“40. …I have seen nothing in the Business Plans which enables me to conclude that there is any real prospect that the Company will be able to meet its liabilities in 2029. Given the Respondents' reliance upon the Business Plans, I should say a little more about them. I was taken through them at the hearing in detail by Mr Matthewson. 41. I accept Mr. Desai's evidence that the Business Plans do not provide a realistic or viable basis on which to draw any conclusions as to the likely value of the Company's assets in 2029. There is nothing to contradict that evidence, notwithstanding that the Respondents’ defence relied almost entirely on their accuracy. 42. I also accept that the Business Plans (described as “illustrative” when they were provided after the Respondents became aware of the Petition), are out-of-date; that most, if not all, of the assumptions on which they were based have not come to fruition; that there has been no attempt to update them in the 20 months since they were created (and certainly no attempt to produce the 5-year plan in Q4 2023, or any time thereafter, which they refer to as being a necessary “stress test”). They are therefore both highly speculative and wildly optimistic. There is no evidence that the restructuring that was envisaged in the Business Plans has been carried out or that it is realistic to suppose that it will be carried out in the future”
“I draw the inference, as I was invited to do, that the Business Plans sent at the end of May 2023 were prepared with the specific intention in mind of seeking to advance the defence of the Petition and thus to stave off the winding-up of the Company. They appear to bear little resemblance to reality and they certainly do not provide a reasonable basis upon which to assess the likely value of the Company’s assets in December 2029”
“…I accept Mr. Erlich's evidence in his witness statement of the discussion he had with Mr. Welsh in November 2022 and the proposal he received from Mr. Whitton in February 2024. On balance, this evidence tends to support, in my judgment, Mr. Matthewson’s submission that Mr. Welsh and Mr. Whitton were both of the view that the Company would not be able to repay the Cresta and Luxor Loans when they fell due”