"In relation to the power of General Dostum and his party Junbesh-i-Melli to attack him [that is to say the applicant] in Kabul, the relevant paragraphs are paragraphs 7 and 8 of Dr Giustozzi’s expert report "
"7. Kabul is today under the control of Jamiat-i-Islami which has a near monopoly over all the security services, including the army, the police and intelligence. However, Junbesh maintains a low-profile presence in Kabul, with just some party offices, which it established over the last 12 months. The only overt armed presence of this party in Kabul is represented by a small number of bodyguards, in charge of the security of the offices and of the leading party members in the city, including some ministers of the Karzai administration. Considering what I stated above with regard to Dostun's political ambitions, it is therefore unlikely that [SS] would experience a serious threat from this quarter. 8. However, the rule of General Malik and his group over northern Afghanistan during May-September 1997 was very controversial and was accompanied by much bloodshed, both of members of Junbesh loyal to Dostun, of Malik's former Taliban allies and even of some members of Jamiat. During his stay in Kabul, Malik maintained a low profile and was protected by his bodyguards. In Afghan culture, revenge is a moral obligation for male family members of victims and military commanders in particular tend to be keen on it, as they need to maintain their reputation of fearless warriors. Therefore, while the political leadership of Junbesh, including General Dostun, is unlikely to have much interest in [SS], some local commanders might, depending on the past actions of [SS's] father and especially if it was not possible to target the father directly, because he is already dead or because he has sought refuge elsewhere."
"It is clear from that passage that as the son of a person whose father was involved with General Malik the risk today is very low unless General Dostun was unable to exact revenge on his father. The respondent's [that is to say the applicant before us] case throughout has been that in February 2002, General Dostun arrested and killed his father and revenge has therefore been exacted. Further, having regard to the totality of the evidence it emerges that General Malik himself was resident in Kabul as at the date of determination and over the period April 2002 until early 2003 at least a month after the date of this determination."
"16. The only characteristics [that is to say the characteristics peculiar to the applicant] relied upon were the respondent's status (a person who had escaped from detention by General Dostun) and the possibility that he might have to keep his head down. In relation to Kabul, the possibility of an attack by General Dostun or his followers is remote. The respondent's own evidence indicates that there is nothing more than a token office and that such armed persons as are in Kabul on General Dostun's behalf are defending that office and the leading party members in the city, and are not interested in pursuing General Dostun’s former enemies. 17. There is no evidence whatsoever that they are interested in pursuing the family members of his former enemies, except perhaps where revenge could not be exacted against the enemies themselves. As we have already stated, the respondent's case is that General Dostun has already taken the opportunity to kill the respondent's father and that therefore revenge has been properly exacted."
"It is my assessment, based on my historical knowledge of Afghanistan, my ongoing monitoring of website sources and interviews with key informants, that the primary risk to [SS] arises from the fact that his father may have facilitated the successful entry of General Malik to Mazur-e-Sharif in May 1997 through the provision of strategic logistics and technical support, drawing on his experience gained while working within the Defence Ministry of the former People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan government from 1979 to 1992. General Dostam may, therefore, have good reason to continue to feel aggrieved over the actions of [SS]'s father and may, subject to considerations of his own power and influence within the current Afghan government, have a continuing interest in targeting SS. In considering the extent to which his desire for respectability might outweigh his desire to avenge the action of [SS]'s father, regard needs to be had to his willingness to incur widespread international condemnation for the manner in which he disposed of hundreds of Taliban prisoners in the autumn of 2001. Regard also needs to be had to the ease with which he could arrange for [SS] to be killed without this being traced back to him. [SS] may also be at risk from some of General Dostam's commanders, within the Junbesh militia, who may be influenced solely by their desire to avenge Abdul Malik's treachery and may see an opportunity, through [SS]’s inability to protect himself, to act out their revenge."
"Some points raised in your submissions were considered when the earlier claim was determined. They were dealt with in the letter giving reasons for refusal of30 August 2002 and the appeal determination of5 December 2003 . The remaining points raised in your submissions have been given anxious scrutiny however taken together with the material previously considered and the letter giving reasons for refusal and the tribunal determination would not have created a realistic prospect of success."
"[SS] would be particularly exposed to targeted violence at the hands of the Taliban if, as is likely, he is unable to afford accommodation and is therefore living in the ruins of southern or western Kabul or on the streets. The absence of an extended family structure in the capital would also leave him unprotected against such targeted violence. In considering of the propensity of the Taliban to single out individuals such as [SS] it should be noted that such a propensity would have regard to the extent of the original grievance. In the case of [SS] his father's possible role in facilitating the entry of Abdul Malik into Mazur-e-Sharif in May 1997 and, as a consequence, his clear association with Abdul Malik may place [SS] at risk because, as a result of Abdul Malik's betrayal of the Taliban, several thousand Taliban fighters were reported to have been killed by Abdul Malik. "
"While there is no objective documentation to establish whether [SS's] father was instrumental in Abdul Malik's successful entry into Mazur-e-Sharif in May 1997, any such involvement, if it was significant to the final outcome, would, in my view be sufficient to justify a very considerable desire on Rashid Dostam's part for revenge. Given this, I would regard it as a reasonable possibility that Rashid Dostam would seek to take revenge against [SS], even though revenge has already been exacted against the father. "