“6. With that background there is no signs of specific matters between the main parties and there is one main issue in this case. That is whether the site is suitable for development, in the light of the locational policies in the development plan and other material considerations, including the housing land supplied position.”
“I do not consider that CS policies S1 and P4 are inconsistent with Framework policy, and I conclude that the conflict with them is a matter of substantial weight.”
“28.Particularly given the fact that the Examination into the LP was ongoing at the time of the Inquiry, it is clearly not for me to supplant the role of the dLP Inspector, but to come to a view – if possible - of the position in relation to five year housing land supply as part of the considerations leading to my decision. I should start by saying that, depending what assumptions are made and which approach is taken, the Council’s position is that the authority has slightly in excess of 9 years supply of deliverable housing sites, whilst the appellant’s position is slightly below 2 years. This is a huge gulf and, despite numerous discussions, the difference between the parties remains … 31. Dealing firstly with the housing requirement, the Council’s position is based on the adopted CS figure. This has the benefit of being a fully tested and adopted requirement, though it must be accepted that the passage of time will inevitably call its currency into question. In addition, as alluded to above, there is a question as to the method by which this was calculated and whether it represents a Full Objectively Assessed Housing Need (FOAN) as it is now defined. 32. More recently the Council has produced a higher annualised requirement in the SHMA. But although this requirement is more up to date, it is as yet untested through the examination process. I was told at the Inquiry that it has been the subject of objections and is still being considered. … 36. The eLP will identify longer term requirements and the evidence is that this will inevitably require the allocation of greenfield sites outside the existing defined settlements. Such sites are put forward in the eLP, and two of them are close to the appeal site. However, although the appellant sought to persuade me that the eLP should be adopted in full as providing the FOAN, they take an apparently contradictory position in relation to the supply of sites. The Council alleges that the appellants have ‘cherry picked’ material from the dLP process – in that they have adopted the eLP housing requirement but have discounted all the emerging sites which the authority has put forward to address the new requirement. I have considerable sympathy with that criticism. There are a number of areas of disagreement between the parties over the supply, but the main issue is whether the allocated dLP sites should be included in the supply side. 37. The emerging sites account for just over 1,000 of the disputed dwellings, which is obviously a very significant amount. None of them are allocated in the CS or have the benefit of planning permission, and I was told that there are outstanding objections to the draft allocations. All are apparently outside the existing settlement boundaries. 38. I appreciate that, in order to be considered deliverable, sites should be available now, offer a suitable location for development now, and be achievable with a realistic prospect that housing will be delivered on the site within five years and in particular that development of the site is viable. I do not have sufficient evidence to consider the individual position of each of the disputed sites. However, in the light of the Council’s overall delivery evidence, I consider it a reasonable assumption that at least a significant number of these sites have a realistic prospect of delivery within the time period. 39. Conversely the appellant, having omitted all the emerging sites from the supply side, states that the appeal proposal – which has no adopted or emerging policy support, no planning permission and is outside the settlement boundary – is deliverable within the five year period. There is an inherent inconsistency in that general approach. On that basis, I consider the Council’s position on the supply of deliverable sites to be generally more persuasive. 40. The purpose of a 5% buffer (moved forward from later in the plan period) is to ensure choice and competition in the market for land. Where there has been a record of persistent under delivery of housing, the buffer increases to 20% to provide a realistic prospect of achieving the planned supply and to ensure choice and competition. This is not intended to be a sanction but a means by which the authority stands a better chance of meeting its housing targets. 41. In this case the authority argues that, until the production of a new draft requirement in 2016, it considered that it was meeting its housing targets as set out in the adopted CS. Therefore a 5% buffer was appropriate, especially as there was no suggestion that the Council was aware of the issue before the SHMA was published. However, if the SHMA figure is used, a 20% buffer could be argued to be brought about by under-delivery. 