“likely” … connotes a degree of probability where there is a very significant and weighty chance of prejudice to the identified public interests. The degree of risk must be such that there “may very well” be prejudice to those interests, even if the risk falls short of being more probable than not”. (emphasis added) The Tribunal has endorsed Munby J’s observations when considering the equivalent language in Part II of FOIA: In the Tribunal in Hogan v Information Commissioner [2011] 1 Info LR 588 summarised the two standards of chance, would and would be likely, as follows: “there are two possible limbs on which a prejudice-based exemption might be engaged. Firstly, the occurrence of prejudice to the specified interest is more probable than not [“would”], and secondly there is a real and significant risk of prejudice, even if it cannot be said that the occurrence of prejudice is more probable than not [“would be likely”].” ([33]) The First Tier Information Rights Tribunal in John Connor Press Associates v Information Commissioner (EA/2005/0005) also added clarity with regards to the minimum level of chance to satisfy the “would be likely to” test, considering at [15] that: “We interpret the expression “likely to prejudice” as meaning that the chance of prejudice being suffered should be more than a hypothetical or remote possibility”
“Firstly, the Report is based upon, and presents, information provided by OneWeb to the Government that attracts confidentiality by virtue of the NDA. The disclosure of the Report in 2020 would make the SoS liable to an action for breach of confidence from OneWeb pursuant to the NDA. Secondly, the Report contains information the disclosure of which would likely make the SoS liable to OneWeb in an equitable action for breach of confidence. The Report clearly meets the Coco v AN Clark (Engineers) Ltd criteria. Thirdly, the Report itself states that it is confidential to the Consultancy, and it should not be disclosed except in accordance with the terms of the engagement letter. The disclosure of the Report in 2020 would have made the SoS liable to an action for breach of confidence from the Consultancy.” [19]. The Second Respondent also argues that the report contains trade secrets for the purposes of section 43(1) of FOIA. [20]. The Second Respondent contends that the relevant commercial interests that are engaged are the commercial interests of the Second Respondent, its investors and of the Government from the evidence that commercial competitors are referenced in the report. [21]. The Second Respondent recognised a limited public interest in the disclosure of the Report in that it would provide transparency into the financial appraisal which informed the Government’s decision to invest in OneWeb. However, the public interests in withholding disclosure of the Report, individually and cumulatively, they argue, outweigh the public interest in its disclosure. The Second Respondent argued the section 41 exemption applies, and the section 43 exemption applies. [22]. The Tribunal notes that the Second Respondent in this Response does not refer to the second part of the request. [23]. In addressing the BEIS report, the Appellant stated that section 43(2) is not engaged. In arguing the same, the Appellant provided various screenshots of news articles related to the Second Respondent. Regarding section 41, the Appellant contended that it is in the public interest to disclose the material which will be a defence to “any action by OneWeb for breach of confidence”
“any reports considering the health impacts of using electromagnetic radiation/radio frequency radiation from satellites on humans, animals, pollinators and trees in considering the implications of this investment.”
“ - receive evidence which was not before the Commissioner; make different findings of fact from the Commissioner; and make a different final decision to that of the Commissioner”