“In accordance with Article XIX, Clause 3 of the Principal Agreement the Seller, as from the date hereof, gives not less than eighteen (18) months notice to the Buyer that the Seller, pursuant to Article XIX, Clause 1 of the Principal Agreement, believes that, in the Contract Year October 2006 to October 2007 (“the Relevant Year”), as a result of natural decline of reservoir pressure the continued production of natural gas from the Reservoir will no longer be economic for the Seller and the other producers on the basis that the Production Costs will exceed the Gross Revenue for the Relevant Year. Defined terms used herein shall have the meaning ascribed to them in the Principal Agreement …”
“3. If the Seller believes it is entitled to terminate this Agreement pursuant to Clause 1 above the Seller shall (together with the other Producers) give [BGTL] not less than eighteen (18) months notice prior to the beginning of the Relevant Year and such notice shall (a) specify the relevant year and (b) give reasons why the Seller believes it will no longer be Economic to continue to produce natural gas from the Reservoir during the Relevant Year.” (a) specify the relevant year and (b) give reasons why the Seller believes it will no longer be Economic to continue to produce natural gas from the Reservoir during the Relevant Year.”
“Article XIX Termination (i) Unless sooner terminated under Article III hereof this Agreement shall terminate when continued production of natural gas from the Reservoir is no longer Economic for the Seller and the other Producers (under this Agreement and the other Producers’ corresponding agreements with [BGTL] (ii) For the purpose of this Article “Economic” shall mean that over a period of one (1) Contract Year (hereinafter called the “Relevant Year”) Gross Revenue will exceed Production Costs. Provided that in any such determination of whether continued production of natural gas hereunder is Economic it shall not be assumed for the purposes of establishing Production Costs that the Seller and the other Producers would incur Production Costs of a non-recurring nature in excess of a sum equal to twenty-five million (25,000,000) pounds sterling (such sum being adjusted at each Review Date by multiplying it by PPI divided by PPIo.”
“For the purposes of the foregoing provisions (a) “Production Costs” shall mean (i) those costs which it is anticipated would be incurred by the Seller and the other Producers (and which would not be incurred if production from the Reservoir ceased) directly related to (A) the inspection maintenance repair and operation of the Delivery Facilities (B) the premiums incurred in insuring compulsorily insured risks and other liability risks normally insured by a reasonable and prudent operator in similar circumstances (C) those direct overheads justifiably associated with the costs referred to in sub-clauses (A) and (B) above (and which are not already included therein) and the Seller shall if so requested produce past figures for all such overheads. (ii) all royalties and Indirect Taxes which would be borne and payable by the Seller and the other Producers on the natural gas which would be produced and sold from the Reservoir on the assumption that [BGTL] would take and pay for the respective Annual Contract Quantities under this Agreement and the other Producers’ corresponding agreements with [BGTL] during the Relevant Year. Provided Always that where any Production Costs are incurred which relate to a period longer than the Relevant Year or are of a non-recurring nature only that proportion of such Production Costs as is reasonable in the circumstances having regard to the nature of such costs shall be included for the purposes of Clause 1 above but Production Costs shall not include (iii) any premiums for insuring the Delivery Facilities against physical damage or loss or (iv) any Sunk Costs (v) other non-avoidable fixed costs which would be incurred irrespective of actual production including (without prejudice to the generality of the foregoing) interest payments depreciation charges and abandonment costs or any provision therefor”
“4. If [BGTL] does not agree with the Seller’s notice then it shall (not later than twelve (12) months prior to the start of the Relevant Year) serve notice of objection thereto and the matter may be referred (at the request of either party) to an expert for determination under Article XXI hereof and such expert shall thereupon determine whether or not continued production of natural gas from the Reservoir will cease to be Economic during the Relevant Year Provided that if [BGTL] does not serve notice of objection as aforesaid it shall be deemed to have agreed with the Seller’s notice and this Agreement shall terminate as at the beginning of the Relevant Year 5. Any termination under this Agreement shall not affect any rights or obligations which may have accrued prior to such termination 6. Any determination by the expert that the Seller is not so entitled to terminate this Agreement as aforesaid shall be without prejudice to any subsequent notice served by the Seller and the other Producers under this Article Provided that only one such notice may be served hereunder in respect of any single Contract Year”
