“We are confident that we will achieve at least the asking price of£57.0m …We would expect that the value of the completed hotel after say three years of trading that this investment, particularly due to it’s [sic] proposed direct management by Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG), the largest in the world, under it’s [sic] Crowne Plaza brand could probably be sold on thereafter at between£80.0m (as Strutt and Parker’s recent related letter) to a£100.0m i.e. in say five years time.”
“A conventional residual valuation of development land is not going to work in my view. There is no development market; This will also present difficulties in assessing the long term value of 1 Denham Way. A ‘simplistic’ appraisal on an equity only basis shows an IRR of 7.8% based on the figures in your model. I suggest we build a more sophisticated model so that we can demonstrate how the returns can be enhanced with different levels of gearing, perhaps at different points in the project. If pushed to say can we produce a Red Book valuation at anything remotely close to numbers the client is looking for you would need to assume an exit yield on pc in 2011 of less 5% or less [sic]. There is just no evidence anywhere to support that. I really do think the key here is looking at the returns based on different scenarios.”
“This will create a potential future capital value for the hotel of circa£58,000,000 ”; and “this [10% per annum average] level of return equates to a site value as at today of circa£18,000,000 .”
“1. How to handle the valuation issue. My suggestion is that we start by giving him [sc. Mr Gray] the [S&P]£20M valuation and then the latest letter and explain that no [sic] only have they got a “discount” on the earlier valuation. In addition, since the£20M valuation we have a) reduced the risk on the project significantly by creating a detailed design with IHG involvement, bottoming out construction cost, sorting out infrastructure issues, highways etc. b) spent X million on taking the project forward. This will deal with Jeremy [Gray]’s points that ‘we have seen valuations and paid less’ and normally they are talking to someone with a ‘dream’. We have a 20m valuation and they will be paying less and we don’t have a dream we have detailed project which will be ready to start in April. If the valuer is only going to do a desk top study then we need to sort out 2 below in detail. 2. The pack that we give Jeremy. We want to make this the best pack he has ever received. I am sure we have the raw materials to do this but the summary that goes with it is key. … 3. Presenting the cashflow and business model and explaining the upsides. This is obviously critical, we need to present the model (on A3!) highlight the conservative assumptions where appropriate and give them a list of upsides and comparatives with other crowne plaza’s during this difficult trading environment and in ‘normal’ times.”
“the proposed Investment Partnership for the Crowne Plaza Hotel and retail village on land adjoining 1 Denham Way, Maple Cross IHG 10 year forecast … Estimated future capital values Estimated investment returns Recommendation to acquire a 50% interest in the Partnership based on a value of£21 million .”
“Based on the information that we have been given, including the valuation by Messrs Strutt & Parker, we support the assumptions made and we consider an enterprise value of£21 million appropriate.”
“[64.1] the “enterprise value” of the joint venture was£21m ; [64.2] the value of the Hotel Site was£18m ; [64.3] the valuations to that effect contained or referred to in the KS letter and the S&P 2009 letter were, and were honestly believed to be, accurate and reliable; and/or there was no reason to believe that those valuations were or might be inaccurate or unreliable.”
“No email or other contemporaneous document shows precisely how Savills’ disinstruction came about. But there is an inescapable inference that it happened in broadly the following way. RL passed what Savills had told him on to Mr Al-Agori, who in turn passed it on to CM, and/or one or both of RK and HK. RL may even have passed it on directly to CM or RK. One of CM or RK, or Mr-Al-Agori (on instructions), then prevailed on RL to disinstruct Savills. RL then did so untruthfully citing ‘timing constraints’.”
“A conspiracy to injure by unlawful means is actionable where the claimant proves that he has suffered loss or damage as a result of unlawful action taken pursuant to a combination or agreement between the defendant and another person or persons to injure him by unlawful means, whether or not it is the predominant purpose of the defendant to do so.”