“First, it is clear that the burden of proof lies with the "person, institution or other body" which opposes the child's return. It is for them to produce evidence to substantiate one of the exceptions. There is nothing to indicate that the standard of proof is other than the ordinary balance of probabilities. But in evaluating the evidence the court will of course be mindful of the limitations involved in the summary nature of the Hague Convention process. It will rarely be appropriate to hear oral evidence of the allegations made under article 13b and so neither those allegations nor their rebuttal are usually tested in cross-examination.”
“Although, as has been said, it is generally assumed that the authorities of the requesting State can adequately protect the child, if it can be shown that they cannot, or are incapable of or, even unwilling to, offer that protection, then an Art 13(b) case may well succeed. It seems evident, however, that it is hard to establish a grave risk of harm based on speculation as opposed to proven inadequacies in the particular cases.”
“[92] This does not mean, as I said in In re C, at para 39, that it was being "suggested that no evaluative assessment of the allegations could or should be undertaken by the court". In support of this conclusion, I quoted what Black LJ (as she then was) had said in In re K (A Child) (Abduction: Child's Objections)[2015] EWCA Civ 720 at [53], about the In re E approach: “I do not accept that a judge is bound to take this approach if the evidence before the court enables him or her confidently to discount the possibility that the allegations give rise to an article 13b risk.”
"Where there are disputed allegations which can neither be tried nor objectively verified, the focus of the inquiry is bound to be on the sufficiency of any protective measures which can be put in place to reduce the risk. The clearer the need for protection, the more effective the measures will have to be." [94] In the Guide to Good Practice, at para 40, it is suggested that the court should first "consider whether the assertions are of such a nature and of sufficient detail and substance, that they could constitute a grave risk" before then determining, if they could, whether the grave risk exception is established by reference to all circumstances of the case. In analysing whether the allegations are of sufficient detail and substance, the judge will have to consider whether, to adopt what Black LJ said in In re K, “the evidence before the court enables him or her confidently to discount the possibility that the allegations give rise to an article 13(b) risk”. In making this determination, and to explain what I meant in In re C, I would endorse what MacDonald J said in Uhd v McKay[2019] EWHC 1239 (Fam) ,[2019] 2 FLR 1159 , para 7, namely that "the assumptions made by the court with respect to the maximum level of risk must be reasoned and reasonable assumptions" (my emphasis). If they are not "reasoned and reasonable", I would suggest that the court can confidently discount the possibility that they give rise to an article 13(b) risk.” "
“54. Mr Hames set out a list of factors which, he submitted, may assist court when deciding whether to make a return order to a third state. These were: whether such a return would be in keeping with the objectives of the 1980 Hague Convention which are designed to serve the best interests of children who have been wrongfully removed or retained; any parental agreement or parental intention about the upbringing of their children, particularly as to the arrangements as to where they should live; meaningful social and family ties and connections of the children with the state of the habitual residence and the third state; the practicality of a return, including the ability of the parents to litigate; any jurisdictional issues arising from such a return, including any surviving jurisdiction of the state of a child's habitual residence; whether a third state return order is consistent, or not inconsistent with a welfare decision of a court with primary jurisdiction; any other factors relevant to forum conveniens; and the availability and efficacy of protective measures available on or prior to a return to a third State, particularly measures relating to jurisdiction… … 111. First, I do not consider that, as a matter of interpretation, the 1980 Convention has this limitation. The Explanatory Report makes clear that an express decision was made to leave scope for a return to a third state. This was, in part, because the Convention continues to apply even after the initial one year limit has expired, provided the child is not settled. 112. Secondly, I consider that to confine Article 12 as suggested would be contrary to the primary objective of the Convention which is to protect children from the harmful effects of their abduction. To exclude the remedy of a return to a third state would not protect children in that situation from the harmful effects of abduction. I do not consider that it is any answer to this to say that an alternative jurisdiction would be available in England and Wales. As an international convention, the 1980 Convention operates autonomously and its interpretation cannot depend on the vagaries of domestic laws. Whilst the 1996 Convention might provide an alternative remedy, many states which are parties to the 1980 Convention are not parties to the 1996 Convention. 113. Thirdly, if Article 12 is not interpreted so as to include this power, absent any of the exceptions being established, the court would be mandated to order, "shall order", the child's return to the state of habitual residence at the date of the wrongful removal or retention. There is no residual discretion under the 1980 Convention. O v O provides an example of when, as Keehan J said, it would have been "absurd", and contrary to the child's welfare, to have ordered that the child be returned to Australia. As Keehan J said, at [64]: "It would be strange indeed if the Convention required steps to be taken which were positively contrary to the interests of the subject children". 114. In my view, Ms Renton's arguments do not address the difficulty which would be created if this was the only order which the court could make when it was required under Article 12 to make an order for "the return of the child forthwith". This would be the effect of those arguments unless, by implication, a new discretion was created outside the express terms of the 1980 Convention which enabled the court to decline to make a return order. 115. Accordingly, either the 1980 Convention needs to be interpreted so as to permit the court to order a child's "return" to a third state or to be interpreted so as to permit the court to decline to order the child's return to the relevant state of habitual residence. In my view, the former sits much better within the scheme of the 1980 Convention and would better promote its objectives. The latter, in contrast, would represent a significant breach of the core principle of the 1980 Convention that a discretion as to whether to make a return order arises only if one of the exceptions is established. 116. During the course of the hearing, I asked Mr Hames more than once how the court would decide whether such an order was appropriate because I was concerned that it might be introducing a step which required a more general welfare assessment. His answer was that such an order should only be made when it was consistent with the objectives of the 1980 Convention. This answer troubled me at the time but, on reflection, it does provide a principled basis for interpreting the Convention as including such a power. As I have said, to interpret the Convention otherwise would be inconsistent with the objective of protecting children from the harmful effects of international child abduction and would lead to the consequential issue to which I have just referred. 117. Clearly, any such power must be used with considerable care so that it does not procure an effective relocation without any concomitant welfare enquiry. It is to be used only when it is, in effect, procuring the child's return. The most obvious example when it might be used is when the child is being returned to his or her primary carer. Another example might be when, as in this case on the judge's determination of habitual residence, the family has moved to new state but has not yet become habitually resident there. 118. As to the relevant factors, I would endorse those factors referred to by Mr Hames in his submissions (at paragraph 54 above), which I do not propose to repeat.”
“[52] In like manner, the approach of regarding coercive or controlling incidents that occurred between the adults when they were together in a close relationship as being ‘in the past’, and therefore of little or no relevance in terms of establishing a risk of future harm, should, we believe, also be considered to be ‘old fashioned’ and no longer acceptable. The fact that there may in the future be no longer any risk of assault, because an injunction has been granted, or that the opportunity for inter-marital or inter-partnership rape may no longer arise, does not mean that a pattern of coercive or controlling behaviour of that nature, adopted by one partner towards another, where this is proved, will not manifest itself in some other, albeit more subtle, manner so as to cause further harm or otherwise suborn the independence of the victim in the future and impact upon the welfare of the children of the family.”