‘Infectious Diseases – Extension The word Damage is extended to include closure of the Premises or part thereof on the order or advice of any local or governmental authority as a result of an outbreak or occurrence at the Premises of A) Any human contagious or infectious disease other than Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (AIDS) or any AIDS related condition, an outbreak of which is required by law or stipulated by the governmental authority to be notified B) Food or drink poisoning C) Vermin or pests D) Defective sanitation Provided that 1) the Maximum Indemnity Period is limited to three months and shall apply from the date from which the closure order is enforced 2) the Company shall not be liable under this Extension for more than the limit stated below in respect of any one loss Limit£15,000,000 ’
‘For the purposes of the Infectious Diseases Extension, in order to show that loss resulting from interruption of or interference with the Claimant’s business at the Premises was proximately caused by closure of the Premises or part thereof on the order or advice of any local or governmental authority as a result of an occurrence of COVID-19 at the Premises, is it sufficient to prove that the order or advice was made or continued in response to cases of COVID-19 which included at least one case of COVID-19 at the Premises which had occurred by the date of the order or advice? Yes: it is sufficient so to prove.’
‘Owing to a 5-7 day lag in data provision for modelling, SAGE now believes there are more cases in the UK than SAGE previously expected at this point, and we may therefore be further ahead on the epidemic curve.’
‘212. We conclude that, on the proper interpretation of the disease clauses, in order to show that loss from interruption of the insured business was proximately caused by one or more occurrences of illness resulting from COVID-19, it is sufficient to prove that the interruption was a result of Government action taken in response to cases of disease which included at least one case of COVID-19 within the geographical area covered by the clause. The basis for this conclusion is the analysis of the court below, which in our opinion is correct, that each of the individual cases of illness resulting from COVID-19 which had occurred by the date of any Government action was a separate and equally effective cause of that action (and of the response of the public to it). Our conclusion does not depend on the particular terminology used in the clause to describe the required causal connection between the loss and the insured peril and applies equally whether the term used is “following” or some other formula such as “arising from” or “as a result of”. It is a conclusion about the legal effect of the insurance contracts as they apply to the facts of this case.’
‘176. … Whether the logic and rationale of the Supreme Court’s decision in relation to radius clauses should be applied to the “at the premises” wordings.’
‘67. Establishing that, as a matter of fact, there is a causal relationship between events X and Y, does not by itself answer the question whether, as a matter of law, X is to be regarded as a cause of Y (and Y as an effect of X). To answer that question, it is necessary to understand the purpose for which the question is being asked: see eg Environment Agency (formerly National Rivers Authority) v Empress Car Co (Abertillery) Ltd[1999] 2 AC 22 , 29-31. 68. Depending on the context, various tests of causation may be applied, some more demanding than others. A test often used at least as a minimum requirement is whether X is a necessary condition for the occurrence of Y. This is known by lawyers as the “but for” test because one simple way of expressing it is to ask: would event Y have occurred but for the occurrence of event X? The “but for” test is generally seen as a weak test of causation because, in any given situation, many events (or states of affairs) will satisfy the “but for” test which would not usually be regarded as causes of the event under consideration: see eg Financial Conduct Authority v Arch Insurance (UK) Ltd[2021] UKSC 1 ;[2021] AC 649 , para 181. 69. The strongest possible test of causation, which is seldom satisfied when questions of causation arise in law, requires the occurrence of event X to be both a necessary and sufficient condition for the occurrence of Y. If X is a sufficient cause of Y, then every time X happens Y will always follow. This is the kind of unbreakable connection that exists, for example, where laws of physics, such as Newton’s laws of motion, operate. 70. An example of a test not as strong as this but much stronger than the “but for” test is the interpretation placed on pollution control legislation in the Environment Agency case mentioned earlier. The legislation made it an offence to cause polluting matter to enter controlled waters. Diesel oil stored in a tank in the defendant’s yard had overflowed into a river but only because an outlet tap without a lock had been turned on by a person unknown. The question was whether the defendant had caused the oil to enter the river. The House of Lords held that the criterion for identifying which intervening acts and events negative causal connection for this purpose was whether the intervening act or event was a matter of ordinary occurrence or was something extraordinary. If, as on the facts of that case, the third party act which was the immediate cause of the pollution was a matter of ordinary occurrence, it should not be regarded as negativing the causal effect of the defendant’s acts. The proper conclusion would therefore be that the defendant had caused the polluting matter to enter the river. 71. A similar test applies in insurance law where, unless the insurance policy otherwise provides, the insurer is liable only for losses “proximately” caused by a peril insured against. As explained in Financial Conduct Authority v Arch Insurance, paras 164-168, the term “proximate” means “real or efficient” and whether the occurrence of an insured peril was the proximate (or efficient) cause of the loss involves making a judgment as to whether it made the loss inevitable - if not, which could seldom if ever be said, in all conceivable circumstances - then in the ordinary course of events. For this purpose, human actions are not generally regarded as negativing causal connection, provided at least that those actions were not wholly unreasonable or erratic.’
