“Mr Barefoot advises that the average annual take-up of business units (offices) in the Swindon area is around 200,000 sq. ft and of industrial/warehouse units around 1 million sq. ft (see Joint Statement of Barefoot & Lockhart dated28 March 2017 para 3.6.9, p. 617 of the Trial Bundle). Over an 11 year anticipated development programme this equates to some 13.2 million sq. ft of office and industrial accommodation. The capacity of the Grant scheme at say 211,228 sq. ft (excluding Aldi) is a mere 1.6% of the anticipated local marketplace activity. It is in this context that Mr Barefoot is of the view that whilst land sales will be considered from time to time, that [sic] apart from the Aldi ‘pump-priming’ sale, further land sales need not form part of the likely outcome.”
“Mr Lockhart, in his original Statement, dated24th February 2017 , sets out in great detail the take-up of industrial/warehouse and office accommodation in the Swindon area. Excluding Highworth Business Park, there are 39 other major employment areas in Swindon and the immediate surrounding areas, all competing for a share of the annual take-up. The majority of this take up has been second hand accommodation. Mr Lockhart, in section 5 of his original Statement, stated that there appeared to be ‘no appetite’ for speculative commercial property development. Mr Lockhart stated and reiterates in this Joint Statement, that there is no evidence to suggest that any speculative property development will take place and that any development will most likely take the form of individual deals, both freehold and leasehold. In other words, transactions will relate to specific known demand, not speculative development. Mr Lockhart took the view that this process would take 21 years. Mr Lockhart further accepted, in cross examination (see paragraph 89 of the Approved Judgment) that his own timeline was based on releasing profits from pre-sales and pre-lets and a shorter timeline would be applicable if land sales were to be entered into as well. This is why Mr Lockhart included land sales in his scenarios Two and Three, of his Assessment, for both the years 2014 and 2017.”
“88. First, Mr Barefoot's estimate was based on a comparison of what had been possible in two other projects of which he had direct experience – one at Interface Business Park in Royal Wooton Bassett, the second at Solstice Park in Amesbury. As Mr Barefoot said, these were appropriate comparators for Highworth because the development was managed flexibly, as Highworth would be, through whatever mode would be most likely to yield profit in the market conditions. Another development at Shrivenham that had taken longer to complete was a less useful comparator because in that case the developers, who had several such sites, had stuck rigidly to a single model (which involved building, then securing income from letting and ground rents). 89. Second, Mr Lockhart accepted in cross-examination that his own timeline was based on realising profits through pre-sales and pre-lets; and that a shorter timeline would be applicable to land sales. His concern about land sales was that they were not necessarily profitable. This evidence did not seem to me to fit with what is known about the Aldi transaction. That is structured as a land sale, yet it is projected to yield a significant profit for HBP, even after the Claimant has received from HBP the amount due to her under the option agreement for the land. Although it is only a single transaction, the Aldi deal appears to bear out Mr Barefoot’s view that land sales can yield significant value and profit to HBP. Moreover, Mr Lockhart fairly accepted in cross-examination that, if the Aldi deal completes (as both experts expect), it will act as a ‘pump primer’. In other words, the involvement of a major retailer, and the fact that services have been installed, will attract others to the site.”
“In Welsh Ambulance Service v Williams[2008] EWCA Civ 81 , the Court of Appeal upheld an award in favour of the family of a businessman who had, with some assistance from his family, run a builders’ merchant and property business. It was irrelevant that the dependants had made a success of the business, because the value of the dependency was fixed at the moment of death; and the only post-death events affecting its value were those which affected the continuance of the dependency (such as the death of the dependant before trial) and the rise (or fall) in earnings to reflect the effects of inflation: see per Smith LJ (with whom Lloyd and Thomas LJJ agreed) at [50]...”