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2017/10/25/Nearly-30-000-Kurds-displaced-from-city-near-Kirkuk-Aid-groups.html24 October 2017 Amnesty International, Iraq: fresh evidence that tens of thousands forced to flee Tuz Khurmatu amid indiscriminate attacks, looting and arson https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2017/10/iraq-fresh-evidence-that-tens-of-thousands-forced-to-flee-tuz-khurmatu-amid-indiscriminate-attacks-lootings-and-arson/24 October 2017 Rudaw, Peshmerga repel Iraqi forces attack in Makhmour http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/24102017420 October 2017 Al Jazeera, '100,000 flee Kirkuk' since Iraqi army takeover http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/10/000-flee-kirkuk-iraqi-army-takeover-171019215041252.html20 October 2017 Human Rights Watch, Iraq: Fighting in Disputed Territories Kills Civilians https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/10/20/iraq-fighting-disputed-territories-kills-civilians20 October 2017 Washington Post, Kurdish and Iraqi forces in fierce clash for remaining district of Kirkuk https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/kurdish-and-iraqi-forces-in-fierce-clash-for-remaining-district-of-kirkuk/2017/10/20/3564bdd0-b5a2-11e7-9b93-b97043e57a22_story.html?utm_term=.4ab5b3b9c13b19 October 2017 International Medical Corps, Iraq Complex Emergency: Kirkuk and Disputed Areas https://internationalmedicalcorps.org/updates/iraq-complex-emergency-kirkuk-and-disputed-areas/19 October 2017 United Nations, Report of the Secretary-General pursuant to resolution 2367 (2017) http://www.un.org/ga/search/view_doc.asp?symbol=S/2017/88117 October 2017 International Crisis Group, Oil and Borders: How to Fix Iraq's Kurdish Crisis https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/iraq/55-settling-iraqi-kurdistans-boundaries-will-help-defuse-post-referendum-tensions17 October 2017 The Guardian, Iraqi forces drive Kurdish fighters out of town of Sinjar https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/oct/17/iraqi-forces-drive-kurdish-fighters-out-of-sinjar16 October 2017 Al Arabiya, Save the Children: 400,000 children still displaced from Mosul fighting http://english.alarabiya.net/en/features/2017/10/16/Save-the-Children-400-000-children-still-displaced-from-Mosul-fighting.html15 October 2017 CNBC, 'Iraq made "declaration of war" when its troops seized parts of oil-rich region, Kurdish forces say' https://www.cnbc.com/2017/10/15/kurds-and-iraq-iraqi-troops-advance-on-kirkuk-and-oil-spikes.html15 October 2017 Institute for the Study of War (USA), The "