“Looking at the history it is clear that much of Mr Nelson’s offending could have been prevented if he had been diverted much sooner to the mental health system from the criminal justice system, which has plainly failed to have any impact on reducing Mr Nelson’s risk to others. Since starting his treatment, Mr Nelson has become a responsible patient who has not been a management problem. In our view, Mr Nelson is very appropriately placed in hospital and is getting the treatment he has long needed. He ought not to be transferred back to prison as he would not get the specialist treatment he needs to reduce his risks… All in all, Mr Nelson’s risks to others can be more appropriately treated and managed if he remains in the hospital system.”