“[The Respondent] had been having sexualised contact, over the internet, with nine females who reside abroad. Although these relationships were considered to be age appropriate, it is of concern that six out of the nine females have children. [The Respondent’s] OM raised her concern that due to the fact that these women reside abroad, it would be difficult to implement the necessary safeguarding actions to protect them and their children from risk of harm, particularly of a sexual nature.” iv. With respect to the OS, he submitted to the Panel that he “could not assess that there has been a reduction in risk [and he] was concerned that [the Respondent] remain effectively untreated as a sexual offender and it was [his] enduring sexual risk which remained the greatest concern.” v. The OM and OS both assess core risk reduction work to be outstanding, as reflected in the absence of completion by the Respondent of any sexual offence focused work. The OM was further of the opinion that it is necessary for such sexual offence focussed work to be completed in custody, prior to re-release (clarifying her previous opinion that “ it would be better ” for such work to be so completed prior to re-release). Grounds that the Panel did not place sufficient weight on significant evidence available vi. In other evidence presented to the Panel concerning the Respondent’s risk of reoffending, the Respondent is assessed as posing a very high risk of further sexual offending according to his Risk Matrix (RM2000) score. The Panel appears to have accepted this evidence in its assessment that there “ was a credible concern that [the Respondent is] in a position where [he] could imminently reoffend ”, despite then directing his release. vii. There is also significant evidence that, notwithstanding the Panel’s direction to release the Respondent subject to compliance with numerous licence conditions, there is a risk he will not comply with such conditions. This includes: a. Evidence of the Respondent retracting his willingness to complete offence-focused work from previous occasions both whilst in custody and the community; b. The circumstances giving rise to his recall in May 2019; c. A history of non-compliance, dishonesty and a lack of openness with Probation and; d. The evidence of the OM, who notes that due to his non-compliance, dishonesty and his lack of understanding of his restrictions, there is a need for greater reliance on external control methods in management of risk. viii. Again, the Panel appears to have accepted this evidence and the impact on the Respondent’s propensity for non-compliance in their Decision Letter, noting he has “ a poor attitude to compliance, making it hard to believe that you will adhere to licence conditions” . ix. The Panel did not give enough consideration to the alternative plan for the Respondent to complete a training course addressing the use of violence and sex offending at another facility. There is a lack of exploration by the Panel as to why this plan was not an appropriate alternative, given that the OM had contacted the prison to explore this option and they confirmed there was enough time left on his sentence to complete this work and they could make arrangements for additional support. Grounds that the weight attached by the Panel to the points supportive of release are misplaced and/or have been applied inappropriately against the test for release x. The Decision Letter states that: “ The evidential points supportive of your release were: the fact that you had not reoffended for over a year when you were last in the community, the fact that there will be little over a year left on your sentence if you are re-released, the comprehensive licence conditions that you will be subject to and the fact that you are now in the extension period of your licence and the Judge would have anticipated you spending that time on licence in the community unless there was clear evidence of you posing an unmanageable risk in the community. ”
“ On balance, the Panel concluded that, with the ending of your last relationship and with the strengthening of the Risk Management Plan (RMP), it was possible to assess that you met the public protection test for the period until your Sentence Expiry Date ( SED). ” xi. With respect to the reference that there will be less than a year left on the Respondent’s sentence, we submit that is irrelevant and not an appropriate application of the public protection test, which should focus on evidence supporting that risk is both reduced and manageable on release rather than the time left of a person’s sentence upon their release. xii. With respect to the reference to the comprehensive licence conditions and ‘strengthened’ Risk Management Plan (RMP), as the Panel acknowledge, this is essentially the same RMP in place when the Respondent was recalled in May 2019 with the addition of GPS tagging. We would submit this cannot be considered to be robust strengthening to the point that the Respondent can now be managed. Furthermore, given the Respondent committed the index offences whilst residing at Designated Accommodation and there is evidence of non-compliance with previous licence conditions, there is little to suggest the current RMP will offer more sufficient monitoring than before. xiii. With respect to the Panel’s acceptance that the Respondent’s relationship with his partner has ended, this is only on the basis of evidence provided by the Respondent which itself is less than certain (stating that he only ‘believes’ they are no longer in a relationship) and confirms that there is still contact, albeit reduced. It is argued it would be irrational to place significant weight on this evidence given both the vague nature of the statement from the Respondent , the lack of corroboration and the dishonesty on the part of the Respondent. This is further exacerbated by the fact the recall was linked with the unsupervised contact with children, itself evidence of non-compliance. xiv. Finally, with respect to the Panel’s observation that a Judge would have anticipated the Respondent spending time on licence in the community unless there was clear evidence of his posing an unmanageable risk, this is contrary to the Panel’s own acceptance of certain evidence. For instance, its agreement with key witnesses’ assessments of the Respondent and the further work he has to complete and the Panel’s reflection that the Respondent has “ not therefore developed the internal skills required to reduce [his] risks”