“ there must have been a mistake as to an existing fact, including a mistake as to the availability of evidence on a particular matter; the fact or evidence must have been "established", in the sense that it was uncontentious and objectively verifiable; the appellant (or his advisors) must not have been responsible for the mistake; and the mistake must have played a material (though not necessarily decisive) part in the tribunal's reasoning.”
‘When considering likely future risk scenarios, the panel agreed with the trajectory identified by (the OM). Future offending is likely to be preceded by a relapse into drug and/or alcohol misuse, a return to a chaotic lifestyle and an irresponsible attitude. Such a deterioration will almost certainly be accompanied by warning signs that would be detected through drug testing or be visible through, for example, a disengagement from probation and other services. You are assessed as posing a high risk of serious harm to children and a medium risk to the public and known adults. Your risk of both sexual and non-sexual violent re-offending is assessed as medium. These levels are unlikely to reduce further until you have demonstrated through time spent time in the community that your changes are genuine, you are actively managing your risks and you are living a pro-social lifestyle. The panel reminded itself that the ‘risk period’ until your CRD in February 2023 is just over 2 years. The panel assessed the risk management plan to be sufficiently robust to manage your risks during this period and you presented as motivated to comply with your licence conditions. You appear to have matured in custody, you have reflected upon your past lifestyle and behaviour and appear to genuinely want to make the best of your life and stay out of prison.’