“The statutory test to be applied by the Board when considering whether a prisoner should be released does not entail a balancing exercise where the risk to the public is weighed against the benefits of release to the prisoner. The exclusive question for the Board when applying the test for release in any context is whether the prisoner’s release would cause a more than minimal risk of serious harm to the public.”
“A more nuanced approach in modern public law is to test the decision-maker’s ultimate conclusion against the evidence before it and to ask whether the conclusion can (with due deference and with respect to the panel’s expertise) be safely justified on the basis of that evidence, particularly in a context where anxious scrutiny needs to be applied. … [T]his approach is simply another way of applying Lord Greene MR’s famous dictum in Wednesbury … but it is preferable in my view to put the test in more practical and structured terms on the following lines: does the conclusion follow from the evidence or is there an unexplained evidential gap or leap in reasoning which fails to justify the conclusion.”
“[T]he risk management plan has limitations because of the lack of understanding of the reasons behind the deterioration in [the Applicant’s] behaviour. The panel accepts that he was managed safely for some time, however, there have been concerns about his custodial behaviour which mirror some of the concerns in the community and indeed previous offences. The panel considers that in such circumstances, [the Applicant] needs to engage with the mental health team in order to determine whether there is any current mental illness, comply with any recommended treatment and demonstrate a period of stability before developing a risk management plan that he is prepared to comply with in conjunction with his COM.”