‘77. … In any event, the overriding question is how the words of the contract would be understood by a reasonable person. In the case of an insurance policy of the present kind, sold principally to SMEs, the person to whom the document should be taken to be addressed is not a pedantic lawyer who will subject the entire policy wording to a minute textual analysis (cf. Jumbo King Ltd v Faithful Properties Ltd(1999) 2 HKCFAR 279 , para 59). It is an ordinary policyholder who, on entering into the contract, is taken to have read through the policy conscientiously in order to understand what cover they were getting.’
‘162. Many different formulations may be found in insurance policy wordings of the required connection between the occurrence of an insured peril and the loss against which the insurer agrees to indemnify the policyholder. This may be illustrated by the variety of phrases used in the sample wordings in the present case. We noted earlier that RSA 3 uses the word “following” to describe the required connection between occurrence of a notifiable disease and interruption of the business. So do MSA 1 and MSA 2. In the Argenta wording the phrase used is “as a result of”. In QBE 1, it is “arising from”; and in QBE 2 and QBE 3, it is “in consequence of”. We do not think it profitable to search for shades of semantic difference between these phrases. Sometimes the policy language may indicate that a looser form of causal connection will suffice than would normally be required, such as use of the words “directly or indirectly caused by …”: see eg Coxe v Employers’
‘168. The common-sense principles or standards to be applied in selecting the efficient cause of the loss are, however, capable of some analysis. It is not a matter of choosing a cause as proximate on the basis of an unguided gut feeling. The starting point for the inquiry is to identify, by interpreting the policy and considering the evidence, whether a peril covered by the policy had any causal involvement in the loss and, if so, whether a peril excluded or excepted from the scope of the cover also had any such involvement. The question whether the occurrence of such a peril was in either case the proximate (or “efficient”) cause of the loss involves making a judgment as to whether it made the loss inevitable - if not, which could seldom if ever be said, in all conceivable circumstances - then in the ordinary course of events. For this purpose, human actions are not generally regarded as negativing causal connection, provided at least that the actions taken were not wholly unreasonable or erratic.’
‘176. There is, in our view, no reason in principle why such an analysis cannot be applied to multiple causes which act in combination to bring about a loss. Thus, in the present case it obviously could not be said that any individual case of illness resulting from COVID-19, on its own, caused the UK Government to introduce restrictions which led directly to business interruption. However, as the court below found, the Government measures were taken in response to information about all the cases of COVID-19 in the country as a whole. We agree with the court below that it is realistic to analyse this situation as one in which “all the cases were equal causes of the imposition of national measures” (para 112).’
‘179. … In these circumstances it is unlikely that the existence of an enclave with a radius of 25 miles in any one particular area of the country which was so far free of COVID-19 would have led to that area being excepted from the national measures or otherwise have altered the Government's response to the epidemic. That in turn means that in the vast majority of cases it would be difficult if not impossible for a policyholder to prove that, but for cases of COVID-19 within a radius of 25 miles of the insured premises, the interruption to its business would have been less.’
‘190. … Whether an event which is one of very many that combine to cause loss should be regarded as a cause of the loss is not a question to which any general answer can be given. It must always depend on the context in which the question is asked. Where the context is a claim under an insurance policy, judgements of fault or responsibility are not relevant. All that matters is what risks the insurers have agreed to cover. We have already indicated that this is a question of contractual interpretation which must accordingly be answered by identifying (objectively) the intended effect of the policy as applied to the relevant factual situation. 191. For these reasons there is nothing in principle or in the concept of causation which precludes an insured peril that in combination with many other similar uninsured events brings about a loss with a sufficient degree of inevitability from being regarded as a cause - indeed as a proximate cause - of the loss, even if the occurrence of the insured peril is neither necessary nor sufficient to bring about the loss by itself. It seems incontrovertible that in the examples we have given there is a causal connection between the event and the loss. Whether that causal connection is sufficient to trigger the insurer's obligation to indemnify the policyholder depends on what has been agreed between them.’
‘179. … As already mentioned, the court below found as a fact (at para 112 of the judgment) that the Government response was a reaction to information about all the cases of Covid-19 in the country and that the response was decided to be national because the outbreak was so widespread.’
‘… the peril covered by the clause is itself a composite one comprising elements that are required to occur in a causal sequence in order to give rise to a right of indemnity. Setting out the elements of the insured peril in their correct causal sequence, they are: (A) an occurrence of a notifiable disease, which causes (B) restrictions imposed by a public authority, which cause (C) an inability to use the insured premises, which causes (D) an interruption to the policyholder’s activities that is the sole and direct cause of financial loss.’