“3. The parties shall make such submissions and supply such information to the expert or experts as they may think fir and the experts shall be entitled to make such enquiries and receive such submissions or information from the parties or from other persons as they may require for the purposes of resolving the dispute (but the parties shall only provide such information at their discretion) Provided that the parties shall endeavour to limit the submissions and information given to experts to the specific area or areas of disagreement and the parties shall endeavour to limit the responsibilities and determination of the experts to such area or areas … 5. The experts shall consider all submissions and information made or given by the parties and before giving a final determination shall submit a draft thereof to the parties and the parties shall be entitled within fourteen (14) days thereafter to make representations to the experts 6. In any communication of the draft determination of the experts to the parties and in any final determination given by them the experts shall give reasons for their decision … 9. Each party shall bear the costs and expenses of the expert appointed by it or on its behalf and also the costs and expenses of all counsel witnesses and employees retained by it and the costs and expenses of the third expert shall be apportioned between the parties in such proportions as the panel of experts shall in the circumstances consider proper”
“The conclusive point which to my mind emerges from this discussion is however that if the buyers’ construction … is adopted then there is opened up scope for enormous debate as to what precisely is required by way of the provision of information in order to render the sellers’ notice valid. Having regard to the consequences for the sellers should their notice be held to be inadequate I cannot believe that this was what the parties envisaged”
“In any communication of the draft determination of the experts to the parties and in any final determination given by them the experts shall give reasons for their decision”
“It is necessary for the Sellers to conduct an analysis of the relationship between Gross Revenue and Production Costs in order to work out whether this position [i.e. that production will no longer be economic] has been reached. The Sellers are bound to approach this analysis in accordance with the definitions and exclusions set out in Article XIX clause.2. If they consider that continued production will no longer be Economic, they shall issue a termination notice, specifying the matters set out in Article XIX clause 3, namely the Relevant Year and the reasons for the Sellers’ belief that it will no longer be Economic to continue production”. (6) It follows that in serving a notice under Article XIX.3 the sellers are necessarily asserting a conclusion, namely their belief that continued production in the relevant year will no longer be economic. Moreover, this is a conclusion which they will have reached after a reasoned financial analysis in which a comparison will have to be made between projected gross revenue and projected production costs. (7) Article XIX.3(b), in requiring the sellers to give reasons in the plural why they believe that continued production will no longer be economic in the relevant year, is simply requiring the sellers to set out reasons supporting the conclusion which they assert, i.e. not to state a bald conclusion but to state a reasoned conclusion. In order to do this the sellers would need to state what they anticipate their gross revenue and production costs will be in the relevant year and on what basis. (8) This is the natural meaning of the words used in the context in which they are used. (9) As already noted, the same words are used in Article XXI.6 requiring the experts to whom disputes may be referred for resolution to “give reasons for their decision”
“The language of giving reasons for a decision is very close to that of giving reasons why the seller believes it will no longer be Economic to continue to produce. In order for the parties to have a proper opportunity to make representations thereon, it would surely be necessary for the draft determination to set out the substance of the reasoning process. A determination which gave as the sole reason natural decline of reservoir pressure would surely be regarded by the parties as inadequate for that purpose. Since the buyer is called upon by Article XIX.4 to decide whether or not it agrees with the seller’s notice and thus the seller’s belief, it might equally be thought essential for the buyer to know the substance of the reasoning process which has informed the belief with which it is being invited to agree or disagree”; (iii) The judge’s recognition that the alleged reason given by the sellers was not on any view the only reason informing their belief that continued production would no longer be economic is also apparent from this sentence in paragraph 5 of the judgment: “There is no doubt that the sellers could without difficulty have served notices which were more informative as to the reasons for their belief that they were entitled to terminate the agreements”
“Telling the buyers that the reason is the natural decline of reservoir pressure is useful to them because it tells them there is no other reason than that. It identifies the only ground upon which the seller’s belief is based.”
“It is no answer to say, as Mr McCaughran did, that if the sellers give a fair picture the buyers will have nothing to complain about. In this complex field there is scope for argument as to what constitutes a fair picture, an argument which the court could only usually resolve with the assistance of expert evidence. Although the sellers’ notice might be served well before the deadline of 18 months prior to the beginning of the relevant Contract Year, there is no obligation upon the buyers to respond and they may serve notice of objection at any time up to not later than 12 months prior to the start of the Relevant Year. Thus the buyers need not assert or point out the inadequacy of the notice until it is too late for it to be remedied in time for the Relevant Contract Year …”