“… [W]e are satisfied that the sole ground on which [the appeal] is advanced fails. We have considered the entirety of the evidence and see no reason to doubt the safety of the conviction. There were very telling points against the [Claimant] such as the inherent unlikelihood of [Lisa] leaving the flat on an October night with a suitcase given the location of the flat in Hampstead, the failure of the [Claimant] to make inquiries about his wife though she was bearing his child, the refurbishment of the flat and the finding of the ring.”
“In a conviction case depending on fresh evidence, the [CCRC] must ask itself a double question: do we consider that if a reference is made there is a real possibility that the Court of Appeal will receive the fresh evidence? If so, do we consider that there is a real possibility that the Court of Appeal will not uphold the conviction?”
“Lord Bingham’s double question… requires a refinement in the light of the decision in R v Pendleton[2001] UKHL 66 ;[2002] 1 WLR 72 . In that case the House of Lords held that the Court of Appeal can only ever have an imperfect and incomplete understanding of the process which led a jury to conviction; and while it can make its own assessment of the evidence that it has heard, it is (clear cases apart) at a disadvantage in seeking to relate that evidence to the rest of the evidence that was before the jury. It is for this reason that it will usually be wise for the Court of Appeal to test its own provisional view by asking whether the evidence, if given at trial might reasonably have affected the decision of the jury to convict.”