‘ … On the evidence available to it, the panel has assessed that there remains a risk of further offending that will cause serious harm, similar to [the Applicant’s] serious offending to date. It determines that whilst he has engaged in risk reduction work, following this he was engaging in behaviour that escalated his risk. [the Applicant] was unable to make pro-social choices and reverted to ‘Old Me’ behaviours of seeking some kind of advantage to meet his needs. The panel was not persuaded he has embedded the learning or has sufficient internal controls to make decisions that will ensure the safety of the public before his own needs. [the Applicant] is currently in the process of developing his ‘New Me’ identity and needs to demonstrate that he is able to sustain good behaviour over a considerable period of time particularly when the length of his offending history and behaviour that has caused harm or has the potential to cause harm is taken into account … … [the Applicant] will need to show that his period of stability at [his current prison] can continue, whilst embedding his new identity which will in turn develop and strengthen his internal controls, all of which will go some way to supporting his self-management skills in the community’