"42. … I do not accept that once the Tribunal had found there was no alternative role for the Claimant to fill, that was the end of the matter. The Tribunal's finding that the Claimant had never worked for the Respondent outside the EST does not deal with whether that fact meant that there was a 100 per cent chance he would have been dismissed by the same date. To reach the latter conclusion, the Tribunal had to consider the effect of the Claimant's lack of non-EST experience within the Respondent. 43. The Tribunal did not do this. It must have assumed that the Claimant's lack of prior non-EST experience made him "un-redeployable", in contrast to Ms Keane. But would he have needed to be redeployed? If the review of commission structure had taken place, what would it have produced? Might the Claimant or others have been prepared to work for lower commission or none, with alternative and cost-saving pay arrangements? What if the reviews had produced recommendations that would have saved considerable costs? 44. None of these issues was discussed in the Tribunal's decision. Nor did it discuss what would have happened if a call for volunteers had taken place. Was the Claimant really "un-redeployable" to the position of a notional volunteer in a different role? The Tribunal must have assumed so. But it did not ask itself whether the Claimant was adaptable; whether he would have tried to persuade the employer that lack of experience did not matter; whether the reviews that were not done might have produced a restructured workforce with individuals mixing sales and non-sales work; and so forth. 45. It did not ask itself those questions for the very good reason that the Respondent did not call evidence to negate any of those (which are by way of example) or other hypothetical scenarios. There was therefore very little evidence on the basis of which to conclude that the Respondent had shown a 100 per cent chance that the Claimant would have been dismissed by the same date as he was in fact dismissed. … 47. … nothing in the decision indicates that the Tribunal evaluated the chance that the Respondent would have done that, beyond saying that there would be no award of compensation and thereby implying that the chance must have been 100 per cent. … 48. There is no explanation of how the Tribunal came to assess the chance of that at 100 per cent. The language used … says nothing about the quantum of the chance …"
"31. … we find that it felt there was little or no alternative, the commission structure and EST were inextricably interlinked, commission formed a significant element of some of the pay of the EST and the respondent understood that the commission based payment system was at odds with the view of the regulator. We assess that chance below."
"36. … It was not a question that the claimant was unemployable but in our view the respondent would not have been able to offer any role at a level anywhere near approaching that he previously had and commensurate with Mr Grayson's expectations as to pay and status. We say that for the following reasons."
"37. … would have been at odds with Mr Grayson's evidence. Mr Grayson's original witness statement … was that Mr Rogers was jealous because he was so highly paid and referred us to Mr Rogers taking this up at the board meeting in December 2013 … The minutes of that meeting recorded the question of the pay of the Chief Executive in relation to the other members of the SMT needed to be addressed. Those matters relay how Mr Grayson saw himself. 38. In making our determination that the respondent had come to the view the EST was not fit for purpose we noted the view that Mr Biddell had come to as to where Mr Grayson's focus lay, namely on him achieving targets without any impact on the respondent's business … That view was reinforced by our other findings … 39. Mr Grayson's take home pay (per month) was agreed as within the range of£3,800 -£4,000 … and over the 19-month period January 2013 to July 2014 he earned£32,835 by way of commission against a salary of£79,750 … We find given the respondent's financial state and its turnover of£7M it could not have offered him an equivalent role. Given his focus on sales and what he perceived as the Chief Executive's jealousy of his remuneration we find it was highly unlikely he would have accepted a reduced salary and/or a lower status role. 40. That view is reinforced by Mr Grayson's complaints before us that the respondent failed to allow him to maximise his earnings by not allocating additional staff … and that he wanted to be on the main board running the company jointly with the chief executive whom he felt had no experience of sales."
"43. Assessing those matters in the round for the reasons we give above we conclude that had a fair process taken place it was highly likely that the claimant would have been dismissed in any event. It is impossible to apply precision to that exercise and so Tribunals have historically been encouraged to assess the chance by fractions. A starting point are quarters. We considered if the chance was less likely than 75% (¾) and formed the view it was not; the respondent's view as part of any consultation or review was unlikely to be changed to that degree. In our judgment the arguments would have had to be compelling given its financial position, the concerns it had about the commission based system from a regulatory perspective, and also on the effects that had on the fitness for purpose of the EST department. The chance of the respondent coming to a different view was in our judgment very small. We considered if the chance would exceed 75% and considered if Mr Grayson would have accepted what would have been on any account a substantially lower paid and lower status role. We concluded overall the chance was 75%. 44. We now address how long a fair process would have taken. Whilst no direct evidence has been led on that issue we are required to make an assessment based on the evidence we heard. 45. The decision was taken at [a] board meeting on 19 June. The first consultation meeting took place on 1 July and the claimant was dismissed on 6 September by a notice given on 5 September. 46. Given the review did not take place prior to the board meeting on 19 June to be fair the decision of the Board would have need [sic] to have been consulted upon. In order to be fair the EAT reminded us that the consultation process had to be carried out in good faith and with an open mind. We found there was a financial imperative in this case and thus this would have been progressed as quickly as a fair process allowed. Using our industrial relations experience as an Industrial Jury a fair process would have entailed the respondent putting its proposal to individuals and/or the business units affected following the board meeting on 19 June. Initial consultation could we envisage have taken place in two weeks and responses sought by a further two weeks (Thursday 17 July). We should add in many instances we have seen shorter time period [sic] than this. That of course does not make necessarily make [sic] those other procedures fair or unfair, it merely shows the process can be done in such a time frame if there is an imperative to do so. We have thus allowed a longer period. 47. Allowing say a week or so later so the responses could be collated and fed to the Board, a further Board Meeting to form a view could have been held on Monday 28 July. Allowing a further 4 weeks for that to be relayed and responses to fed back [sic] and then a further week for a final decision to be taken and relayed takes us to Monday 1 September. That allows almost a full working week for some slippage on top of the generous two week periods we have allowed for initial consultation and feedback. Accordingly, had a fair process been adopted we conclude it could and given the financial imperative, would have been carried out by at least the same time. That is supported by the respondent's decision in this case to make a determination even though the claimant was unable to attend the final consultation meeting … 48. Accordingly, in our judgment had a fair process been conducted there was a 75% chance the claimant would have been dismissed in any event by notice given on6 September 2014 . The claimant's notice expired on6 December 2014 ."
" The loss of the chance of the Claimant retaining his employment following a fair procedure will fall in the spectrum 0-100% " (paragraph 11). Thus, the ET had fettered its decision by fastening on "quarters"