“ There were findings by the panel that continued detention would have a causal link to preventing and reducing risk. In paragraph 4.2, the panel determined that they were not satisfied the proposed risk management plan was likely to be effective in managing [the Applicant’s] assessed high risk of causing serious harm in the community. Paragraphs 4.6 and 4.7 set out further reasons including that [the Applicant] has undertaken no offending behaviour work of significant and continues to maintain his innocence of the index offence and significant violence against women, does not display any particular level of insight into his risks and triggers for his previous violence and did not accept any degree of personal responsibility for harm caused. Continued detention would enable [the Applicant] to continue to access programs and have opportunities to reduce his risk.”
“17. In a non-life case, if continued incarceration up until the sentence expiry date will do nothing to avoid or reduce the risk thereafter, then it is not necessary for the protection of the public that the offender should be confined. The position is different if continued incarceration would reduce the risk to the public after the sentence expiry date (for example, by preventing the prisoner from taking steps that are preparatory to an offence, or by facilitating rehabilitative work that might reduce the risk post release). It follows that there must be a causal link between continued detention and prevention or reduction of risk.”