42. Again, this is very much a matter which will doubtless be considered as part of the dLP examination, with a wider range of evidence and participants. However, on the basis of what is before me, it seems that there is insufficient evidence to support a record of persistent under delivery against known housing targets, and that a 5% buffer is appropriate. 44. The most commonly used method, in the light of the need to boost significantly the supply of housing, is to address the deficit as soon as possible using the Sedgefield method. However the Inspector examining the eLP will doubtless consider detailed evidence as to whether this is appropriate in the case of this authority. It is not a matter on which I can or should conclude in the light of the evidence before me. Five year housing land supply – conclusion 45. In the context of this appeal it is not for me to undertake some sort of shadow housing land supply assessment, especially as the dLP Inspector is actively considering the position, doubtless on the basis of more comprehensive evidence than that before me. The Council’s approach of using the ‘current year’ method as the appropriate base date is also clearly being considered by dLP Inspector. 46. In terms of the housing requirement I have some sympathy with the suggestion that the untested 2016 figure should be regarded as the current requirement, but it cannot replace the CS figure at this stage. To address the supply there is clearly a range of potential sites and policies being considered as part of the eLP examination and, on the basis of what is before me, the Council’s position is more persuasive. As to the buffer, I consider that a 5% buffer is more appropriate on the basis of what I have seen. I have not been able to reach a conclusion on the appropriateness of the Liverpool/Sedgefield methods. 47. These conclusions must be set in the context of the very wide gap - a gap wider than any I have experienced in similar cases - between the parties on the extent of the housing land supply. It is clearly desirable that, if reasonably possible, I should reach a conclusion on the housing land supply position. However in this case that is not a realistic option, for the reasons set out above, and it is not possible to reach a firm conclusion on the gap between the parties. 48. However this is less significant than might otherwise be the case for two reasons. Firstly it is clear that national policy seeks to boost significantly the supply of housing and this remains an important material consideration. Even if the authority were able to demonstrate that it has a five year supply, this does not act as a cap on development. Secondly, as set out above, CS policy P6 is inconsistent with national policy. This is a relevant policy which is out of date and the so-called ‘tilted balance’ in Framework paragraph 14 is engaged in any event for that reason.”
“56. In terms of social issues, the provision of both market and affordable housing is to be welcomed. Even if I had concluded that there is a five year supply of housing land, the proposal would be a benefit as a contribution to a rolling supply. The provision of affordable housing in line with adopted policy, and in excess of the emerging dLP figure, is a significant benefit. The provision of open space would be a benefit to new and existing residents, and would improve links to the main part of the settlement. … 58. As set out above, I have carefully considered the evidence in relation to housing land supply and other matters in the context of paragraph 14 of the Framework. I have concluded that CS policy P6, dealing with development in the countryside, does not fully comply with current national policy and I have accordingly reduced the weight which can be accorded to it. This policy is clearly relevant to this case and is out of date. The ‘tilted balance’ therefore comes into play for that reason alone. 59. National policy in that case is that, where relevant policies are out of date – as in this case in relation to CS policy P6 - permission should be granted unless any adverse impacts of doing so would significantly and demonstrably outweighthe benefits, when assessed against the policies in the Framework taken as a whole. 60. Based on my considerations above, the benefits of the proposal (especially the provision of market and affordable housing), are significantly and demonstrably outweighed by the adverse impact of the proposal – namely the conflict with the adopted development plan locational policies.”
“47. To boost significantly the supply of housing, local planning authorities should: Identify and update annually a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide five years’ worth of housing against their housing requirements with an additional buffer of 5% (moved forward from later in the plan period) to ensure choice and competition in the market for land. Where there has been a record of persistent under delivery of housing, local planning authorities should increase the buffer to 20% (moved forward from later in the plan period) to provide a realistic prospect of achieving the planned supply and to ensure choice and competition in the market for land.”
“49. Housing applications should be considered in the context of the presumption in favour of sustainable development. Relevant policies for the supply of housing should not be considered up-to-date if the local planning authority cannot demonstrate a five-year supply of deliverable housing sites.”
