“This level of significant risk to the public is at present in the high end of low risk to medium risk”
“This offence however is the first occasion that there has been the use of weapons and serious injuries to the victim. I would suggest that much of [Rehman’s] offending has been characterised by a desire to impress his associates, impulsivity and immaturity rather than a clear indication of dangerousness. However the court, in reaching a decision on dangerousness, would be primarily focussed on [Rehman’s] behaviour on the occasion of these offences. The pre-meditated use of a firearm, no thought to see if the gun was loaded or not, pointing the weapon in the face of the injured party at close range and the discharge of this weapon causing substantial facial injury may well have led the court to the conclusion that [Rehman] acted in a dangerous manner.”
“From time to time, the court will be provided with updated information about the offender. This sometimes takes the form of prison reports, sometimes confidential information from the police. The sources vary. The information may serve to show, for example, that the prisoner has provided considerable assistance to the police; sometimes aspects of the mitigation are significantly underlined in a way which may not have been as clear or emphatic in the Crown Court; sometimes the information may indicate that the offender has made significant progress since the sentence began, a feature particularly relevant in cases involving young offenders. The formal procedures for the admission of fresh evidence are not followed. This court simply considers the evidence before it. So, for example, if a young offender has responded positively to his custodial sentence, and his progress is such that it may be counter productive for him to serve the sentence actually imposed, it may be reduced on appeal, or changed to a non-custodial disposal, without any implied criticism of the decision of the Crown Court. In short, post sentence information may impact on and produce a reduction in sentence (for a recent example of post sentence evidence bearing on and explaining aspects of mitigation, with a consequent reduction in the minimum term following conviction for murder, see R v Sampson, unreported,24 October 2006 ).”
“The appellant argues, and the prosecution accept, that where the mental state of an appellant is in issue, fresh evidence on sentence appeals is often admitted — evidence which relates to his history and progress following sentence and the experts' views on it. In principle that seems to us to be right in this case, especially where, as here, so much time has elapsed since the original sentence was passed.”
“If it was proper on the material before him or her for the trial judge to pass an IPP based upon dangerousness, the fact that since there have been apparent improvements as a result of undergoing courses in prison or for whatever reason, is not a reason for this court to interfere with the sentence. The whole point of a sentence which will, one hopes, enable a defendant to undertake any necessary courses, will be to result in improvements or if, and this was to an extent the case of Harjinder, the view was taken that no courses were needed because he had improved, again that is something which will no doubt avail the individual when it comes to be considered whether he should be released on licence. But it is not a matter that can affect the propriety of the sentence imposed at the time it was imposed. In exceptional cases improvements have been held by this court to be properly taken into account in reducing determinate sentences. The same principle will no doubt apply in relation to tariffs in IPPs, but normally they will not affect the correctness of the imposition of the IPP itself.”
“Risk assessment is plainly not an exact science; there is no demonstrably unique “correct” answer, and even people with the relevant expertise and experience may reasonably reach different assessments….”