“The number of residential hostels has also been in decline and this trend seems likely to continue. This will serve to restrict still further the accommodation available to these groups.”
“As shown the numbers of students are predicted to increase in London going forward but the planning process is restricting the numbers of private schemes being granted consent. Therefore, the pressure will increase on the HMO stock. If the HMO licensing results in the stock being reduced this will put even greater pressure on available accommodation.”
“… to reflect the risk that there might still be a limitation to hostel use, but also reflecting the hope that a change of use to unrestricted residential use would have been achieved by that date.”
“Because what we are considering is a long-term investment it is the prospect of management problems arising during the course of the tenancy that is the important consideration rather than the state of affairs at the time of valuation. Our view is that the potential for problems to arise is inherent in all leases and that standard adjustment is therefore appropriate. We do not rule out the possibility that there could be a case for an additional allowance where exceptional difficulties are in prospect, but this would need to be the subject of compelling evidence.”
“72. Two features of the real growth rate assumption, in our judgment, require particular consideration. The first is the very substantial difference over a long period that can arise from different rates. A house worth£1m now would be worth£3.437m in real terms after 50 years at a growth rate of 2.5%. At 1.5% it would be worth£2.105m . It is clear that an investor who based his assessment on a particular rate would be conscious of the consequences of this rate failing to materialise, and we can see that for this reason there may well be an interaction between the growth rate assumption and the third component of the deferment rate, the risk premium. Of course the investor would also be conscious of the additional gain that would result from the assumed rate being exceeded, but the likely type of investor in a long-term reversion producing no income would be someone looking for long-term security – Mr Cullum had pension funds particularly in mind – and it is unlikely that, for such an investor, the hope that the assumed rate might be exceeded would outweigh the fear that it might not be achieved, unless the assumption as to growth was pitched at a sufficiently conservative level. In general we see force in the evidence of Professor Lizieri in the light of the factors that he referred to, but we think a realistic, or neutral, assumption would be 2%, the one made by Mr Cullum, with any concern on the part of the investor that this rate might not be achieved being reflected in the risk premium. 73. The second feature of the assumption that has to be considered, in our judgment, is that real house prices fluctuate significantly, so that at any one time they may be substantially above or substantially below the level that would have resulted from a projection of past average growth rates. Thus at the present time the recent sustained strength of the market has pushed prices well above the long-term trend. To base the deferment rate on the same real growth rate when prices are above the trend as when they are below the trend would run the risk of overvaluing the reversion in the former case and undervaluing it in the latter. This was not, however, a matter to which evidence was directed. Nevertheless it seems to us likely that the optimism of a buoyant market would be likely to feed through, to some extent, to investors in the sort of long-term reversions that we are considering, and that the same would be true when the market was low and pessimistic. It could therefore be expected that this would be reflected in a reduction or increase, as the case might be, in the risk premium, which would tend to counterbalance any adjustment that might otherwise seem appropriate to the growth rate. It is a reasonable working assumption, we think, that there would be an effective counterbalancing, so that the deferment rate would not need to change according to whether prices were above or below the trend. We therefore adopt 2% as the assumed growth rate.”
“The freehold reversionary interest in the Property is subject to the Restrictive Covenant and will be acquired by the Appellants, on completion of this enfranchisement claim, subject to the Restrictive Covenant.”
“Not to carry on or permit to be carried on [sic] the Property or any part thereof any trade business or profession and not to use or permit the Property or any party [sic] thereof to be used for any illegal or immoral purpose or otherwise that [sic] with regard to the Property as residential accommodation.”