“[the Applicant] has undertaken a significant amount of work to address his substance misuse problems and there has been a prolonged period in custody during which he has not behaved violently. These may act as protective factors against future risk. During this sentence [the Applicant] has engaged with the Forward Trust and completed a number of in-cell workbooks including Relapse Prevention, 12 Steps, Alcohol Awareness, Cocaine Awareness, Ecstasy Awareness and NPS (New Psychoactive Substance) Awareness and he has also undertaken the Sycamore Tree victim awareness course in November 2021. [The Applicant] has also completed in-cell packs on Finance, Benefit and Debt, and Who Am I?...until recently [the Applicant] has shown a prolonged period of stability in custody, it is the case that this has coincided with him being housed in a VPU [Vulnerable Prisoner Unit] in closed prison conditions.”
“that the proposed risk management plans are insufficient to protect the public. This is because he lacks the internal controls necessary to avoid using illicit substances whilst on a VPU in closed prison conditions and the panel considers it unlikely that he will be able to do so in the community, especially as he intends to spend time with past associates who he knows to be regular drug and alcohol users. [The COM] told the panel that he was not absolutely confident in [the Applicant’s] ability to remain abstinent, which was an assessment with which the panel agreed.” “His [the Applicant’s] ability and motivation to remain abstinent in future is therefore in question and despite the fact of the clear link between his substance misuse problems and his violent offending behaviour. It also appeared to the panel that [the Applicant] has not yet completed any work directly to address his attitudes that support the use of violence and those matters to which he referred in his childhood which contributed to it.”