“14. At the heart of the National Planning Policy Framework is a presumption in favour of sustainable development, which should be seen as a golden thread running through both plan-making and decision-taking. For decision taking this means: • Approving development proposals that accord with the development plan without delay; and • Where the development plan is absent, silent or relevant policies are out-of-date, granting permission unless: - Any adverse impacts of doing so would significantly and demonstrably outweigh the benefits, when assessed against the policies in this Framework taken as a whole; or - Specific policies in this Framework indicate development should be restricted.” • Approving development proposals that accord with the development plan without delay; and • Where the development plan is absent, silent or relevant policies are out-of-date, granting permission unless: - Any adverse impacts of doing so would significantly and demonstrably outweigh the benefits, when assessed against the policies in this Framework taken as a whole; or - Specific policies in this Framework indicate development should be restricted.”
“50. First, the relationship between housing need and housing supply in planning decision-making is ultimately a matter of planning judgment, exercised in the light of the material presented to the decision-maker, and in accordance with the policies in paragraphs 47 and 49 of the NPPF and the corresponding guidance in the Planning Practice Guidance ("the PPG"). The Government has chosen to express its policy in the way that it has – sometimes broadly, sometimes with more elaboration, sometimes with the aid of definitions or footnotes, sometimes not (see Oadby and Wigston Borough Council vSecretaryof Statefor Communitiesand LocalGovernment[2016] EWCA Civ 1040 , at paragraph 33; Jelson Ltd., at paragraphs 24 and 25; and St Modwen Developments Ltd. vSecretaryof Statefor Communitiesand LocalGovernment[2017] EWCA Civ 1643 , at paragraphs 36 and 37). It is not the role of the court to add to or refine the policies of the NPPF, but only to interpret them when called upon to do so, to supervise their application within the constraints of lawfulness, and thus to ensure that unlawfully taken decisions do not survive challenge. 51. Secondly, the policies in paragraphs 14 and 49 of the NPPF do not specify the weight to be given to the benefit, in a particular proposal, of reducing or overcoming a shortfall against the requirement for a five-year supply of housing land. This is a matter for the decision-maker's planning judgment, and the court will not interfere with that planning judgment except on public law grounds. But the weight given to the benefits of new housing development in an area where a shortfall in housing land supply has arisen is likely to depend on factors such as the broad magnitude of the shortfall, how long it is likely to persist, what the local planning authority is doing to reduce it, and how much of it the development will meet. 52. Thirdly, the NPPF does not stipulate the degree of precision required in calculating the supply of housing land when an application or appeal is being determined. This too is left to the decision-maker. It will not be the same in every case. The parties will sometimes be able to agree whether or not there is a five-year supply, and if there is a shortfall, what that shortfall actually is. Often there will be disagreement, which the decision-maker will have to resolve with as much certainty as the decision requires. In some cases the parties will not be able to agree whether there is a shortfall. And in others it will be agreed that a shortfall exists, but its extent will be in dispute. Typically, however, the question for the decision-maker will not be simply whether or not a five-year supply of housing land has been demonstrated. If there is a shortfall, he will generally have to gauge, at least in broad terms, how large it is. No hard and fast rule applies. But it seems implicit in the policies in paragraphs 47, 49 and 14 of the NPPF that the decision-maker, doing the best he can with the material before him, must be able to judge what weight should be given both to the benefits of housing development that will reduce a shortfall in the five-year supply and to any conflict with relevant "non-housing policies" in the development plan that impede the supply. Otherwise, he will not be able to perform the task referred to by Lord Carnwath in Hopkins Homes Ltd.. It is for this reason that he will normally have to identify at least the broad magnitude of any shortfall in the supply of housing land.”
