“Whilst I would have approached the DNA profiling of this sample differently, and I would be less confident of reporting the statistical evaluation without further analyses, I do agree with Ms Sharpe that Mr Noakes could have contributed DNA to this sample. Once the DNA from Mr Carolan is removed, all of the confirmed remaining DNA components match those in the DNA profile of Mr Noakes,. Therefore, in my opinion, the result is as I would expect if DNA from Mr Carolan and Mr Noakes was present, with a possible trace of DNA from a third individual.”
“33. I agree with Ms Sharpe that Gavin Noakes could have contributed DNA to the result, and although less confident of the statistical evaluation carried out, do agree that the result is as I might expect if DNA from Mr Carolan and Mr Noakes was present.”
“A mixed STR profile with contributions of DNA from at least two individuals, was obtained from these swabbings … All of the components of the STR profile of Steven Hookway were present in this mixed STR result, therefore DNA from him could be present. If DNA from Mr Hookway is present then this appears to be the major contribution of DNA to this result. This is because those components matching his are usually present at a higher level than the components from the other contributor(s) of DNA.”
“A mixed profile with contributions of DNA from at least two, possibly three individuals, was obtained from the swabs of the rear interior nearside door handle of the Mercedes motor vehicle, registration MV56 XWB. In my opinion, this result does provide support for the assertion that Steven Hookway has contributed DNA to this result, as all his components are represented and confirmed in this result. In my opinion it is not appropriate to assign this statistical evaluation in relation to this DNA profile. It is not possible to determine when the DNA that could have come from Mr Hookway was deposited, or what body fluid this DNA is from.”
“Now there is an agreed statement representing, on one page, what the two scientists’ position is concerning KTI51 and KTI36 and I shall read it to you now. ….: ‘With reference to KTI51, that is the rear nearside interior door handle, we are in agreement that this DNA profile consists of DNA from at least two individuals with indications of a possible DNA component from a third individual. All of Steven Hookway's DNA components are represented in this DNA result. Therefore, we are in agreement that DNA from Steven Hookway could be present in this sample. Whilst Dr Sharpe is of the opinion that the components matching Steven Hookway are present at a higher level, comparable to the remaining components, Miss Stangoe is of the opinion that the major component cannot be fully determined. Therefore, Dr Sharpe has gone on to provide a statistical evaluation whereas Miss Stangoe would be of the opinion that this result is unsuitable for statistical interpretation. Both scientists' opinions and interpretations have been independently peer reviewed and appear, therefore, to reflect the differences in interpretational approaches between different forensic providers. With reference to swab KTI36 on the driver's seat belt release, they say this: ‘We are in agreement that this profile consists of DNA from at least two individuals, with indications of a possible unconfirmed trace of a third individual. We are both in agreement that Mr Carolan could have contributed and that this is a reasonable assumption given the circumstances of the case." It was his car obviously. "All of Gavin Noakes' DNA components are represented in the profile that remains once Mr Carolan's DNA has been taken into consideration. Therefore, we are in agreement that Gavin Noakes is a potential contributor of DNA to this sample and as with item KTI51, Dr Sharpe is of the opinion that Mr Noakes' DNA components are represented at a level higher than the background DNA, such that this finding could be statistically evaluated. As with item KTI51, Miss Stangoe is of the opinion that this result is unsuitable for statistical interpretation.’” ‘With reference to KTI51, that is the rear nearside interior door handle, we are in agreement that this DNA profile consists of DNA from at least two individuals with indications of a possible DNA component from a third individual. All of Steven Hookway's DNA components are represented in this DNA result. Therefore, we are in agreement that DNA from Steven Hookway could be present in this sample. Whilst Dr Sharpe is of the opinion that the components matching Steven Hookway are present at a higher level, comparable to the remaining components, Miss Stangoe is of the opinion that the major component cannot be fully determined. Therefore, Dr Sharpe has gone on to provide a statistical evaluation whereas Miss Stangoe would be of the opinion that this result is unsuitable for statistical interpretation. Both scientists' opinions and interpretations have been independently peer reviewed and appear, therefore, to reflect the differences in interpretational approaches between different forensic providers. ‘We are in agreement that this profile consists of DNA from at least two individuals, with indications of a possible unconfirmed trace of a third individual. We are both in agreement that Mr Carolan could have contributed and that this is a reasonable assumption given the circumstances of the case." It was his car obviously. "All of Gavin Noakes' DNA components are represented in the profile that remains once Mr Carolan's DNA has been taken into consideration. Therefore, we are in agreement that Gavin Noakes is a potential contributor of DNA to this sample and as with item KTI51, Dr Sharpe is of the opinion that Mr Noakes' DNA components are represented at a level higher than the background DNA, such that this finding could be statistically evaluated. As with item KTI51, Miss Stangoe is of the opinion that this result is unsuitable for statistical interpretation.’”
“… With unexplained infant deaths, however, as this judgment has demonstrated, in many important respects we are still at the frontiers of knowledge. Necessarily, further research is needed, and fortunately, thanks to the dedication of the medical profession, it is continuing. All this suggests that, for the time being, where a full investigation into two or more sudden unexplained infant deaths in the same family is followed by a serious disagreement between reputable experts about the cause of death, and a body of such expert opinion concludes that natural causes, whether explained or unexplained, cannot be excluded as a reasonable (and not a fanciful) possibility, the prosecution of a parent or parents for murder should not be started, or continued, unless there is additional cogent evidence, extraneous to the expert evidence, … which tends to support the conclusion that the infant, or where there is more than one death, one of the infants, was deliberately harmed. In cases like the present, if the outcome of the trial depends exclusively or almost exclusively on a serious disagreement between distinguished and reputable experts, it will often be unwise, and therefore unsafe, to proceed.”
“Does [the DNA evidence] prove that they were involved in the robberies? Clearly, if you accept Miss Stangoe’s evidence, then you could not be sure it was their DNA and could not come to that view.”