"No professional witness supported [the Applicant's] release. His POM felt unable to make a recommendation. [The Prison Commissioned Psychologist 1] considered core risk reduction work to be outstanding and the level of risk that [the Applicant] posed to be unmanageable. [The Psychiatrist] was concerned that there needed to be greater understanding of [the Applicant's] personality traits and whether [he] also has psychopathic traits also before it would be safe to manage [the Applicant] in the community. He considered that assessment needed to occur prior to release. [The COM] considered that the level of risk was too great and that [the Applicant] was capable of circumventing external controls placed on him."
" there must have been a mistake as to an existing fact, including a mistake as to the availability of evidence on a particular matter; the fact or evidence must have been "established", in the sense that it was uncontentious and objectively verifiable; the appellant (or his advisors) must not have been responsible for the mistake; and the mistake must have played a material (though not necessarily decisive) part in the tribunal's reasoning."
"It seems to me generally desirable that the Board should identify in broad terms the matters judged by the Board as pointing towards and against a continuing risk of offending and the Board's reasons for striking the balance that it does. Needless to say, the letter should summarise the considerations which have in fact led to the final decision. It would be wrong to prescribe any standard form of Decision Letter and it would be wrong to require elaborate or impeccable standards of craftsmanship."
"the statutory test for release does not include a temporal element. The test is whether release would cause a more than minimal risk of serious harm to the public at any time. Therefore, consideration of risk goes beyond conditional release dates (CRD) and sentence expiry dates (SED)."
"This means that, in determinate sentence cases, the test should be approached in the same way as in life and IPP sentences. Panels will need to consider all potential future risk."