"The judge found the threshold was crossed in relation to W on the basis that there was a real possibility that the mother had injured J. That, as already explained, is not a permissible approach to a finding of likelihood of future harm. It was established in Re H[1996] AC 563 and confirmed in Re O[2004] 1 AC 523 that a prediction of future harm has to be based upon findings of actual fact made on the balance of probabilities. It is only once those facts have been found that the degree of likelihood of future events becomes the 'real possibility' test adopted in Re H. It might have been open to the judge to find the threshold crossed in relation to W on a different basis, but she did not do so."
"50.In In re S-B[2010] 1 AC 678 , the 'real possibility' that the mother had harmed J was the only basis upon which the judge concluded that it was likely that W would suffer harm in the future. There was nothing else. J had suffered bruises and all bruising to a tiny baby must be taken seriously. But they had probably been caused on one occasion by one parent. It could not be suggested that the other parent had failed to protect him. What was impermissible, as stated in para 49, was to make this, and this alone, the basis for predicting that the mother was likely to harm W in the future. It may well be that when the case was re-heard, facts emerged from which it was possible to make such a prediction. "51.Cases such as In re S-B are vanishingly rare. As McFarlane LJ pointed out in the Court of Appeal[2012] 3 WLR 952 , para 109, the Lancashire case[2000] 2 AC 147 , in respect of the child-minder, was 'truly a one-point case. There were no other adverse findings made against the childminder' (he says 'other' but he must mean no adverse findings) (para 108). Likewise, In re S-B "was [a case] of a one-off ('whodunnit') injury, there was no question of failure to protect and no finding of collusion" (para 111). Even in In re F[2011] 2 FLR 856 , there were no adverse findings against the father (para 112). Most care cases are not 'one-off whodunnit' cases. They come with a multitude of facts. "52.It is, of course, a fact that a previous child has been injured or even killed while in the same household as this parent. No-one has ever suggested that that fact should be ignored. Such a fact normally comes associated with innumerable other facts which may be relevant to the prediction of future harm to another child. How many injuries were there? When and how were they caused? On how many occasions were they inflicted? How obvious will they have been? Was the child in pain or unable to use his limbs? Would any ordinary parent have noticed this? Was there a delay in seeking medical attention? Was there concealment from or active deception of the authorities? What do those facts tell us about the child care capacities of the parent with whom we are concerned? "53.Then, of course, those facts must be set alongside other facts. What were the household circumstances at the time? Did drink and/or drugs feature? Was there violence between the adults? How have things changed since? Has this parent left the old relationship? Has she entered a new one? Is it different? What does this combination of facts tell us about the likelihood of harm to any of the individual children with whom the court is now concerned? Does what happened several years ago to a tiny baby in very different circumstances enable us to predict the likelihood of significant harm to much older children in a completely new household?"
" ... bruising on the lateral aspects of the knee, although the bruise to the left knee does extend to the kneecap. It is most likely that these are fingertip bruises, with C's knees being grasped with excess force, causing damage to the capillaries and bruising."
"The most likely explanation for the multiple bruises ... is non-accidental injury, the bruises being caused by trauma inflicted by a third adult party."
" ... bruising to his knees and faint bruising to his upper body ... and multiple rib fractures which in this non mobile baby must have been inflicted upon him."
"The opinion he voiced was formed on the balance of probabilities, and on that balance his view was that C was showing signs of three different sets of injuries. None of those injuries is more serious than another. Each was a significant event. The person inflicting the injuries would know they had caused harm to C, although not necessarily the nature of that harm. It is possible that there were one or two events causing the injuries, but he was as confident as he could be that there were three."
"C was taken to hospital and underwent X-rays on 27 September, with no fractures being detected. So the injuries occurred at some point in the next two months, and I accept Dr Johnson's view in relation to their timing as indicated in his report."
"I am prepared to accept on the balance of probabilities that C may well have caused the faint bruises to his face by hitting himself. I also accept the view volunteered by Ms Taylor that the bruises to C's knees could have been caused when he was lying prone when having 'tummy time' with his father by C drawing up his knees. I bear in mind that C was a very windy baby and that when troubled by wind he would draw up his knees. I also bear in mind that he was a lively and active little baby, which appears to me to fit with the bruises to the knees when tummy time was undertaken."
"These actions do not speak of a desire to avoid confronting C's condition as soon as concern was expressed. I cannot backtrack from that point and identify when I can be satisfied on the balance of probabilities that one or other parent knew C had been injured and closed their eyes to that fact. These parents were tired. Matters may well have not struck them which on reflection might now be understood to be related to the injuries. C was a grumpy, whingey, windy baby. In that context the sound of his cry may not have conveyed a message which was different to all the other messages he was regularly conveying."
"[The father] volunteered that he used to trip when negotiating his way round C's oxygen tubes. I will not speculate about the precise causation of the fractures, but it strikes me that these tired parents would each at some time have been holding C and found themselves slipping. Their natural reaction would be to grip him tightly. I find that upon at least two and possibly three separate occasions the gripping force used by one or other of these parents would have been excessive, without that being intended. C would have been upset as a result, but it was not so very unusual for him to be upset that the parent would have realised what a serious event had occurred. "
"The judgment does not progress beyond the injuries to C's ribs being caused as a result of mishandling at the time of an accident. "
"The submissions made remind me that there was bruising not just to the middle of his knees but also to the side. The side of his knees could not have been injured by drawing them up. It must have been caused by excessive force by a adult hand. "
"In response to the request for clarification, the court indicated that in its judgment, the rib fractures to C occurred through his having been handled by either or both of his parents in a manner that was either accidental or reckless through tiredness."
"The court indicated that when the ribs were broken, C would have been very upset, and such upset would have lasted for some minutes. A competent carer should have realised that what had happened went beyond the every day 'whingeyness' that a baby facing health challenges might face."
"The court found that neither parent has given an account of an accident or accidents which could explain the causation of the rib fractures. "
"At the time of the fact finding exercise I was not able to reach a clear conclusion about the state of knowledge of the parents in regards to the injuries underwent and I was not confident of their ability to distinguish general 'whingeyness' against distress resulting from inflicted injury although the perpetrator must have been aware of that they were causing distress. On at least three separate occasions, C was squeezed so tightly that he suffered fractures to his ribs."
"The mother argues the case of Re S-B, which makes it clear that the fact that someone in the pool of potential perpetrators cannot be carried forward from that situation to a further situation to have threshold finding in respect of a further child. That case is followed by Re J which makes it clear that a case where there is a single issue of who is the perpetrator is to be distinguished from the case where a pool is to be considered. C's injury was the issue which led to the proceedings, not a single issue. The court is looking at a course of conduct over a period of time resulting in a number of injuries and a household where the facts are significant injury was not picked up by the non-injuring parents and referred to professionals. "
" ... did not pick up the distress which he had suffered and realise how serious it was. She did not realise what it was telling her."