“4.1 Having considered the entirety of the evidence, including the oral evidence heard at the parole hearing and the content of the written dossier, and the written submissions of Mr O’Connor, the panel is not satisfied that Mr Halliday’s risk can be safely managed in the community at this time. In making the decision, the panel placed particular weight on the following: 4.2 His offending includes multiple serious offences committed while on licence dating back to his youth. A significant concern for the panel is that Mr Halliday has demonstrated a poor response to treatment. Mr Halliday completed Identity Matters and following he did not demonstrate application of his learning, and he displayed concerning custodial behaviours, continuing to attract security information linked to risk. His explanations for his behaviour appear to reflect impression management rather than genuine insight. Too many aspects of his risk remain poorly understood, the panel does not consider that has sufficient insight into his risks or his use of violence and the panel considers that he cannot be relied upon to be upon and honest. …”
“38. The Applicant submits that the panel were wrong to conclude that he had committed serious offences whilst on licence and shown poor compliance. Having carefully considered the documents in the dossier including the Applicant’s antecedent record, I agree with him that the evidence does not show that he has committed offences whilst on licence and failed to comply with licence conditions. 39. I have carefully considered whether this should be the basis for reconsideration but cannot conclude that should be the case. The panel’s decision is based on many other more compelling reasons which were not affected by this statement and which even without this statement would justify their decision not to release the Applicant. I am satisfied that none of the mistakes of fact affected the central finding which was a conclusion that the panel was entitled to reach. 40. It is possible to argue that mistakes in findings of fact made by a decision maker result in the final decision being irrational, but the mistake of fact must be fundamental. The case of E v Secretary of State for the Home Department[2004] QB 1044 sets out the preconditions for such a conclusion: “there must have been mistakes as to an existing fact, including a mistake as to the availability of evidence on a particular matter; the fact or evidence must have been “established” in the sense that it was uncontentious and objectively verifiable; the mistake must have played a material (though not necessarily decisive) part in the tribunal’s reasoning.”
“237A Public protection decisions (1) This section applies for the purposes of any public protection decision made by a decision-maker about a prisoner under a relevant provision of this Chapter. (2) A "public protection decision”, in relation to a prisoner, is a decision as to whether the decision-maker is satisfied that it is not necessary, or no longer necessary, for the protection of the public that the prisoner should be confined. (3) The decision-maker must not be so satisfied unless the decision-maker considers that there is no more than a minimal risk that, were the prisoner no longer confined, the prisoner would commit a further offence the commission of which would cause serious harm. (4) In making that assessment, the decision-maker must consider the risk that the prisoner would engage in conduct which would (or, if carried out in any particular part of the United Kingdom, would) constitute an offence specified in Schedule 18B. (5) When making a public protection decision about a prisoner, the following matters must be taken into account by the decision-maker— (a) the nature and seriousness of the offence in respect of which the relevant sentence was imposed; (b) the nature and seriousness of any other offence for which the prisoner has at any time been convicted; (c) the conduct of the prisoner while serving the relevant sentence (whether in prison or on licence); (d) the risk that the prisoner would commit a further offence (whether or not specified in Schedule 18B) if no longer confined; (e) the risk that, if released on licence, the prisoner would fail to comply with one or more licence conditions; (f) any evidence of the effectiveness in reducing the risk the prisoner poses to the public of any treatment, education or training the prisoner has received or participated in while serving the relevant sentence; (g) any submissions made by or on behalf of the prisoner or the Secretary of State (whether or not on a matter mentioned in paragraphs (a) to (f)). (6) When making a public protection decision about a prisoner, the decision-maker must in particular have regard to the protection of any victim of the prisoner.”
“First, there must have been a mistake as to an existing fact, including a mistake as to the availability of evidence on a particular matter. Secondly, the fact or evidence must have been “established”, in the sense that it was uncontentious and objectively verifiable. Thirdly, the appellant {or his advisers) must not have been responsible for the mistake. Fourthly, the mistake must have played a material (not necessarily decisive) part in the tribunal’s reasoning.”
“… I am satisfied that the decision is flawed. It means that in arriving at its conclusion of the balance of risk the Parole Board took account of a risk that did not in fact exist. That would be sufficient for the purposes of this application and must, in my judgment, inevitably lead to the decision of the Parole Board being quashed.”
“30. As is obvious, a rationality challenge in public law is always a substantial challenge for a Claimant; and particularly so, when dealing with a specialist quasi-judicial body which will have developed experience in assessments of risk in an area where caution is required. 31. A modern approach to the Associated Provincial Picture Houses Ltd v Wednesbury Corporation (1948) 1 K.B. 223 (CA) test is not to simply ask the crude and unhelpful question: was the decision irrational? 32. A more nuanced approach in modern public law is to test the decision-maker's ultimate conclusion against the evidence before it and to ask whether the conclusion can (with due deference and with regard to the Panel's expertise) be safely justified on the basis of that evidence, particularly in a context where anxious scrutiny needs to be applied. 33. I emphasise that this approach is simply another way of applying Lord Greene MR's famous dictum in Wednesbury (at 230: "no reasonable body could have come to [the decision]") but it is preferable in my view to approach the test in more practical and structured terms on the following lines: does the conclusion follow from the evidence or is there an unexplained evidential gap or leap in reasoning which fails to justify the conclusion? 34. This may in certain respects also be seen as an aspect of the duty to give reasons which engage with the evidence before the decision-maker. An unreasonable decision is also often a decision which fails to provide reasons justifying the conclusion. 35. I should also emphasise that under the modern context-specific approach to rationality and reasons challenges, the area with which I am concerned (detention and liberty) requires me to adopt an anxious scrutiny of the Decision: see Judicial Review (Sixth Edition), Supperstone, Goudie and Walker at para.8.12.”
“The slight gloss I would, respectfully, place upon it is that the example question in [33] – “does the conclusion follow from the evidence …?” – would be a little strong if it were thought to imply a requirement of entailment. The issue is whether the conclusion was reasonably available to the decision-maker in the light of the evidence.”
“… there remains more than a minimal risk of Mr Halliday causing serious harm if released The panel is not satisfied that it is no longer necessary for the protection of the public from serious harm that Mr Halliday is confined, and accordingly makes no direction for release.”