"The statutory test to be applied by the Board when considering whether a prisoner should be released does not entail a balancing exercise where the risk to the public is weighed against the benefits of release to the prisoner. The exclusive question for the Board when applying the test for release in any context is whether the prisoner's release would cause a more than minimal risk of serious harm to the public."
"A more nuanced approach in modern public law is to test the decision-maker's ultimate conclusion against the evidence before it and to ask whether the conclusion can (with due deference and with respect to the panel's expertise) be safely justified on the basis of that evidence, particularly in a context where anxious scrutiny needs to be applied. ... [T]his approach is simply another way of applying Lord Greene MR's famous dictum in Wednesbury ... but it is preferable in my view to put the test in more practical and structured terms on the following lines: does the conclusion follow from the evidence or is there an unexplained evidential gap or leap in reasoning which fails to justify the conclusion."
" the professionals do not fully understand [the Applicant's] risk and therefore it is not fully evident what further interventions might be necessary; his attitude towards professionals is inconsistent meaning managing him in the community could be problematical; [the Applicant's] insight into his own risks remains very limited and he still has no understanding of why he committed the index offence despite the fact that he does not deny it; he lacks the necessary internal controls and may be over complacent as to his coping mechanisms which revolve around avoidance; his demeanour remains concerning and he still appears to have aggressive and potentially violent attitudes; little has changed since the last oral hearing and there has been no evidence of risk reduction; all the professionals emphasised the need for [the Applicant] to undertake outstanding core risk reduction work by way of a therapeutic community or a psychologically informed environment; the risk management plan is unlikely to be effective until that is completed; and this is all compounded by a lack of supportive and protective factors in the community. [The Applicant's] antipathy towards [the professionals' progressive suggestions] appears to be a significant barrier to progression. None of the professionals recommended release."