“(a) There is a real possibility that, had the injunction not been granted, hundreds of ARAP eligible persons who have left Afghanistan since 1 September would not have been able to do so and would instead have been targeted by the Taliban for extra-judicial killing or serious physical harm. There is a further group which the Government has already decided to relocate to the UK. These are the existing ARAP-eligible persons and their dependants currently in Afghanistan, together with the very small additional cohort of about 200 high profile individuals and their dependants, who have been identified for relocation in light of the data incident. This group comprises a little more than 4,000 people. There is a real possibility that continuation of the injunction will save the lives of these people. (b) There is a further group, some of whom may be offered relocation to the UK. This group comprises the 2,000 Triples and others whose ARAP eligibility is to be reconsidered and the 9,000 additional family members whose eligibility may in due course be reconsidered. There is a real possibility that the continuance of the injunction will allow some of this group to leave Afghanistan when they would otherwise be unable to do so. If it does, it may save their lives.”
“49. First, the risk assessments are caveated and there are a number of imponderables. It is tempting to take each assessment as a building block upon which to make further assessments and use this process to generate an overall view as to what is likely to happen if the super-injunction is discharged. But there is a real danger that, in doing so, one builds an edifice with very unsure foundations, ignoring the consequences that may be ensuing or may yet ensue if some of the initial assessments are wrong. 50. Second, even on the MOD’s assessments, there is a significant risk that the relief granted to date has in fact put lives at risk and is still doing so. This risk must be factored into the balance of risks and benefits. 51. Third, the relief granted to date not only prevents public discussion of the full reasons for the Government’s policy. It prevents the public from knowing of the very existence of the policy or the problem which it addresses; and it deprives decision-makers of information, public and Parliamentary scrutiny, all of which are liable to improve the quality of their decisions.”