“4.1 The Panel considered all the information available to them: in the dossier and the oral evidence at the hearing. They also considered the closing submissions made on Mr Newton’s behalf by Ms Hanson, who asked the Panel to direct his release. Ms Hanson asserted that Mr Newton had complied with his licence in the community and has not been convicted of any new offences. She said that he had complied in custody since his recall and is committed to engaging if he is re-released on licence. She asserted that he is currently single and therefore the risk to a future partner is not imminent. She reminded the Panel that Ms Conway is in a position to undertake one-to-one work with Mr Newton and that he does not need to remain in custody to complete it with Ms Kirkbride. Ms Hanson said that the additional oversight by the domestic abuse IOM team makes the proposed risk management plan more robust and capable of managing his risks. 4.2 The Panel noted the serious nature of Mr Newton’s offending history and the patterns of allegations made against him by former intimate partners. Whilst the Panel notes that he has not been charged or convicted of nearly all of them, apart from the Arson offence, the Panel must consider all behaviours that are indicative of risk and did place some weight on the pattern of allegations by three unconnected females, including their friend and neighbours. 4.3 The Panel was satisfied that the recall was proportionate and necessary in this case to ensure the safety of others. 4.4 The Panel noted Mr Newton’s good custodial conduct since recall and that Ms Conway supported his re-release. However, the Panel noted that she had not met or spoken with him prior to the hearing and was not fully aware of Mr (Newton’s behaviour in the community. The Panel placed more weight on Ms Kirkbridge’s assessments and recommendations as she has met with him weekly since the new year and taken the opportunity to explore his insight with him. 4.5 The Panel was not satisfied that Mr Newton did demonstrate any insight into his offending or risk factors. They speculated that this may be due to his learning difficulties or his shame/embarrassment at his behaviour. The Panel assessed that Ms Kirkbride had already established a working relationship with Mr Newton and was well placed to undertake the recommended one-to-one work with him. 4.6 The Panel was not satisfied that Mr Newton’s risks could be safely managed in the community and did not direct his release.”
“35. The question of what constitutes a fair procedure to make findings of fact, or evaluations of the information, will be fact-specific as explained in West[2003] 1WLR 705 and is unlikely to entail the formality of public law family proceedings. The test posed in Considine[2008] 1 WLR 414 , para 37 provides that a fair analysis of all the information should inform the necessary judgment in relation to risk. Nevertheless, what is clear to me is that the panel must conscientiously evaluate the information before it to make findings of fact upon which to make the assessment of the prisoner’s risk; in these circumstances neither public protection nor public law fairness will be compromised. Established or undisputed constituent or consequential facts to an overarching allegation may provide compelling and convincing indications of risk in themselves, whereas simply to assess the seriousness of the nature of an allegation, provided there is some evidential basis for it is to embark down the route of ‘no smoke without fire.’ … 43. … I cannot conceive how the touchstone of ‘public law fairness’ can operate in the circumstances in which an allegation which is not proved on the balance of probabilities is taken into consideration in the assessment of risk. … 47. … An assessment of risk can only be made upon undisputed or established facts. … 49 Subject to one correction, I also agree with the analysis that Bourne J provided in paras 38 and 39 of his judgment. That correction relates to Bourne J’s example of a domestic violence case in which it is alleged that the prisoner assaulted his partner during an altercation. Bourne J stated that ‘If the Board can only conclude that there might have been an assault, that conclusion may be of little assistance to it’. In my judgment, in such a case the Board should disregard the unproven allegation of assault entirely. As Bourne J went on to say, however, if the Board was satisfied on the balance of probabilities that there was an altercation, it could take that established fact into account in its risk assessment.”