“CER Event” means the occurrence of one or more of the following: (a) The CER is not announced in a timely manner by the BCRA; or (b) The CER is replaced by a successor index; or (c) The CER is no longer published and has not been replaced by a successor index; or (d) The Republic of Argentina, or any of its agencies, instrumentalities or entities (including, without limitation, the BCRA) by means of any law, regulation, ruling, directive or interpretation, whether or not having the force of law, takes any action which legally or de facto prevents or has the effect of restricting or limiting (i) the calculation or (ii) announcement of the CER or any of the values used to determine the CER.”
“If a CER Event has occurred and is continuing on the ARS Valuation Date then CERFINAL shall be determined and the CERINITIAL may be recalculated as for January 23, 2006 if determined to be necessary by the Calculation Agent, such determination and recalculation (if any) to be made by the Calculation Agent in good faith and in a commercially reasonable manner based on such available market information and other information as it deems necessary and relevant, including the new calculation method applicable to (i) the successor index or to (ii) the securities issued by the Republic of Argentina linked to CER or other obligations of the Central Bank linked to CER”
“▪ Reducing the number of items considered by INDEC in the Consumer Price Index upon which the CER is based from 818 to 440. ▪ Altering the weighting of the items used to determine the Consumer Price Index upon which the CER is based; ▪ Restricting the geographic area from which prices are taken to compile the Consumer Price Index upon which the CER is based.”
“(a) INDEC changed from surveying prices paid by consumers to using “estimated prices” provided by Ministries and State Secretaries of the Argentine Republic, such as the Tourism Secretariat and the Ministry of Health. (b) The amount of “imputed data” (being data which was not based on actual prices paid by consumers but instead based on figures chosen by INDEC) increased from approximately 10% to 30%. (c) INDEC changed the way in which it classified and identified “outliers” (i.e. atypical prices to be excluded from the calculation of the CPI), thereby excluding significantly more prices than had previously been the case by removing high outliers while low outliers were left in. (d) INDEC made changes to its computer systems and/or programmes so as to monitor the variation in prices of goods and services from the previous month and place a cap on the price increase and such capped prices were then used in the calculation of the CPI. (e) INDEC removed some categories or products and items and allocated a zero price to some items, which had not been done previously. (“The Primary Actions”) (f) Whereas INDEC used to survey over 800 items each month, this was reduced to 440 items by, inter alia, removing higher value goods which had higher value inflation. (g) Whereas INDEC used to obtain approximately 90,000 prices, this was reduced to fewer than 30,000. (h) The weightings applied to the basket of goods were changed with greater weight being attributed to lower value items with low inflation. (i) INDEC introduced new “seasonal baskets” and a new method for calculating the index for such baskets each month by using a moving average of the past 12 months. Different fruit and vegetable baskets for each month were chosen on the basis that they had the same calorific content, whereas INDEC had previously selected baskets based on consumption. (“The Secondary Actions”)”
“Where a security document secures a number of creditors who have advanced funds over a long period it would be quite wrong to take account of circumstances which are not known to all of them. In this type of case it is the wording of the instrument which is paramount. The instrument must be interpreted as a whole in the light of the commercial intention which may be inferred from the face of the instrument and from the nature of the debtor's business.”
“(i) Argentine Pesos Exchange Rate Risk The amount of any payment on the Notes of principal in U.S. Dollars will be affected by the exchange rate of Argentine Pesos to U.S. Dollars, since the underlying amounts by reference to which U.S. Dollar amounts are determined are in Argentine Pesos. The USD equivalent of the ARS Nominal Amount adjusted by the CER rate and any payments due under the Notes will be based on the exchange rate of Argentine Pesos to U.S. Dollars and that of the CER rate. Currency exchange rates and inflation rates may be volatile and will affect the USD equivalent return to the holder of the Notes. The movement of the currency exchange rates and of the CER rate could result in any amount due under the Notes being less than the initial USD paid for the Notes. As a result, a holder could lose a substantial amount of its investment in these Notes. (ii) Potentially Limited Market There may exist at times only limited markets for the Notes and for the obligations linked to the inflation index to which the Notes are linked, resulting in low or non-existent volumes of trading in the Notes and such obligations, and therefore a lack of liquidity and price volatility of the Notes and such obligations. (iii) Noteholder Analysis of Risk The Notes are complex instruments which involve a high degree of risk and are suitable for purchase only by sophisticated investors who are capable of understanding the risks involved. In particular, the Notes should not be purchased by or sold to individuals and other non-expert investors. Each prospective purchaser of Notes must determine, based on its own independent review of the business, financial condition, prospects, creditworthiness, status and affairs of the Issuer, the CER rate, the ARS/USD exchange rate and the Notes and of the rights attaching to the Notes (without reliance upon the Issuer or any Dealer or any of their affiliates) and such professional advice as it deems appropriate under the circumstances. (iv) Because the Calculation Agent is an affiliate of the Issuer, potential conflicts of interest may exist between the Calculation Agent and the Noteholders of the Notes, including with respect to certain determinations and judgments that the Calculation Agent must make as to the amount (if any) due on redemption of the Notes. (v) The terms of the Notes entitle the Calculation Agent to exercise discretion in determining an applicable exchange rate. Although the Calculation Agent will make any such determination in good faith, any such determination may have adverse effects on the market prices, rates or other market factors underlying the Notes. In addition, different dealers may arrive at different rates. Consequently, the Calculation Agent cannot and does not represent to investors that the rates, determined by the Calculation Agent will be the most favourable rates to investors or the rates that are available in the market generally.”
“…you don’t price instruments based on true inflation, you don’t trade them based on true inflation, you certainly don’t buy them based on true inflation”
“… the conclusion reached below attaches too much weight to what the courts perceived as the natural meaning of the words of the third sentence of cl 7.6, and too little weight to the context in which that sentence appears and to the scheme of the STD as a whole.”
“In complex documents of the kind in issue there are bound to be ambiguities, infelicities and inconsistencies. An over-literal interpretation of one provision without regard to the whole may distort or frustrate the commercial purpose. This is one of those too frequent cases where a document has been subjected to the type of textual analysis more appropriate to the interpretation of tax legislation which has been the subject of detailed scrutiny at all committee stages than to an instrument securing commercial obligations.”