“81. Clearly a determination of whether or not there is a shortfall in the 5 year housing supply in any particular case is a key issue. For if there is then the "tilted balance" for the purposes of paragraph 14 of the NPPF comes into play. 82. Here, it was common ground that there was such a shortfall. That being so, I have the greatest difficulty in seeing how an overall planning judgment thereafter could properly be made without having at least some appreciation of the extent of the shortfall. That is not to say that the extent of the shortfall will itself be a key consideration. It may or not be: that is itself a planning judgment, to be assessed in the light of the various policies and other relevant considerations. But it ordinarily will be a relevant and material consideration, requiring to be evaluated. 83. The reason is obvious and involves no excessive legalism at all. The extent (be it relatively large or relatively small) of any such shortfall will bear directly on the weight to be given to the benefits or disbenefits of the proposed development. That is borne out by the observations of Lindblom LJ in the Court of Appeal in paragraph 47 of Hopkins Homes. I agree also with the observations of Lang J in paragraphs 27 and 28 of her judgment in the Shropshire Councilcase and in particular with her statements that "…Inspectors generally will be required to make judgments about housing need and supply. However these will not involve the kind of detailed analysis which would be appropriate at a "Development Plan inquiry" and that "the extent of any shortfall may well be relevant to the balancing exercise required under NPPF 14." I do not regard the decisions of Gilbart J, cited above, when properly analysed, as contrary to this approach. 84. Thus exact quantification of the shortfall, even if that were feasible at that stage, as though some local plan process was involved, is not necessarily called for: nor did Mr Hill QC so argue. An evaluation of some "broad magnitude" (in the phrase of Lindblom LJ in his judgment) may for this purpose be legitimate. But, as I see it, at least some assessment of the extent of the shortfall should ordinarily be made; for without it the overall weighing process will be undermined. And even if some exception may in some cases be admitted (as connoted by the use by Lang J in Shropshire Councilof the word "generally") that will, by definition, connote some degree of exceptionality: and there is no exceptionality in the present case. 85. In this case (and in striking contrast to the Bubb Lane and Botley Road cases) a sufficient evaluation of the extent of the shortfall did not happen. Instead, the Secretary of State, having "noted" the council's updated figure of 4.86 year supply and without any express reference to the Bubb Lane and Botley Road cases, simply announced a bald conclusion that there was a "limited" shortfall in the housing land supply. Broad statements elsewhere in the decision letter to the effect that "the Secretary of State has taken into account" the post-inquiry representations do not overcome the defect of a demonstrable lack of engagement with the actual extent of the shortfall: thereby resulting in an absence of a reasoned conclusion on this material issue. Moreover, such a conclusion departs – again, for no stated reason – from the inspector's statement in paragraph 108 of his report that "it can be said that there is a material shortfall against the five year supply…". 86. Although it was submitted on behalf of the council that the result would still inevitably have been the same, even had the extent of the shortfall been properly addressed, I cannot accept that that is necessarily so. So the matter must be the subject of further consideration.”
“8. When reaching a decision on the appeal, consider whether you need to reach a firm conclusion on the existence or otherwise of a fiveyear supply Consider: -If you [are] allowing the appeal because the proposal is in accordance with the development plan it will not usually be necessary to reach a firm conclusion on housing land supply. -If you are concluding that the proposal would cause harm, consider (In the context of paragraph 14 of the Framework) whether the adverse impacts would significantly outweigh the benefits, even if there were a shortfall in 5 year supply to the extent argued by the appellant. If you consider this to be the case, you would not need to reach a firm conclusion about 5 year supply. Instead your conclusions could be expressed along the following lines: “Even if I were to conclude there is a shortfall in 5 year supply of the scale suggested by the appellant and that relevant policies for the supply of the scale suggested by the appellant and that relevant policies for the supply of housing should not be considered up-to-date, he adverse impacts of granting permission would significantly and demonstrably outright the benefits…”
“83 If a planning authority that was in default of the requirement of a five years’ supply were to continue to apply its environmental and amenity policies with full rigour, the objective of the Framework could be frustrated. The purpose of paragraph 49 is to indicate a way in which the lack of a five years’ supply of sites can be put right. It is reasonable for the guidance to suggest that in such cases the development plan policies for the supply of housing, however recent they may be, should not be considered as being up to date. 84 If the policies for the supply of housing are not to be considered as being up to date, they retain their statutory force, but the focus shifts to other material considerations. This is the point at which the wider view of the development plan policies has to be taken.”